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Latest Gold Update Today!Hello everyone, I hope you're having an explosive trading day! The gold market is the center of attention today, as after a strong rally that took prices to an all-time high of 3,660 USD/oz, signs of a correction are now emerging. The main cause of this pullback comes from strong profit-taking by investors after the sharp rise, combined with cautious sentiment ahead of key upcoming US economic data releases like PPI and CPI. As expectations of a Fed rate cut have started to be priced in, buying pressure has weakened, giving way to a growing selling pressure. Moreover, a slight recovery in the USD and bond yields has further reduced gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. On the technical charts, gold has faced rejection multiple times at the 3,640 – 3,660 USD resistance zone, forming long wick candles that indicate strong selling pressure. The price is now testing the EMA34 and may pull back toward the 3,595 – 3,580 USD range, where technical support and an untested liquidity cluster align. This zone is seen as a "momentum balancing" area before gold determines its next direction. Overall, the long-term trend still leans bullish, but a short-term correction is necessary to bring the market back into balance. For short-term traders, a pullback to the resistance zone could offer a Sell opportunity. Meanwhile, long-term investors should patiently wait to Buy around the 3,58x support zone to stay aligned with the larger trend. This could be the perfect "buy the dip" opportunity before gold regains its momentum and continues its next rally. What do you think? Will gold drop further to 3,580 USD before bouncing back, or will it hold steady around 3,600 and quickly form a new high? Share your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrHamed_11
XAUUSD 1H📍 XAUUSD – 1H Key Levels 🔹 Support Zones $1925 – $1927 → Immediate intraday support $1918 – $1920 → Stronger short-term support $1910 – $1912 → Major support zone, breakdown could trigger deeper fall 🔹 Resistance Zones $1935 – $1937 → First intraday resistance $1945 – $1947 → Strong resistance area where sellers may re-enter $1955 – $1960 → Major resistance; breakout above this can fuel a larger rally ⚖️ Quick Summary Above $1935, bulls may push toward $1945 – $1960. Below $1920, bears could drag price back to $1910 – $1900. Range to monitor: $1920 – $1935 (decisive breakout will set next trend). XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart Analysis 🔹 Trend Overview On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD is currently showing short-term bullish bias but with nearby resistance. Price action is making higher lows, but upside moves are facing supply zones. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch Immediate Support Zone: $1918 – $1922 Major Support: $1910 – $1912 Immediate Resistance Zone: $1935 – $1940 Stronger Resistance: $1950 🔹 Indicators (1H Chart) Moving Averages → Price trading above 20 EMA and near 50 EMA, showing short-term strength. RSI (Relative Strength Index) → Around 60–65, leaning bullish but not overbought. MACD → Positive crossover, momentum favoring buyers. Volume → Buying volume spikes at dips, showing accumulation. 🔹 Intraday Trading Scenarios Bullish Case If price sustains above $1935, upside can extend to $1945 – $1950. Breakout above $1950 opens path toward $1960+. Bearish Case If price drops below $1922, retracement towards $1912 – $1910 is possible. Strong breakdown below $1910 may test $1900. 🔹 Summary Bias: Mildly Bullish (as long as above $1920 support) Support Levels: $1922 / $1910 Resistance Levels: $1935 / $1950 Traders should watch the $1920 – $1935 zone for the next decisive move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GlobalTradeHub
3
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has blasted through $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), smashing a new all-time high as weak US jobs data ramps up bets for a Fed rate cut next week. With a massive 38% YTD gain after 27% in 2024, gold's on fire—driven by a weakening USD, central bank hoarding, easing policies, and global uncertainty. For Indian investors, this is prime time amid rising demand and INR volatility. Let’s analyze today’s (09/09/2025) market and spot trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟 Historic Break: Weak US jobs (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates slash the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold—perfect for India’s festive season buys! 📈 Expert View: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals sees gold hitting $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with dips as buy chances. Ongoing labor weakness and Fed easing into 2026 will keep supporting it. Global Boosters: China’s PBOC extended gold buys to 10 months in August. Falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near 5-month lows make gold even more attractive for Indian rupee holders. Data Watch: Eye US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for Fed clues. Tariff wars and geopolitics add safe-haven fuel—great for India’s gold ETFs and physical demand. Gold’s your ultimate hedge in this setup—will the Fed’s cut keep the party going for Indian portfolios? Technical Analysis: Breakout Frenzy with Traps—Buy the Dips! 