LiamTrading – Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet...Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet, awaiting ABC corrective wave
According to Elliott Wave perspective, gold is currently in wave 5 and no clear reversal signals have appeared. Once wave 5 is completed, a reasonable scenario would be entering the ABC corrective phase.
Technical Analysis
The current price range remains in an uptrend, supported by the medium-term trendline.
Key resistance – support zones are identified based on Fibonacci, Volume Profile, and strong psychological levels.
RSI indicates gold is approaching the overbought region, hence short-term Sell orders (scalping) around the peak area might offer an advantage.
Trading Plan Reference
Sell: 3840 – 3842, SL 3846. This is a strong resistance zone, prioritise scalping if the downward reaction lacks strength.
Buy: 3783 – 3785, SL 3779, TP 3800 – 3818 – 3838.
Large liquidity Buy: 3740, SL 3733, expecting a strong reaction from this area due to previous accumulation volume.
Important Note
Early in the week, there are often numerous political – economic news causing noise, which might unexpectedly push gold up.
The resistance zones 3840–3850 are strong psychological levels, observe reactions before making decisions.
For short-term trading, adhere closely to the plan, while flexibly adjusting when price paths change to maintain an advantage.
In summary, wave 5 is still developing and trading opportunities mainly focus on key resistance – support zones. Traders need to manage risks well, patiently wait for confirmation, and remain flexible to adapt to fluctuations.
The DXY index fell around 97.95 on Monday, extending the decline into the second session as the risk of a US government shutdown weakens market sentiment and investors await a series of important economic data to be released this week.
Wishing you successful trading, follow me and the trading community!
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
New ATH Above 3800 & FOMO Buying Still Driving the Market📊 Market Context
Gold has once again set a new all-time high above 3800 USD/oz, showing no signs of losing bullish momentum. The surge is fueled by strong FOMO buying flows, as traders continue to pile into safe-haven assets.
Concerns about a possible US government shutdown and renewed discussions around tariff policies have weighed on the dollar, while expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts keep gold supported. Meanwhile, Fed speeches and incoming US data remain key drivers that could inject short-term volatility, but the broader bullish narrative remains intact.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price is firmly holding above the 3800 psychological level, confirming the breakout.
Buy zones remain intact at 3790–3792 and 3784–3782, with solid demand expected on any dip.
Sell liquidity sits around 3823–3825, where short-term profit-taking or traps may emerge before the next leg higher.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3823–3825
Support / Buy Zones: 3790–3792, 3784–3782
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
BUY ZONE 1: 3790–3792
SL: 3786
TP: 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - ???
BUY ZONE 2: 3784–3782
SL: 3778
TP: 3790 - 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - 3840 - ???
SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Zone): 3823–3825
SL: 3830
TP: 3818 - 3814 - 3810 - 3805 - 3800 - ???
⚠️ Risk Notes
Beware of liquidity sweeps near 3823–3825 before continuation higher.
Fed comments and macro data may cause sudden spikes — adjust risk accordingly.
Stick to confirmation entries around zones to avoid being trapped by false moves.
✅ Summary
Gold is riding strong FOMO-driven bullish momentum, printing new highs above 3800. Main bias: buy on dips at 3790–3782, while monitoring short-term sell liquidity at 3823–3825 for potential pullbacks. The broader trend remains bullish, so patience and disciplined entries will be key.
XAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATHXAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATH, target 3840
Hello Trader,
Right at the start of the week, gold has set a new ATH, affirming the upward trend remains dominant. The price structure on H1 shows buying pressure remains quite strong, while adjustments are mainly to balance liquidity. In the current context, the preferred trading strategy is still to wait to buy at key support zones, with a target towards 3840.
Basic Context
This week, the usual focus would be on the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. However, the risk of a US Government shutdown might delay this crucial report.
The US fiscal year runs from 1/10 to 30/9. If Congress does not pass all 12 spending bills, agencies without funding will have to cease operations.
In the absence of important economic information, gold continues to benefit from safe-haven sentiment and fiscal policy uncertainty.
Technical View
The price has broken out and created an ATH, with the 3837 – 3840 zone currently being strong resistance (Fibonacci + market psychology).
