XAUUSD – Bull Trap Revealed, Drop Toward 3,304 Incoming?Gold is retesting the descending trendline around 3,366, but rejection signals are starting to emerge. The recent bounce only tapped into a Fair Value Gap – a hidden liquidity zone – and is now losing momentum.
The structure remains bearish with lower highs, and the downtrend channel continues to dominate price action. If 3,366 gets rejected again, a sharp move toward 3,304 could be triggered – or even lower.
Fresh news supports the bearish case:
U.S. jobless claims beat expectations → USD strengthens
Iran–Israel ceasefire → Gold loses safe-haven appeal
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 27, 2025, at 09:20 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position:
1. **Current Price and Trend**: The current price is 3,295.890, with a slight decline of -0.235 (-0.10%). The chart shows a recent uptrend that appears to be exhausting near the current level, with a potential reversal indicated by the EMA crossing and a bearish candle.
2. **Sell Entry**: Enter a sell position at 3,295.890 (current price), as it aligns with the resistance zone where the price has peaked and started to decline, supported by the "FULL RISKY TRADE MUST BE ENTER OPPOSITE TREND TRADE" label.
3. **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss at 3,275.012, below the recent low, to protect against an upward continuation. This level is approximately 20.878 points below the entry, defining the risk.
4. **Take Profit Levels**:
- **Take Profit 1**: 3,326.453, a conservative target about 30.563 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
- **Take Profit 2**: 3,315.522, a mid-range target approximately 19.632 points above the entry.
- **Take Profit 3**: 3,301.216, a deeper target about 5.326 points above the entry.
- **Take Profit 4**: 3,287.605, the furthest target, approximately 8.285 points below the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
5. **Price Action**: The chart shows an uptrend with a recent peak followed by a bearish reversal signal. The EMA crossover and the "opposite trend trade" label suggest a high-risk sell setup against the prevailing uptrend.
6. **Risk-Reward Ratio**: The distance to the stop loss (20.878 points) compared to the take profit levels (5.326 to 30.563 points) presents a mixed risk-reward profile. Take Profit 1 offers a 1:1.5 ratio, while lower targets like Take Profit 4 result in a negative ratio, highlighting the high-risk nature of this trade.
### Conclusion
Enter a sell at 3,295.890, with a stop loss at 3,275.012 and take profit levels at 3,326.453, 3,315.522, 3,301.216, and 3,287.605. This is a high-risk trade due to the "opposite trend" strategy, so confirm the reversal with additional indicators and be prepared for potential continued upward momentum if the stop loss is hit.
Gold Correction Hits $3280: Recovery Challenged at $3316Gold has been declining in a consistent descending channel and yesterday's recovery attempts failed to gain confirmation of $3338 resulting in a strong correctional wave breaking below psychological zone $3300 followed by extending to $3280
Immediate resistance $3300 and $3316 pose as challenge for any bounce back off the lows.
If recent low of $3280 is breached, next downside target sits at $3268 which aligns with descending channel support.
Break below $3268 will call for further decline to $3248
Meanwhile, if buying momentum emerges from value bargain areas, strong rebound may be witnessed on sustained break above $3300 followed by next hurdle to be cleared at $3316
XAUUSD / GC / GOLD ANALYSIS 27-Jun-2025LTP 3283
Resistances: 3455/3501
Support: 3250/3119
As per my analysis Gold is trading in a range between 3119-3501.
As long as this range holds, we can see sideways move as a triangle before big breakout.
Above 3501, we can see big bull run towards 4000/5000 USD.
Break of 3119, can see 2800/700/2500-400.
As per my view, I am still bullish for 3700+ first as long as 3119 holds support.
bears active, gold price below 3300Plan XAU day: 27 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
In fact, Powell reiterated this week that the Fed is well-positioned to wait before cutting interest rates until it has a clearer understanding of the impact of steep tariffs on consumer prices. His comments sparked fresh criticism from US President Donald Trump, who has been calling for lower interest rates. Furthermore, reports indicate that Trump is considering naming Powell's successor by September or October.
This development raises concerns about a potential erosion of the Fed’s independence, which should limit any immediate positive reaction in the USD to the upcoming inflation data. In turn, this suggests that the path of least resistance for the XAU/USD pair remains to the upside, and any further decline may still be viewed as a buying opportunity.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold prices are consolidating around 3280 - 3290 in the European trading session, accumulating for selling pressure to prevail.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
BUY point: 3272; 3248 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold - Wolfe Wave or Shakeout after Breakout?TF: 144 minutes
In simple Price action set up (Support & Resistance - Horizontal lines), price has taken out the Swing High at 3438-3440 and then corrected. This is a common/Normal phenomenon in price action set ups. So, people with the Long Bias can use the dips to buy/accumulate.