📉 Gold’s power surge blew past 3600 with no brakes, but eye the Fibo 2.618 at 3685 for a possible breather. Bullish momentum screams BUY, but watch FVG traps from the fast climb. Key focus: 3641—break below pulls back to 3600; hold above and bulls target 3685. Ideal for Indian traders riding the rupee-gold link! Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690 Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675 SL: 3679 TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655 Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686 SL: 3694 TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639 SL: 3635 TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659 Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603 SL: 3595 TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open Gold’s breaking out big, but traps await—confirm at key levels! Holds support? Bulls aim for 3685. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #IndiaTrading #INR #MCX
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Cooling Off After ATH Consolidation or Correction?Gold cooled off a bit after hitting a fresh ATH around 3675, right near the monthly R3 level. This pullback, however, looks more like a healthy breather than any real weakness, since the key 3600 support is still holding strong. Right now, price is taking support around 3620–25, and bulls are doing a good job defending this zone. As long as this area stays intact(H4 close), the higher-high structure remains valid, meaning gold can easily revisit 3650 or even push back toward the highs. For now, we can say this as a normal pullback within the trend rather than a reversal. To call it a reversal, we need to see a lower high form on the higher timeframes. Until that happens, some sideways consolidation here makes sense, with 3600 being the big level to keep an eye on for any breakdown.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAUUSD Outlook: Strong Recovery and Key Levels to WatchHello everyone, what do you think about XAUUSD? Yesterday, XAUUSD continued its impressive recovery, with the precious metal trading at a high of 3644 USD. This strong price surge from around 3,580 to nearly 3,660 was mainly driven by global economic uncertainty, especially the expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates by the end of 2025, which is fueling gold demand as a safe haven. This week, the market will focus on signals from the Fed as well as important upcoming economic data, especially the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), to gain further insights into the interest rate outlook and its impact on the gold market. I remain optimistic about gold’s prospects, with my analysis targeting resistance levels at 3,670 - 3675 and support levels at 3,635 - 3,630. The short-term trend is still skewed to the upside. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrHamed_11
3
Gold: Positive Momentum with Room Towards 3,700Gold continues to draw strength from supportive fundamentals. Rate cut expectations in the US remain strong, while steady inflows into low-cost ETFs are reinforcing the longer-term bullish case. In Asia, weaker GDP data from Japan and disappointing trade numbers from China have added to safe-haven demand. On the 2H chart, the uptrend is visible: price trades above the rising Ichimoku cloud, with successive FVG blocks offering a “ladder” of support. The nearest resistance stands around 3,645–3,650. Below, support is layered at 3,628–3,618, 3,605–3,595, and further down at 3,580–3,565. The likely path is sideways accumulation below 3,650 before another push higher towards 3,670–3,685. If momentum persists, 3,700–3,715 becomes achievable. Weakness would only show if the 2H candle closes under 3,595, and a decisive break of 3,565 would expose 3,540–3,525. CPI and PPI prints from the US, alongside 10Y yield movements, remain the key variables to watch.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 09/09/2025🌀 ————————————- 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising but occurs in the overbought zone → the upside potential is limited. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to reverse. Although H4 candles are still pushing up, a divergence is forming → signaling weakening bullish strength. • H1 timeframe: Momentum remains in the overbought zone → no expectation for an extended bullish leg. ————————————- 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: o Price is in the final stage of wave iii (black) and preparing for wave iv (black). o By principle, it is better to stay patient and wait for wave iv to complete before looking for Buy entries into wave v (black), rather than trying to catch the top of wave iii. o Current price is approaching the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave i (black). • H4 timeframe: o Price is currently within wave v (purple). o Since it has already broken above wave iii (purple), a reversal could happen anytime. o Completion of wave v (purple) will also complete wave iii (black). • H1 timeframe: o Inside wave v (purple), a full 5-wave structure (green) can be counted. o The potential confluence zone for the end of wave 5 (green), wave v (purple), and wave iii (black) is 3669 – 3678. o After this zone, price is expected to correct into wave iv (black), which often develops sideways and shallow. ➡️ Once wave iv (black) is complete, the market is expected to continue higher into wave v (black). ➡️ High liquidity zones highlighted by the Volume Profile will act as support, preventing a deep decline and providing momentum for wave v (black). • Wave iv usually retraces back to the wave 4 of a smaller degree. Currently, we have two key areas: o Wave 4 (green) around 3597 o Wave iv (purple) around 3552 – 3530 ————————————- 🔹 Trading Plan 1. Buy Zone 1: 3598 – 3596 o SL: 3588 (or 3579 for wider risk tolerance) o TP1: 3669 2. Buy Zone 2: 3553 – 3550 o SL: 3540 o TP1: 3597