The 3770 – 3773 zone is near support, coinciding with the trendline and previous liquidity, suitable for buying.
MACD on H1 shows buying momentum is maintained, but a correction is needed for price balance before breaking higher.
Trading Strategy
Short-term Sell (at resistance):
Entry: 3837 – 3840
SL: 3844
TP: 3830 – 3800 – 3770
Note: This is only a reactive order at resistance, going against the main trend, so manage risk tightly.
Preferred Buy (trend-following):
Entry: 3770 – 3773
SL: 3766
TP: 3784 – 3799 – 3810 – 3838
Conclusion
This week, gold still prioritises the Buy strategy at support zones. The main target is towards 3840, an important resistance zone and a benchmark for trend strength. The Sell order is only short-term at resistance, while the main scenario remains waiting for a correction to buy up.
Follow me for short-term scenario updates during the week, especially as news and US fiscal policy changes can significantly impact gold.
Part 6 Institutional TradingPart 1: Role of Implied Volatility
Implied volatility (IV) reflects market expectations of future price movement.
High IV → Expensive options, profitable for sellers if volatility drops.
Low IV → Cheap options, profitable for buyers if volatility rises.
IV is a key factor in selecting strategies and timing trades.
Part 2: Time Decay in Options (Theta)
Options lose value as expiration approaches due to time decay.
Long options: Lose value over time if price doesn’t move.
Short options: Benefit from decay as premium erodes.
Understanding time decay is critical for timing trades.
Part 3: Hedging with Options
Options are powerful hedging tools:
Protect portfolios from market downturns using puts.
Lock in future prices for commodities.
Reduce risk while maintaining upside potential.
Hedging requires understanding correlation and position sizing.
Part 4: Speculation Using Options
Options allow leveraged speculation:
Small capital can control large positions.
Enables directional bets on bullish, bearish, or volatile markets.
High leverage carries high risk and potential loss of the entire premium.
Part 5: Options Market Participants
Key participants include:
Hedgers: Reduce risk from price fluctuations.
Speculators: Take positions for profit from price movements.
Arbitrageurs: Exploit pricing inefficiencies.
Market Makers: Provide liquidity by quoting bid and ask prices.
Part 6: Options on Indices vs Stocks
Stock Options: Based on individual stocks, more sensitive to company events.
Index Options: Based on market indices, less prone to individual stock risk.
Index options often used for hedging broad market exposure.
Part 7: Regulatory Environment
Options trading is regulated to ensure market integrity:
Exchanges like NSE, BSE in India; CBOE in the US.
Margin requirements for sellers.
Reporting and compliance rules.
Surveillance to prevent manipulation.
Part 8: Risks in Option Trading
Risks include:
Market Risk: Price moves against the position.
Time Decay Risk: Value erodes as expiration nears.
Liquidity Risk: Inability to exit positions at fair price.
Volatility Risk: Unexpected market volatility.
Proper risk management is critical for survival in options trading.
Part 9: Trading Platforms and Tools
Options are traded through online brokers and trading platforms:
Real-time data, option chains, and Greeks calculators.
Advanced platforms allow strategy backtesting.
Mobile apps support tracking and execution on-the-go.
Part 10: Conclusion and Best Practices
Option trading is a versatile financial instrument offering leverage, hedging, and income generation opportunities. Key best practices:
Understand the product before trading.
Focus on risk management, not just profit.
Start with simple strategies before moving to complex spreads.
Use Greeks to monitor risk and optimize trades.
Keep learning, as markets and strategies evolve continuously.
Options are powerful tools, but they require knowledge, discipline, and patience to trade successfully.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 28/09/2025
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🔹 Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still declining → next week we may continue to see sideways movement or further downside following D1 momentum.
• H4: Momentum is also decreasing → on Monday, we expect a continuation of the downtrend.
• H1: Momentum is oversold and preparing to rise → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term upward move is likely.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
o Price is still within wave 5 (yellow).
o If D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and then turns upward, but price remains sideways without reaching 3632, then wave 5 (yellow) may still extend toward the second target at 3887.
• H4 timeframe:
o A corrective WXY structure is forming.
o With H4 momentum turning down, it is likely that wave Y is unfolding.