At the same time, the trendline set ups suggest a possible Wolfe Wave formation in progress.
Price has broken out of the trendline at the top and is now trading inside the overhead resistance trendline.
As Per this Wolfe Wave set up, price could possibly head lower towards 3250.
My Take: Until and unless we trade and sustain above 3440, most likely we would first hit the trendline from the low at around 3350 and then possible head towards the final target 3250.
Trade with caution!
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Gold Pullback in Play – Will $3,300 Be Hit Today?Hello traders!
What’s your take on gold today?
OANDA:XAUUSD remains tilted to the downside, currently trading around $3,318, down over 100 pips on the day.
The bearish bias is still favored — and the reason is pretty clear. For short-term traders using pattern-based setups, gold has broken out of a flag pattern and successfully retested the breakout zone, confirming a potential reversal.
If this momentum holds, the next target could be $3,300 by the end of the day.
Do you agree with this scenario?
BULL DIVERGENCE IN GOLD AT OVERSOLD ZONE IN LOW RSI LEVELAt lower price, bulls are buying with bulk quantity. We can see on the RSI indicator that the value is increasing. At the same time, the price of gold is decreasing. This suggests that the bulls are getting ready to come back at some level. That is why we are buying gold.
XAUUSD Setup Short Trade Opportunity Below ResistanceCurrent Price: 3,327.56 USD
Entry Point: 3,332.67 USD
Stop Loss: 3,342.45 USD
Take Profit Levels:
Target 1 (Downside): 3,294.45 USD (-1.17%)
Target 2 (Upside): 3,393.78 USD (+1.50%)
🔧 Technical Indicators & Tools
Trade Line: Upward sloping trendline connecting higher lows, supporting recent bullish structure.
Moving Averages:
Red: Short-term (likely 50-period EMA)
Blue: Long-term (likely 200-period EMA)
Price is still trading below the long-term MA, suggesting broader bearish pressure.
Resistance Zone: 3,334.96–3,341.30 — a key supply area marked in purple.
Support Zone: 3,294.45 — identified as a previous demand level.
⚖️ Risk-Reward Analysis
Short Setup:
Entry: 3,332.67
Stop Loss: 3,342.45 (Risk ~10 USD)
Target: 3,294.45 (Reward ~38 USD)
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3.8, which is favorable for a short trade.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bearish intraday
Setup Type: Short-sell at resistance zone
Confirmation: Price rejection or bearish candle near 3,334–3,342 zone
Invalidation: Break and close above 3,351.06 (upper resistance)
XAUUSD: Gold's Golden Glow Fades Below $3350 XAUUSD: Gold's Golden Glow Fades Below $3350 – Navigating Key Levels Amidst USD Weakness!
Let's dive into the fascinating world of Gold (XAUUSD) today. The yellow metal is showing subtle positive movement, primarily influenced by a weaker US Dollar, but a convincing bullish breakout above the $3350 mark remains elusive.
🌍 Macroeconomic Snapshot: USD's Woes & Gold's Mild Support
Gold has seen a slight positive bias for the second consecutive day, yet it's struggling to find significant follow-through, staying below the $3350 level in early European trading.
USD Under Pressure: Reports indicating that US President Donald Trump is considering replacing Fed Governor Jerome Powell have sparked concerns regarding the future independence of the US central bank.
Cautious Outlook: This mixed bag of news calls for caution before confirming a definitive bottom for Gold or positioning for a substantial recovery from levels below $3300 (or Tuesday's two-week low). Traders are currently focused on upcoming US macroeconomic data and speeches from FOMC members, which could influence XAU/USD ahead of Friday's crucial US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis & Intraday Trading Plan:
Current Trend: Gold has recently experienced a sharp decline and is now in a consolidation phase, trading around the $329X mark. Price is currently below shorter-term moving averages, indicating lingering bearish pressure or an accumulation phase.
Key Levels Identified:
Strong Support Zones (Potential BUY Areas): Levels around 3294.414, 3276.122, and particularly 3264.400 are crucial demand areas.
Key Resistance Zones (Potential SELL Areas): Levels at 3313.737, 3321.466, 3330.483, and 3341.947 are identified as significant supply zones.
🎯 XAUUSD Trading Plan (Based on your specified levels):
BUY ZONE (Strong Support - Long-Term Bias):
Entry: 3266 - 3264
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320
BUY SCALP (Quick Buy at Intermediate Support):
Entry: 3284 - 3282
SL: 3278
TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 - 3330
SELL ZONE (Key Resistance):
Entry: 3331 - 3333
SL: 3337
TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300
SELL SCALP (Quick Sell at Near Resistance):
Entry: 3313 - 3315
SL: 3320
TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor Closely:
US Macro Data: The upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Friday is critical.