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold - Buy around 3627, target 3680-3699Gold Market Analysis： Is gold trading aggressive today? Those who prefer to intercept and counter-trend trades and avoid losses are already questioning their lives. The market is like this; it's always right. Yesterday, we analyzed a long position at 3578, but the lowest point was only 3579. It's better to miss out on such a market than to make a mistake. In a one-sided rally, making a mistake is the most damaging. Today's approach remains bullish, and we're watching for buying activity. A surge doesn't have a top, and no one knows where it will be. Based on the current momentum, 3700 is just around the corner. Gold is advancing cautiously, with the daily chart pattern beginning to rise, and buying indicators are also rising. The 5-day moving average has already reached around 3594. There are essentially no selling opportunities above 3594. Yesterday's Monday rally actually exceeded market expectations. This week, I predict gains from Monday to Wednesday, with a daily correction expected on Thursday and Friday, but it will only be a correction, not a major drop. In today's Asian session, we will look for buying opportunities at support at 3627. This level provides minor support in the 1-hour chart and also supports hourly indicators. The Asian session has already reached a new high, indicating continued strength. Buying is recommended. If the price unexpectedly breaks below 3627, we will look for support in the 4-hour chart before buying. We are not considering selling during the Asian session. Support is 3627, with strong support at 3600 and 3594. Resistance is not visible, and the market's strength-weakness dividing line is 3600. Fundamental Analysis: The previous sharp drop in non-farm payroll data led to a surge in gold prices. This week, we will monitor CPI data. Trading Recommendations: Gold - Buy around 3627, target 3680-3699
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating close to 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently forming imbalance around intraday highs, while demand is positioned lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves designed to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow. • 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, suitable for liquidity sweep reaction. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction • Entry: 3,565 – 3,563 • Stop Loss: 3,560 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,585 o TP2: 3,595 o TP3: 3,600+ 👉 Expectation is for liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend. 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction • Entry: 3,594 – 3,596 • Stop Loss: 3,601 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,592 o TP2: 3,590 o TP3: 3,585 → 3,580 → 3,570 → 3,560 👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp trades only with strict risk control. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,630 – 3,628 • Stop Loss: 3,637 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,610 o TP2: 3,600 o TP3: 3,590 👉 Targeting liquidity lying below intraday lows; best for quick short opportunities. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626–3,630 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps are short-lived opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold sentiment Here is a detailed technical and sentiment analysis for gold incorporating RSI, MACD, Ichimoku, and Volume, based on the charts and data you provided, followed by a concrete trading strategy. Overall Sentiment: Bullish Exhaustion at a Critical Juncture The market is in a state of powerful bullish momentum fueled by weak economic data (NFP) but is showing clear technical signs of exhaustion and overbought conditions. This creates a high-risk environment where a significant pullback is increasingly probable before any next leg up. --- Technical Indicator Analysis While your charts don't show the indicators directly, we can infer their likely state based on the price action and standard settings. 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI - Typically 14-period): · Likely Reading: On the Daily (1D) and 4H charts, the RSI is almost certainly in overbought territory (above 70, likely even above 80). · Analysis: This confirms the market is overbought. The minor pullbacks on the 2H and 4H charts (shown by the small red candles) are likely causing the RSI to dip from extreme levels, but it remains elevated. This is a classic warning sign of a potential reversal or consolidation. 2. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD - Typically 12,26,9): · Likely Reading: On all timeframes, the MACD is above its signal line and at or near extreme highs. · Analysis: This supports the strong bullish momentum. However, on the shorter timeframes (2H, 4H), we should be watching for bearish divergence (price making equal or higher highs while the MACD makes lower highs). This would be a strong short-term sell signal. The current consolidation increases the probability of this divergence forming. 3. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo: · Price vs. Cloud (Kumo): The price is ** dramatically above the Senkou Span (Cloud)** on the daily chart. This indicates an extremely strong bullish trend but also a massive extension from its mean, suggesting a pullback towards the cloud is a high probability. · Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line) vs. Kijun-sen (Base Line): The Tenkan-sen is almost certainly far above the Kijun-sen, confirming the strong trend. A crossing below would be a strong short-term bearish signal. · Future Cloud: The cloud is likely bullish (green) and thinning, suggesting underlying trend strength but potential for volatility. 4. Volume: · Analysis: The COT report is a form of volume analysis. The ** surge in open interest (+49,148 contracts)** from the 09/02 report, driven by new speculator longs, represents a massive influx of volume and commitment. However, this often marks climactic buying, not a sustainable pace. In the price charts, the consolidation near the highs on declining volume would be a bearish sign, indicating a lack of new buyers at these levels. Synthesis of All Factors Factor Analysis Implication Fundamental (NFP) Very Bullish. Weak data = weak USD, dovish Fed. Long-term trend is UP. COT (Speculative Sentiment) Extremely Bullish (Overheated). Record net long positioning. High short-term risk of a sharp pullback. Price Trend Bullish but Stalling. Consolidating at all-time highs. Indecision; potential exhaustion. RSI Overbought on higher timeframes. Suggests a correction is due. MACD Bullish but potential for bearish divergence. Momentum may be waning. Ichimoku Price extremely extended from Cloud. Suggests a pullback is likely. Volume (via COT) Climactic buying. Often marks a short-term peak. --- Trading Strategy for Today Core Principle: The trend is still up, but the risk/reward for new long entries at the current price is very poor. The optimal strategy is to wait for a technical correction to buy into strength or prepare for a reversal signal. Scenario 1: Wait for a Pullback to Buy (Highest Probability & Prudence) · Idea: Use the overbought signals and Ichimoku analysis to anticipate a pullback to a stronger support zone. · Entry Zone: $3,480 - $3,520. This area aligns with previous resistance (now support) and a potential pullback towards the rising Tenkan-sen or Kijun-sen on the 4H chart. · Confirmation: Look for bullish reversal candlesticks (hammer, bullish engulfing) and an RSI pulling back towards 50 (but not oversold). · Stop Loss: A daily close below $3,450. · Target: A move back towards the highs at $3,580 - $3,600. Scenario 2: Breakout Trade (Lower Probability, Higher Risk) · Idea: If the bullish momentum ignores all overbought signals. · Entry: A sustained 4H or daily close above $3,610. · Confirmation: The MACD should make a new high (avoiding divergence) and volume should increase on the breakout. · Stop Loss: Below $3,590. · Target: $3,650 - $3,680. Use a trailing stop. Scenario 3: Aggressive Fade (For Experienced Traders) · Idea: Fade the extreme bullish sentiment using bearish divergence and overbought RSI. · Entry: On a clear bearish divergence on the 4H MACD (price makes a new high, MACD makes a lower high) AND a rejection from the $3,590 - $3,600 resistance level. · Stop Loss: A close above $3,610. · Target: $3,520 - $3,540. Key Risk Management Note: · NFP Event Risk: The next NFP release is TODAY (Sep 09, 19:30 GMT). This will cause massive, unpredictable volatility. · Action: DO NOT enter new positions before this release. The market's reaction to the news will dictate the next major direction. If you are in a position, strongly consider reducing size or hedging. Summary Table for Action Strategy Entry Stop Loss Target Confidence Pullback Buy $3,480 - $3,520 < $3,450 $3,580 - $3,600 High Breakout Buy $3,610 < $3,590 $3,650 - $3,680 Low Aggressive Fade ~$3,595 + Divergence $3,610 $3,520 - $3,540 Medium Final Conclusion: The technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Ichimoku) all align with the COT data to scream "Overbought!" The fundamental driver is strong, but the market needs to cool off. The best trade is no trade until after the NFP news or a pullback into support. Patience will be rewarded with a much better risk-to-reward entry.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Rakeshkanmuse0_6
XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection – 08.09.25🔎 Chart Analysis Price Action Current price: 3588.15 Support Zone (S1): Around 3575 – 3578 Resistance Zones: R1 ≈ 3590 R2 ≈ 3600+ Projection shows a possible bounce from support → break R1 → move toward R2. Indicators Stochastic (5,3,3): Current: %K 21.78, %D 31.90 Oversold region → “Tends to Buy” signal. RSI (14): Value: 58.55 (above 50) Suggests short-term uptrend momentum. Overall Projection Market bias: Bullish (Buy Setup) If price respects support at S1, probability is high for upside movement towards R1 → R2. Risk: If support S1 breaks, downtrend continuation is possible. ✅ Summary (08.09.25): Buy Bias on 1H timeframe. Support: 3575 zone Target 1: 3590 (R1) Target 2: 3600 (R2) Indicators confirm bullish momentum (RSI > 50, Stoch oversold).