• H1 timeframe:
o A declining ABC (blue) structure appeared, followed by a rising ABC (blue) structure toward 3784.
o Within this, wave B formed a triangle abcde (red).
o This shows two ABC (blue) corrective structures developing within the adjustment, suggesting multiple possibilities for wave Y:
1️⃣ Flat 3-3-5: Wave Y may unfold as a 5-wave sharp decline, with an ideal target around 3713 → this is the expected Buy zone.
2️⃣ Triangle: Price may consolidate sideways above 3718 → patience is required to wait for the pattern to complete.
3️⃣ Large-scale Triangle: If the entire correction is a triangle, price will also sideway above 3718 → wait for completion before acting.
• Note: If price breaks above 3792, it may confirm that the corrective structure is complete → next upside target would be 3810.
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🔹 Trade Plan
• Buy Zone: 3714 – 3711
• SL: 3703
• TP: 3733
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👉 Conclusion:
The optimal approach is to wait for confirmation:
• Either the triangle structure completes,
• Or price declines into the 3713 – 3711 zone to set up a Buy entry.
A strong ongoing bullish trend but may be approaching exhaustionAs being in Wave 3, which is typically the longest and most powerful impulse wave in a trend. Within this larger Wave 3, the price appears to be in the final, smaller Wave 5. This suggests the immediate uptrend is still in progress.
Overall trend is clearly upwards, confirmed by the price action consistently making higher highs and higher lows within an ascending channel (blue dashed lines).
The next significant targets appear to be:
$3,836.264 (1.618 extension)
$3,894.613 (2.618 extension)
$3,937.569 (3.0 extension)
Back to 4H Frame – Fed & Inflation Shape Gold PathGold on the 4H timeframe is consolidating near premium supply after multiple liquidity sweeps. Recent U.S. inflation data kept the dollar resilient, while traders anticipate upcoming Fed commentary for clearer policy direction. Price rejected from the 3,795 supply pocket and is now retracing toward discount demand zones. Market structure suggests engineered sweeps below support before bullish continuation into Q4.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,692 – 3,694 (SL 3,685): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab, ideal for continuation longs.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,795 – 3,797 (SL 3,804): Premium supply pocket where liquidity sweeps may trigger short-term rejections.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,692 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,715
TP2: 3,740
TP3: 3,760+
👉 Smart money may engineer a sweep below 3,694 before reversing higher. Watch for bullish rejection patterns at demand.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Supply Reaction
• Entry: 3,795 – 3,797
• Stop Loss: 3,804
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,780
TP2: 3,765
TP3: 3,750
👉 Short-term liquidity scalp opportunity against trend. Valid if price fails to break above breakout point.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish medium-term, but intraday sweeps into demand zones are expected as Fed officials continue to push cautious monetary guidance. Liquidity hunts around 3,795 supply and 3,694 demand will likely define the week’s volatility before a decisive breakout.
Gold Trading Strategy for Friday Late-Session✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold pulled back after hitting the 3791 high, dropping to the 3717 level, and then consolidating in the 3744–3755 range. The current candlestick has moved back above the MA5 and MA10 and is approaching the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is regaining strength.
The moving averages are turning upward in the short term, suggesting potential for further upside momentum. The Bollinger Bands are opening upward, with price near the upper band, showing the risk of a short-term rally but also the possibility of a pullback.
At present, gold is in a high-level consolidation phase, with a short-term bullish bias. However, dense resistance above makes a pullback likely after any rally.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded sharply after testing the 3722 level, reaching as high as 3783, and is currently consolidating near 3775. Consecutive bullish candles indicate strong short-term momentum.
The moving averages (MA5 and MA10) have formed a bullish alignment, showing a short-term uptrend. However, with the candlesticks approaching the upper Bollinger Band, a technical pullback may occur. The short-term trend remains bullish, and if price can hold above 3766, it may continue to test the 3783–3791 range, though there is still a risk of a rally followed by a pullback.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3783 / 3791 / 3805
🟢 Support Levels: 3766 / 3752 / 3742
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰If gold pulls back to the 3766–3755 support zone and holds, consider entering long positions in batches, targeting 3783–3791.
🔰If gold rallies to 3783–3791 but faces resistance, consider light short positions, targeting 3766–3755.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
XAUUSD – FIBO MATRIX Trading Plan | Key Levels for TodayMarket Snapshot
Gold is attracting steady buying interest as dovish Fed expectations keep the USD capped near 3-week highs.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns add to safe-haven demand.
Focus now shifts to US PCE inflation data, which could trigger the next big move.
📍 Important Price Zones (M30)
🔴 SELL Reaction Zones
3767 – 377x → Major rejection area (Fibo 0.786).
3810 – 3817 → Strong SELL zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618).
🟢 BUY Support Zones
3725 → First support zone.
3690 – 3695 → Deep pullback support (Fibo confluence).
🎯 Trading Ideas
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Entry: 3767 – 377x (if rejection signal shows).
Targets: 3750 → 3725.
SL: Above 3778.
2️⃣ BUY Setup
Entry: 3725 with bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3760 → 377x.
SL: Below 3715.
3️⃣ Deep BUY Opportunity
Entry: 3690 – 3695 zone.
Targets: 3725 → 3760.
SL: Below 3685.
⚡ Trading Insights
Respect the Fibo reaction levels for clean entries.
Risk range: 6–8 USD to avoid stop hunts.
Book profits in steps: 1R → 2R → 3R for strong RR balance.
💬 Community Talk
Do you see gold breaking above 3770 first, or dropping to 3725/3695 before bouncing back? Share your chart view 👇
XAUUSD – Trading Plan: Gold Awaits PCE Catalyst📊 Market Context
Gold remains in consolidation mode after a sharp run earlier this week, holding steady below 3750. The market is now laser-focused on the US Core PCE Index, which could provide fresh direction for both the dollar and precious metals. With US yields stabilising and risk sentiment shifting, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains intact — but traders are weighing whether the recent pullback is a healthy correction or the start of a deeper retracement.
Meanwhile, the geopolitical backdrop continues to offer underlying support, while positioning in ETFs and futures suggests investors are cautious, awaiting clearer signals from the Fed. The upcoming data will likely decide whether gold breaks higher towards fresh highs or retests deeper liquidity zones.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price capped near short-term resistance at 3770–3772.
Immediate supports are 3741 and 3722, with deeper demand zones at 3690–3688 and 3670–3668.
The structure indicates possible liquidity sweeps before a decisive move.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3770–3772
Support / Buy Zones: 3690–3688, 3670–3668
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
BUY ZONE 1: 3690–3688
SL: 3684
TP: 3695 - 3700 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - ???
BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668
SL: 3664
TP: 3675 - 3680 - 3690 - 3700 - 3710 - ???
SELL ZONE: 3770–3772
SL: 3777
TP: 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - ???
⚠️ Risk Notes
Watch for false breakouts at 3770–3772 before reversal.
PCE release may inject volatility across gold and USD pairs.
Position sizing and risk control are crucial into data.
✅ Summary
Gold is at a crossroads — safe-haven demand is still supportive, but technical resistance near 3770 remains a hurdle. Core strategy: buy dips into 3690–3670 zones, while staying cautious of short-term sell setups at 3770–3772. Manage exposure, wait for confirmation, and be prepared for volatility once PCE data hits.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and next-level trade setups.
LiamTrading – Gold may fake a move before dropping
Gold is trading around the 375x region and might exhibit a "fake breakout" upwards before adjusting downwards. The price structure on the H4 chart shows:
Strong resistance is located at the 3770–3773 region, coinciding with the 0.786 – 1.0 Fibonacci extension area. This is a confluence zone prone to a downward reaction.
The main trendline remains upward, but the RSI is gradually weakening, indicating that the buying force is not as strong.
Short-term support is at 3710–3713, also the 0.5 – 0.618 fibo zone, suitable for buy scalping orders.
A larger support area is at 3688–3691, where it converges with the trendline bottom and important Fibonacci, considered a sustainable "buy zone."