FOMC Member Speeches: Any comments on monetary policy or inflation outlook will directly impact USD and Gold.
Geopolitical Stability: Developments regarding the Israel-Iran ceasefire can influence safe-haven demand.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)
Based on the provided 4-hour chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 24, 2025, at 19:14 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,300.955, reflecting a decline of -13.870 (-0.42%). The chart shows a recent downtrend with a potential support level forming near the current price.
Buy Entry : Enter a buy position at 3,300.955 (current price), as it aligns with a potential support zone where the price has stabilized. This level could serve as a base for a reversal or bounce.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,293.294, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 7.661 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.960, a conservative target about 17.005 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.255, a mid-range target indicating a moderate upward move.
Take Profit 3: 3,344.000, a deeper target reflecting a stronger bullish reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible exhaustion near the current level, supported by the horizontal dashed line (potential support). A break above the recent consolidation could confirm the buy setup.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (7.661 points) compared to the take profit levels (17.005 to 43.045 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, particularly for Take Profit 3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,300.955, with a stop loss at 3,293.294 and take profit levels at 3,317.960, 3,324.255, and 3,344.000. Monitor the price action for confirmation of a reversal, and be cautious of potential continued bearish momentum given the recent trend.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 26, 2025, at 19:52 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,318.835, with a slight decline of -3.610 (-0.11%). The chart shows a recent uptrend that appears to be exhausting near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Sell Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,332.879 (near the entry level marked), as it aligns with a resistance zone where the price has peaked and started to decline.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,343.704, above the recent high, to protect against an upward breakout. This level is approximately 10.825 points above the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,314.004, a conservative target about 18.875 points below the entry.
Take Profit 2: 3,300.392, a mid-range target approximately 32.487 points below the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,280.417, the furthest target, about 52.462 points below the entry, aligning with a strong support zone.
Price Action: The chart indicates a recent peak followed by a downward move, with the entry level near the resistance. The red and green zones suggest a bearish continuation from this point.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.825 points) compared to the take profit levels (18.875 to 52.462 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.7 to 1:4.8.
Conclusion
Enter a sell at 3,332.879, with a stop loss at 3,343.704 and take profit levels at 3,314.004, 3,300.392, and 3,280.417. Monitor the price action for confirmation of a continued downtrend, and be cautious of a potential reversal if the price breaks above the stop loss level.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 25, 2025, at 12:28 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,331.315, with a slight decline of -1.390 (-0.04%). The chart shows a recent downtrend with a potential resistance zone near the current price.
Sell Entry Options:
1st Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,355.490, aligning with the upper resistance level marked, where the price may face rejection.
2nd Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,344.221, a secondary resistance level if the price retraces slightly.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,357.831, above the recent high, to protect against an upward breakout. This level is approximately 2.341 points above the 1st entry and 13.610 points above the 2nd entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,325.242, a conservative target about 30.248 points below the 1st entry and 18.979 points below the 2nd entry.
Take Profit 2: 3,316.079, a mid-range target approximately 39.411 points below the 1st entry and 28.142 points below the 2nd entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,304.625, a deeper target about 50.865 points below the 1st entry and 39.596 points below the 2nd entry.
Take Profit 4: 3,286.474, the furthest target, approximately 69.016 points below the 1st entry and 57.747 points below the 2nd entry.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a recent bounce that may be exhausting near the 1st and 2nd entry levels. The 1:2 risk-reward ratio zone suggests a potential reversal point.
Risk-Reward Ratio: .
For the 1st entry (3,355.490), the stop loss to Take Profit 4 distance (69.016 points) offers a 1:2 risk-reward ratio with Take Profit 2 (39.411 points).
For the 2nd entry (3,344.221), the stop loss to Take Profit 4 distance (57.747 points) also aligns with a favorable risk-reward profile.
Conclusion
Option 1: Sell at 3,355.490 with a stop loss at 3,357.831 and take profit levels at 3,325.242, 3,316.079, 3,304.625, and 3,286.474.
Option 2: Sell at 3,344.221 with a stop loss at 3,357.831 and the same take profit levels. Monitor the price action for confirmation of a reversal at the entry levels, and be cautious of potential bullish momentum if the price breaks above the stop loss.
GOLD FALL, FOR GOLD !!!!!As per my technical analysis, GOLD will fall more from here.
I mean go and see the charts, if the daily candle closes below the red line(3293 $) at Friday end.
Then I am looking for gold to touch 3121$ area which is the next support or liquidity area.
You can swing the price of gold towards that. Maybe you can make good money from that.