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD – Early Week Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Early Week Trading Scenario Hello Traders, The Asian session opened the new week with mild fluctuations in gold, followed by a pullback into the major liquidity zone created during last week’s bullish wave. At present, price is showing signs of breaking below the 3585 support. If a strong M15 candle closes under this level, it can be considered a short-term correction signal. In that case, a light sell position may be initiated, targeting the 3560 zone. The 3560 level stands out as a reliable support, aligning with the ascending trendline. This makes it a key area for buying in line with the prevailing uptrend, with the potential for price to extend higher and even revisit its all-time highs. However, if price climbs back to retest the trendline, any short positions from that area should be approached cautiously and only with clear confirmation. Another potential buy zone lies near 3516, where the market previously cleared the liquidity from the closest FVG. Overall, gold is likely to require some corrective moves before continuing its broader trend. In particular, short trades should only be considered when the reversal structure is clearly validated. This is my trading perspective for gold today. Please take it as a reference for your own strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAU/USD – FED, Tariffs & NFP Today | Captain Vincent🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News The probability of a FED rate cut in September has risen to 99.4% (from 96.6%) → almost certain. FED’s Cook is under fraud investigation , combined with weak prior economic data → further strengthens momentum for Gold. US–Japan deal : US reduces chip import tariffs to 15%, in return Japan invests 550B USD + purchases 8B USD in agricultural products. Although positive, it does not change the main outlook as markets remain focused on interest rates & inflation. Trump : Threatens tariffs on all chip/semis companies not entering the US → raises geopolitical concerns. NFP & Unemployment Rate (UR) tonight at 19:30 → key event, may trigger strong volatility. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: Capital flow still leans towards BUY Gold thanks to FED rate cut expectations, but short-term shakeouts may occur before/after the news. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis M30 BOS: Gold has just formed a Break of Structure, overall trend remains bullish. Captain’s Shield (Support): 3484 – 3486 (Main Buy Zone). Storm Breaker (Resistance): 3575 – 3593 (aligned with Fibo 0.5 – 0.618). If it breaks 3591 – 3593 → pathway to new ATH 3608 – 3610 or higher. If it fails at Storm Breaker → price may retest Golden Harbor (3484) before bouncing back. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3484 – 3486 SL: 3478 TP: 3490 → 3493 → 3497 → 3505 → 35xx ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term) Entry: 3575 – 3577 SL: 3585 TP: 3570 → 3565 → 3560 → 3555 → 35xx 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Resistance) Entry: 3591 – 3593 SL: 3600 TP: 3588 → 3585 → 3580 → 3575 → 35xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship sails smoothly as FED is almost certain to cut rates in September. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3484) is the safe anchorage to continue riding the bullish tide. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3575–3593) may create big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main current still carries us North.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold: Profit-Taking Before NFP, Main Trend Still BullishHello everyone, after a strong rally, gold has seen a short-term pullback. On the daily chart, this looks more like profit-taking at historical highs rather than a reversal. The broader structure remains intact: price holds above the Ichimoku cloud, the Kijun is sloping upwards, and layered demand FVG zones sit right below—typical of a healthy uptrend. In terms of levels, immediate resistance is 3,555–3,565; a clear daily close above would naturally open the path towards 3,600–3,620. On the downside, the key buffer lies at 3,525–3,510 (clustered FVG + upper edge of the cloud). Only a decisive daily close below 3,510 would raise risks of a deeper correction towards 3,480–3,450. News flow also explains the pause: ETF outflows and caution ahead of NFP have capped momentum. Yet, with safe-haven demand still present (as labour data and PMI suggest economic risks), I see this more as profit-locking than a trend reversal. NFP scenarios: if the numbers are strong (USD/yields ↑), gold could retreat to 3,525–3,510; losing this zone would expose 3,480–3,450. If data is weak (USD/yields ↓), odds of breaking 3,565 are high, opening the way to 3,600+. Overall, the main trend stays bullish as long as 3,525–3,510 holds. After NFP, a daily close above 3,565 would clearly confirm continuation. Do you think gold will break 3,565 right after NFP and aim for 3,600+, or pull back once more to test support first? Share your view below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