Trading Plan Reference
Sell: 3770 – 3773, SL 3778, TP 3756 – 3743 – 3725 – 3710
Buy scalping: 3710 – 3713, SL 3705, TP 3725 – 3736 – 3748 – 3760
Buy zone: 3688 – 3691, SL 3684, TP 3699 – 3710 – 3725 – 3736 – 3745 – 3760
In summary, gold may create a false upward move to the resistance zone 3770–3773 before reversing to adjust. Traders should patiently wait for confirmation signals at key price zones to enter optimal orders and manage risks tightly.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you find it useful, follow for the fastest updates on upcoming scenarios, continuously updated at comulity
LiamTrading XAUUSD Scenario Today Fibo & Volume Profile AnalysisLiamTrading XAUUSD Scenario Today:Fibo & Volume Profile Analysis
Gold, after testing the 375x zone, has shown clear signs of weakening. On the H1 chart, the price structure is forming an adjustment phase aligning with key Fibonacci and Volume Profile levels. This is the time when the market starts to “filter” liquidity, creating opportunities for both short sell orders and buy orders at strong support zones.
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci indicates the 0.786 – 1.0 zone around 3756–3758 coincides with strong resistance and FVG, with a high potential for a reversal.
Volume Profile points out the POC area around 3735–3740, if breached, it will pave the way for deeper downward pressure.
The confluence support zone of 0.618 fibo + large volume around 3688–3691 is suitable for scalping buy.
Further, the area 3648–3651 is reinforced by VAL and the bottom of the volume profile, making it a strong long-term “Buy zone.”
Trading Plan Reference
Sell zone: 3756 – 3758, SL 3763, TP 3750 – 3748 – 3736 – 3710 – 3690 – 3655
Buy scalping: 3688 – 3691, SL 3685, TP 3701 – 3715 – 3728
Long-term Buy zone: 3648 – 3651, SL 3640, TP 3670 – 3688 – 3700 – 3718 – 3733 – 3755
In summary, gold is moving in accordance with the technical structure confirmed by Fibonacci and Volume Profile. Today's scenario prioritises observing reactions around the sell zone 3756–3758 to find short opportunities, and waiting to buy at value zones 369x and 365x for the recovery wave.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you want the fastest updates on the next gold scenarios, follow me and join the community to stay informed.
XAUUSD – The downward trend continues to be prioritisedThe downward trend continues to be prioritised (Wolfe Waves Pattern H4)
Hello Trader,
Gold is following the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 chart, after bouncing off the upper resistance zone and returning below the trendline. This indicates that the short-term upward momentum has weakened, and the scenario of a downward adjustment continues to be prioritised at this stage.
Technical Analysis
Wolfe Waves are clearly formed, wave 5 has hit resistance and a reversal signal has appeared.
The price failed to hold above the upper trendline, while the MACD shows weakening upward momentum.
The 3746 – 3748 zone is considered the main “sell zone” in the short term.
Nearby support zones: 3709 – 3711 and deeper at 3675 – 3678. Further, the area around 3650 is an important “buy zone” in the medium term.
Trading Scenario
Sell following the trend (priority)
Entry: 3746 – 3748
SL: 3754
TP: 3733 → 3720 → 3702 → 3690
Buy Short-term Scalping
Entry: 3709 – 3711
SL: 3705
TP: 3722 → 3730 → 3745
Buy Deep Support Scalping
Entry: 3675 – 3678
SL: 3670
TP: 3688 → 3696 → 3710 → 3725
Medium-term Buy Zone
Entry: around 3650
This is a high-volume accumulation zone, coinciding with strong support on H4. This area is suitable for considering medium-term buy orders if the price adjusts deeply.
Conclusion
In the short term, the bearish scenario continues to be prioritised, especially when the price remains below the 3748 zone.
Buy strategies should only be considered in the form of scalping or at the important buy zone around 3650.
The current gold market is still in a distribution phase, so patience is needed to observe candle confirmations at entry zones to optimise the R:R ratio.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to Wolfe Waves on H4. You can refer to and combine with personal strategies for the best risk management.
Follow me to receive the latest scenarios when the price structure changes.
Gold Neowave Stuctural UpdateNamaskaram Everyone
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FX:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD MCX:GOLD1!
Gold 1H – Will Gold Correction Extend Toward Discount Zones?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading close to 3,745 after a series of bearish pushes, with premium resistance placed at 3,780–3,778 and another resistance pocket at 3,748–3,746. On the downside, discount demand is noted at 3,713–3,706, with a deeper support near 3,665. Recent CHoCH signals highlight short-term bearish bias, indicating that liquidity sweeps into resistance zones may occur before price retraces towards discount areas.
Today’s headlines around renewed U.S. inflation concerns and expectations of a slower Fed pivot are dampening sentiment, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to support safe-haven bids. This combination is likely to keep intraday volatility elevated, with liquidity grabs around resistance zones expected before a clearer directional move emerges.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,780–3,778 (SL 3,787): Premium resistance where sweeps may trigger rejection toward 3,760 → 3,740 → 3,730.
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3,748–3,746 (SL 3,755): Intraday resistance aligned with 0.5–0.618 retracement, targeting 3,730 → 3,720 → 3,715.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,697–3,699 (SL 3,692): Discount demand with liquidity confluence, offering upside targets at 3,715 → 3,730 → 3,745+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Run (3,780–3,778)
• Entry: 3,780–3,778
• Stop Loss: 3,787
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,760
TP2: 3,740
TP3: 3,730
🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Rejection (3,748–3,746)
• Entry: 3,748–3,746
• Stop Loss: 3,755
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,730
TP2: 3,720
TP3: 3,715
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,697–3,699)
• Entry: 3,697–3,699
• Stop Loss: 3,692
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,715
TP2: 3,730
TP3: 3,745+
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🔑 Strategy Note
With U.S. inflation concerns and geopolitical risks creating mixed drivers for gold, intraday strategies can look to fade liquidity sweeps into premium resistance while keeping an eye on buy opportunities from well-defined discount demand zones. Expect sharp moves around 3,780 liquidity grabs before corrections extend down into the 3,713–3,706 area.
Gold Trading Strategy | September 25-26✅ 4-Hour Chart: Gold prices pulled back after reaching 3791, with the lowest dip to 3717. It has since rebounded to oscillate around 3755–3760. The overall movement shows high-level consolidation, with frequent fluctuations between bulls and bears. No clear one-sided trend has formed yet, and we need to wait for a breakout direction.
The moving averages MA5 and MA10 are entangled at the highs, with price swinging above and below them, reflecting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. MA20 (around 3755) serves as a critical support/resistance, currently at a pivotal state.
✅ 1-Hour Chart: Price rebounded from the 3717 low but faced resistance again around 3760–3765. It is currently fluctuating in the 3740–3760 range, showing a typical consolidation pattern.
The moving averages MA5, MA10, and MA20 are intertwined, with price oscillating around them. If the price fails to hold above 3760 in the short term, the rebound momentum will remain limited.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3760 / 3785 / 3791
🟢 Support Levels: 3730 / 3717 / 3709
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
Focus on range trading with selling at highs and buying at lows.
🔰 If gold rebounds to around 3760 and faces resistance, consider light short positions with a target of 3730–3720.
🔰 If price pulls back and stabilizes within the 3730–3717 range, consider short-term long positions with a target of 3760.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Sell Scenario from Red Supply Zones💰💰Price is approaching the red supply zones around 3770–3760 and 3780–3775. If a bearish confirmation candle forms within these zones, I expect a drop towards the gray support area near 3720–3710.
If this support breaks, the next target will be around the lower red trendline of the descending channel (3690–3685).
The sell scenario remains valid as long as price does not break and close above 3780.
Be sure to enter the position with capital management.
I hope you make good use of the signals and analyses I share.
Every time gold falls back, it is to reboundGold is no longer in a one-sided rally. Technically, it's undergoing a major correction. Our strategy is to follow the trend and prioritize both long and short positions. Now that we're seeing a major trend, the most common question we receive is whether a major decline has begun or whether gold has peaked. Yesterday's daily chart closed with a negative candlestick pattern, and the previous trading day also saw a vague tombstone candlestick pattern. Currently, we can only confirm short-term resistance, but we can't confirm a major trend peak or a bullish weekly trend. Furthermore, the short-term correction hasn't disrupted the bullish trend, so today we'll maintain a long strategy on pullbacks.
From a 4-hour analysis, effective support remains near the 3718-23 area, with upward pressure focused on the 3756-65 area. Our strategy is to primarily buy on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, be cautious and watchful.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Buy on pullbacks to the 3718-23 area, with a stop-loss at 3709 and a target of 3756-3765.