XAUUSD on bullish drive slayed down by negative sentimentWith Economic new event as Balance of Trade in favour of USD, Gold has likely taken a small hit. But this small hit shall not surpass the XAUUSD demand zone. Slightly uplifting the price is on records.
The downward bias in Gold prices picks up pace and drags the yellow metal to fresh five-week lows near $2,640 per ounce troy on the back of the persistent march north in the Greenback.
From a technical perspective, any further decline is likely to find some support near the $2,660 zone ahead of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently pegged near the $2,647-2,746 region. Some follow-through selling below last week's swing low, around the $2,643 area, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Given that oscillators on the daily chart have been losing positive traction, the Gold price might then accelerate the fall toward the October monthly swing low, around the $2,605-2,602 region.
On the flip side, momentum back above the $2,700 mark now seems to confront stiff resistance near the $2,718 region ahead of the $2,740-2,745 supply zone. A sustained strength beyond the latter will suggest that the corrective pullback has run its course and lift the Gold price beyond the $2,750 static resistance, towards the $2,758-2,790 zone, or the record high touched on October 31.
Fundamental Overview
Gold price (XAU/USD) adds to last week's heavy losses and remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day on Monday amid the underlying bullish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar (USD). The optimism over Donald Trump's anticipated expansionary policies keeps the USD close to a four-month top touched last week, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor undermining the commodity.
Meanwhile, US President-elect Donald Trump's pledged 10% tariff on all US imports is expected to trigger a resurgence in inflation and restrict the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to ease aggressively. This, in turn, remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and contributes to driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal. That said, the cautious market mood could limit losses for the safe-haven XAU/USD.
Traders might also opt to move to the sidelines ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures and speeches by influential FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell later this week. This, in turn, might help limit any further losses and warrants some caution before positioning for an extension of the recent sharp retracement slide from the vicinity of the $2,800 mark, or the all-time high touched on October 31.