Trade the Fed Drama & Jobs Data Wave!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟 Historic Surge: Gold soared to an all-time high before US jobs data showed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 openings and steady hiring, pointing to a softening labor market. This fueled gold’s rise, with $3,600/oz as the next target. 📈 Fed Rate Cut Fever: Post-data, the odds of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s Sept 16-17 meeting jumped from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller stressed the need for a cut this month, with future moves tied to economic trends. 🏦 Key Data Ahead: All eyes are on today’s (04/09) ADP employment and US jobless claims, plus the big monthly payrolls report on 05/09. These could steer the Fed’s path and gold’s trajectory. Fed Drama Boosts Gold: On Sept 3, Fed Governor Lisa Cook pushed back against Trump’s attempt to oust her, while Trump keeps slamming Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Worries about Fed independence are shaking confidence in USD assets, making gold the go-to safe haven. Trump’s also gearing up to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸 Gold’s Sweet Spot: As a non-yielding asset, gold shines in uncertain times and low-rate environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Technical Analysis: Bullish Run Continues, Buy Dips but Watch Reversals! 📉 After the Asian session opened, gold plunged to the 351x zone before bouncing back above 352x. This could be big players flushing out retail liquidity—a classic move during relentless all-time highs (ATHs) that create large FVGs. Stick to BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, brace for a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data incoming. Stay sharp for volatility! Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596 Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3560-3562 SL: 3566 TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547 Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596 SL: 3604 TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546 Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506 SL: 3502 TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521 Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491 SL: 3483 TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open Gold is blazing, but today’s data could shake things up—keep your risk tight! If it stays above 352x, bulls might charge to new highs. 📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025 ———————————— Momentum • D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close. • H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal. • H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength. ———————————— Wave Structure • D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form. • H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple). • H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern. o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner. o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple). o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level. ———————————— Targets • Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469. • Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan. ———————————— Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 • SL: 3490 • TP1: 3524 Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 • SL: 3459 • TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next?Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next? 📊 Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD) 🔹 Fundamental Outlook Macroeconomic Sentiment Recent economic data from the U.S. continues to shape gold’s trajectory. Slower job growth and rising recessionary signals are fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance. This increases investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold. U.S. Dollar & Yields The U.S. Dollar Index has shown weakness, which typically boosts gold prices since gold is dollar-denominated. Meanwhile, Treasury yields remain under pressure as investors anticipate lower interest rates in the medium term, further supporting bullish momentum. Geopolitical Factors Ongoing political tensions in Eastern Europe and uncertainty in energy markets are driving hedging demand. Institutional flows have recently shifted back into gold ETFs, signaling increased demand from large investors. 🔹 Technical Outlook Trend Strength The chart reflects a strong impulsive bullish move over the past sessions, characterized by clean breakouts and higher highs. Momentum is still intact but shows the first signs of exhaustion near the recent peak. Market Structure Price action has been characterized by consecutive break-of-structure (BOS) events, showing dominance of buyers. However, the latest candles indicate slowing momentum, with smaller bodies and longer wicks hinting at potential short-term weakness. Volume Profile The visible volume profile suggests that earlier accumulation phases fueled this strong rally. Current levels are showing higher participation, indicating profit-taking by short-term traders. Possible Scenarios Short-term pullback: Likely retracement as buyers take profit after a strong rally. Medium-term continuation: If macro drivers (Fed dovish stance, weaker dollar) persist, gold may regain momentum after consolidation.