If price reject from this red line(3293$) and closes above it means that's a different story,
I will share it on Monday or Tuesday next week.
It's all my own view. I think the gold is faaaaaaalling for a short time.
Gold Trading Strategy for 27th June 2025📈 GOLD ( FX_IDC:XAUINR ) INTRADAY TRADE SETUP – 15-MIN CANDLE BREAKOUT STRATEGY
🔸 Buy Setup – Long Trade
🟢 Entry: Buy above the high of the 15-minute candle if it closes above ₹3332
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: ₹3341
Target 2: ₹3350
Target 3: ₹3365
🛡️ Stop Loss: Just below the 15-min candle low or ₹3325 (based on risk appetite)
📌 Confirmation: Ensure candle closes above ₹3332 with strong volume and momentum.
🔸 Sell Setup – Short Trade
🔴 Entry: Sell below the low of the 15-minute candle if it closes below ₹3310
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: ₹3298
Target 2: ₹3280
Target 3: ₹3265
🛡️ Stop Loss: Just above the 15-min candle high or ₹3317 (as per your risk management)
📌 Confirmation: Look for strong bearish candle closing below ₹3310 with volume.
📊 Strategy Type: Momentum | ⏱️ Time Frame: 15-Minutes
🔍 Suitable for: Intraday Traders looking for breakout trades in Gold Futures
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is purely for educational and informational purposes. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please do your own research and consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues📉 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues 🔻🪙
🔍 Overview:
Gold is currently trading within a descending trendline structure, respecting a clear downtrend on the 4H chart. After failing to break the key resistance zone around $3,400 - $3,420, price has continued to make lower highs and lower lows.
📌 Key Technical Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone:
$3,400 – $3,420
Strong selling pressure observed. Price was rejected here after a sharp rally.
📐 Descending Trendline:
Price continues to get rejected from this dynamic resistance.
Bearish pressure remains intact as long as this line holds.
🟦 Main Support Level:
$3,280 – $3,300
Price has tested this zone multiple times, showing strong buyer interest.
A break below this level could trigger further downside.
📊 Technical Outlook:
🟥 Bearish Bias as long as price remains under the trendline.
✅ Buyers may re-enter at the support zone around $3,280.
⚠️ If support breaks, the next downside target could be $3,240 – $3,220.
📈 Trading Plan Suggestion:
🔎 Watch for rejection at trendline or resistance zone for potential short setups.
🔔 Monitor support zone reaction for potential bounce plays or breakout confirmation.
📆 Date of Analysis: June 26, 2025
📍 Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4)
💬 “Trend is your friend until it bends.”
Trade wisely! 💼📊💡
Analyzing Gold Price Action Based on the Trendline
Introduction
Gold has been a focal point for investors in 2025, with its price movements closely watched for signs of stability or breakout. The chart provided, sourced from TradingView and published on June 26, 2025, offers a weekly view of CFDs on Gold (USD/oz), currently priced at $3,332.30 with a slight decline of -0.973 (-0.03%). Let’s dive into the price action and trendline depicted in the chart to understand the potential direction of gold prices.
Chart Analysis: Price Action and Trendline
The chart showcases a clear upward trendline that has guided gold prices since early 2025. Starting around $2,400/oz in February, the price has steadily climbed to its current level of $3,332.30 by late June. The trendline, marked by a yellow line, acts as a support level, with the price consistently bouncing off it over the past months. This suggests strong bullish sentiment, as buyers have stepped in to defend this ascending support.
Recent price action shows some consolidation, with green and red candlesticks indicating short-term fluctuations. However, the overall trajectory remains upward, with the trendline sloping gently towards $3,600/oz as we approach July. The volume (Vol) indicator, though not detailed in the chart, hints at sustained interest, supporting the possibility of continued upward momentum if the trendline holds.
Insights from the Trendline
The trendline’s role as a dynamic support level is critical. A break below this line could signal a reversal or correction, potentially testing levels around $3,200/oz or lower. Conversely, a sustained hold above the trendline, accompanied by increased volume, could push gold towards the $3,600/oz mark, aligning with the upper range of the chart. Traders should watch for key levels where the price interacts with this trendline, as it may offer opportunities for entry or exit.
Gold buy on fip recommended yesterday morning, avoid sell trade How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Gold Reaches Key Entry –Opportunity on XAU/USDAs analyzed earlier, Gold (XAU/USD) has now reached our expected entry zone around 3332, forming a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows on the 15-minute chart. A potential bounce is anticipated from this level, offering a short-term buy opportunity.
Entry: 3332
Target: 3355
Stop Loss: 3319
Timeframe: 15-minute (scalp/intraday)
Risk-Reward: 1:2+