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 4, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 4, 2025: New all-time high of $3,578, gold eases to $3,536/oz as US ADP data takes center stage. Fundamentals: Spot gold hit a record high on Wednesday as weaker-than-expected US jobs data weighed on the US dollar. Gold bulls are betting on further gains. The US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report on Wednesday, showing that job vacancies, an indicator of labor demand, fell by 176,000 to 7.181 million on the last day of July. Economists surveyed by Reuters had previously forecast the number of vacant jobs in the United States at 7.378 million in July. Technical analysis: After creating the latest ATH of 3578, the gold price corrected strongly to the 3511 area and then continued to increase; this can be considered a short-term profit-taking wave of the gold price. However, the selling pressure is still not strong. The multi-frame RSI is in the overbought area and shows signs of entering the buying zone. We continue to wait at the support areas combined with MA, Fib and FVG zones. Important price zones today: 3495 - 3500 and 3475 - 3480. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended order: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3495 - 3497 SL 3492 TP 3500 - 3510 - 3530 - 3550 - OPEN. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3475 - 3477 SL 3472 TP 3480 - 3490 - 3520 - 3550 - OPEN. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3549 - 3551 SL 3554 TP 3546 - 3536 - 3516 - 3500. (small volume, effective before US session). Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
GOLD Daily Plan – Sideway before ADP & NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGAfter yesterday’s strong rally, Gold (XAUUSD) corrected by over 60 Prices, moving back to the VPOC 3537 zone. This pullback indicates a potential short-term ATH near 357x, where SELL positions were shaken out and BUY positions booked profits. Currently, Gold is consolidating ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K previously, weaker job data could pressure USD and provide upside momentum for Gold. The 60+ point drop highlights profit-taking by institutions and created liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price into the 353x–354x sideway zone. A clear breakout of this zone will decide today’s trend direction. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3540 – 3548 – 3560 – 3576 🔑 Key Support Levels 3526 – 3515 – 3502 – 3490 – 3476 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View) 🔵 BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500 🔴 SL: 3494 ✔️ TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? 🔵 BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475 🔴 SL: 3470 ✔️ TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ??? 🔵 SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561 🔴 SL: 3566 ✔️ TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ??? 🔵 SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576 🔴 SL: 3580 ✔️ TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ??? 📊 MMFLOW TRADING View: Today’s outlook suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP releases. Sideway accumulation dominates between 353x–354x, but whichever side breaks first will set the day’s direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context Gold is currently reflecting a short-term bearish setup after a Change of Character (ChoCH) near 3,536.556. The market is reacting from supply and creating liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. We anticipate the price to move lower towards demand areas before the next upward push. 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Trade) Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 Stop Loss: 3,535 Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 Stop Loss: 3,470 Target: 3,508 – 3,526 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 Stop Loss: 3,435 Target: 3,500+ ⚖️ SMC Bias Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. Mid-term: Expecting liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. Long-term: Bullish order flow intact as long as deeper demand (3,441) is respected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context Gold continues to show a bullish trend with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. The price is currently consolidating around the 3,533–3,540 range, with a noticeable FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market is likely to sweep liquidity before making another upward move. 📍 Key Levels • Resistance (Sell Zones): 3,564 | 3,575–3,576 | 3,586 | 3,595 • Support (Buy Zones): 3,528 | 3,508 | 3,494 | 3,480–3,478 | 3,468 🛠️ Trade Ideas ✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing) • Entry: 3,480 – 3,478 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,473 • TP (Take Profit): 3,485 – 3,490 – 3,500 – 3,515 – 3,520 – 3,530 📌 Expectation: Price is expected to fill the FVG and react from the demand zone before resuming its upward trend. ✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction) • Entry: 3,501 – 3,503 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,491 • TP (Take Profit): 3,510 – 3,525 – 3,545 – 3,550 📌 Expectation: A short-term liquidity grab above the 3,500 psychological level, leading to a bullish push. ❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play) • Entry: 3,575 – 3,573 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,582 • TP (Take Profit): 3,565 – 3,555 – 3,545 – 3,530 – 3,520 📌 Expectation: A strong supply zone where smart money may target liquidity before a price reversal. 🔑 SMC Insights • BOS confirms a bullish bias, but the price may pull back to address the FVG imbalance. • Liquidity is likely to be present around 3,480–3,500 before a push towards 3,575 or higher. • High probability of buying at demand zones (dips) and selling at extreme supply zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader