GOLD (XAU/USD): 2 Crucial Orders Before the NFP Storm!📉 Technical Analysis (SMC - 2H)
Trend: Decline after a clear MSS/BOS.
Focus: Price is retracing to the Selling Zone (Premium) to fill the FVG.
⚔️ Detailed Trading Plan (R:R > 1:2)
1. Priority Strategy: SELL Limit (Trend Following)
Entry: 4,157.782 (FVG Peak - Supply Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,206.895 (Safe SL above the nearest structural peak)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,051.733 (Main structural target - Nearest bottom)
Objective: Participate in the ongoing price decline.
2. Counter-trend Strategy: BUY Limit (Technical Rebound)
Entry: 4,051.733 (Nearest structural bottom - Support)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,018.699 (SL below lower FVG)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,126.333 (Rebound to the upper FVG bottom)
Objective: Capitalise on the technical rebound from strong support.
🚨 Basic Risk: This Week's Focus
Hawkish Fed: Officials like Schmid assert high inflation, unwilling to ease policy, maintaining high interest rates (Negative for Gold).
Major News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) and especially NFP (Thursday) will determine the short-term momentum of USD/Gold.
Risk Management: Gold will be highly volatile from Wednesday. Adhere to SL and manage capital under 2% per order.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FVG #SmartMoney #Fed #NFP #TradingView
Trade ideas
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy.
Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones:
Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines.
Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance.
Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy.
Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm)
4138–4140 | SL: 4146 | TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089
4200 | SL: 4212 | TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133
💖 BUY (strong support)
3990–3988 | SL: 3984 | TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060
⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight)
Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market.
This behaviour is common during phases like:
Financial Crisis 2008
Early pandemic panic 2020
Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear.
🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November)
1. Momentum
W1 Timeframe
W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week.
D1 Timeframe
D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish.
H4 Timeframe
H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure – W1
Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle.
This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746.
If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed.
________________________________________
3. Wave Structure – D1
Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination.
Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y.
Targets for Wave Y (purple):
• Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746
• Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone
o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated.
________________________________________
4. Wave Structure – H4
With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled.
The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week.
Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3).
________________________________________
5. Monday Pullback Zones
H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones:
Zone 1 – 4096
“This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.”
Zone 2 – 4145
“This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.”
________________________________________
6. Conclusion
The main trend remains bearish.
I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory.
When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬
The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signalling that gold is preparing for a more significant move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the return of the buyers.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase and is likely to continue declining towards the 4000 trendline – a confluence with a strong liquidity zone.
🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have a clear reaction according to market sentiment.
🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to spot selling entry points, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30).
🌐 Macro Context
The financial market is facing difficulties as US tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin.
The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View)
Priority is given to selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters the confluence Fibo + liquidity zones.
Buying is only considered when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 zone.
🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at important liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point.
If you find it useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
Gold upmove will continue for next week hold buy trade monday 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200.
- Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6
🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200.
- Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at $4,098, holding firm above $4,080 support.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: $4,080 / $4,050 / $4,020.
- Resistances: $4,120 / $4,150 / $4,180.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above $4,080; corrective pullback risk below $4,050.
Gold XAUUSD retracement done AI tool showing upmove continued Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at $4,098, holding firm above $4,080 support.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: $4,080 / $4,050 / $4,020.
- Resistances: $4,120 / $4,150 / $4,180.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above $4,080; corrective pullback risk below $4,050.
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop.
2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT
The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone.
This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in.
The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins.
3. Projected Bullish Recovery
The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects:
A bounce from the 4081–4103 support
A move up through the channel
A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel.
4. Trend Channel
A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions.
Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests:
The down move might be ending
Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal
5. Key Levels Highlighted
Support zone:
4,081.888
4,103.142
Bullish target:
4,220.041
These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy.
🧭 Overall Interpretation
This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for:
A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone
A bounce and consolidation
A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target
This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook.
• Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone.
• Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones.
Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase.
• Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation.
• Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,300 – 4,298
• Stop-Loss: 4,310
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,178 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,144 (discount retest)
→ 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket)
📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,144 – 4,142
• Stop-Loss: 4,135
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,185 (minor structure high)
→ 4,210 (liquidity void fill)
→ 4,300 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction.
• Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area).
• Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%.
Summary
Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes.
• Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone)
• Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone)
Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
Gold H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data After 5-Wave Completion🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 14/11
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally, peaking near 4250 before entering a corrective phase. The current retracement appears to be forming an ABC correction, with price now approaching the C-wave completion zone around 4145–4147.
Today’s focus shifts to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report — a crucial inflation indicator that may influence Fed policy expectations and short-term dollar momentum.
• A hotter PPI print could strengthen USD and trigger a brief sell-off from premium zones.
• A softer reading could weaken USD and fuel a renewed push from discount levels.
🔎 Wave Structure Breakdown (H1)
• Wave 1 → Initial breakout from liquidity trap (~4070).
• Wave 2 → Shallow retracement, respecting prior OB.
• Wave 3 → Strong extension into new highs (~4220+).
• Wave 4 → Sideways correction with internal liquidity grab.
• Wave 5 → Final push to ~4250 — marking potential top.
Now the market is tracing an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave C expected to finalize near the BUY ZONE 4145–4147 (SL 4138) before the next bullish leg resumes.
Intraday Trade Zones (Elliott-Based)
🟩 BUY ZONE: 4145 – 4147 | SL 4138
Looking for completion of wave C and bullish reversal confirmation (BOS or mitigation from demand block).
Targets: 4205 → 4230 → 4250
🟥 SELL ZONE: 4245 – 4243 | SL 4252
Scalp opportunity aligning with potential wave B retest or short-term overextension before larger correction.
Targets: 4180 → 4150
📌 Summary
Gold remains technically bullish after completing a 5-wave structure but is currently digesting gains through a corrective ABC phase. The 4145–4147 discount zone serves as a high-probability wave C completion area, especially if PPI data softens USD momentum.
Wait for structure confirmation before entering, and monitor the PPI release as it may dictate whether gold extends higher or deepens its correction.
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction!
Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure.
If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak.
Strong Resistance:
4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise.
4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction.
Important Support:
4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline.
4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs.
Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction.
📈 Daily Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority)
Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support)
SL: 4120
TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198
Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x.
Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend)
Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest
Entry: 4174–4176
SL: 4182
TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110
Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order.
Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest)
Entry: 4212–4216
SL: 4202
TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285
🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans
President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…).
Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs.
This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term.
⚠️ Invalidation Condition
H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100.
H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout.
Which price area are you observing?
Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
Divergence Secrets What Are Options?
An option is a financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price (called the strike price) on or before a certain date (called expiry). There are two types of options:
Call Option – gives the right to buy.
Put Option – gives the right to sell.
The person who buys an option pays a fee known as the premium. The seller (also called the option writer) receives this premium and has the obligation to carry out the contract if the buyer chooses to exercise it.
Part 1 Intraday Trading Master ClassWho Wins More—Option Buyers or Sellers?
Option buyers have limited risk and unlimited reward, but their probability of success is lower because:
Time decay works against them.
They need strong directional movement within a short time.
Option sellers (writers) have limited profit but higher probability of winning because:
Time decay works in their favor.
Markets stay range-bound more often than they trend strongly.
Thus, professional traders often prefer option selling strategies like:
Iron condor
Straddle
Strangle
Credit spreads
Covered calls
Retail traders, on the other hand, prefer buying options due to lower capital requirements.
Will gold continue to rise? XAUUSD forecast 14/10/251. Fundamental Analysis
Yesterday, gold dropped ~100 points from 4248 → 4145 due to information that after the US Government reopened, some important economic data (CPI, employment) might not be released on schedule.
This has lowered the expectation of a December rate cut to <50%, causing a technical adjustment.
➡ The major trend is still upward – today, prioritise BUY.
Key level: 4208–4213
Above 421x: adjustment ends → prioritise BUY.
Below 421x: the price may retest the lower BUY zone.
2. BUY Zone (priority) – SL 10 points, TP 10–20 points (RR 1:1 → 1:2)
zone 1 : 4140–4143
Zone 2: 4134–4130
zone 3: 4120–4112
3. SELL Reaction Zone – SL 10 points, TP 10 points (RR 1:1)
zone 1: 4245–4248
zone 2: 4280–4285
zone 3: 4300–4305
4. Notes
Today is Friday → trade safely, quick TP.
Do not chase orders, only enter when the price hits the zone.
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1)
Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides.
Key observations from MMFlow structure:
• Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area)
4,174 – 4,159
→ Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential.
→ If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup.
• Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line
4,207 – 4,212
→ This is the key breakout ceiling.
→ A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave.
• Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target)
4,244 – 4,252
→ Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style)
🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias)
Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159
SL: below 4,150
TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+
Why?
This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload.
🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest)
Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212
Entry: Retest of 4,207
SL: below retest wick
TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252
Why?
Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs.
🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred)
Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection.
Entry: 4,207 – 4,212
SL: above 4,220
TP: 4,174 → 4,159
Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish.
🧠 MMFlow Insight
The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITISE BUY ACCORDING TO PRICE CHANNEL...💛 XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITISE BUY ACCORDING TO PRICE CHANNEL, WATCH FOR ADJUSTMENT MOVES 🎯
🌤 Overview
Gold is maintaining its upward channel on H1 → main mindset: hold Buy longer than Sell.
Asian–European sessions present multiple liquidity clusters suitable for scalping and optimising entry points.
Fundamentals: DXY retreats around 99.15, market reduces expectations of Fed rate cut in December; Fed's Collins hints rates may remain unchanged longer → gold's range may experience short-term fluctuations.
💹 Technical (ICT view)
H1 upward channel maintains a structure of higher lows; the lower trendline is the main support.
4163–4165: confluence of trendline + liquidity (ideal Buy entry point).
4130–4133: deeper support; below that is the 4100–4080 zone (medium-term support; around Fibo ext 1.618 ≈ 4114 and 2.618 ≈ 4054).
Nearby resistance: 4215–4225; a decisive break opens up to 4260.
🎯 Trading Plan Reference
Buy #1 (priority): 4163–4165 │ SL 4157 │ TP 4180 → 4195 → 4220 → 4260
Buy #2 (deeper support): 4130–4133 │ SL 4125 │ TP 4150 → 4175 → 4190 → 4220
Sell (only with confirmation):
Scenario A: M15/M30 gives strong rejection signal at 4215–4225 → SL 4230 │ TP 4200 → 4188 → 4165.
Scenario B: H1 closes below 4157 (breaks structure) then fails retest → target 4135 → 4115 → 4100.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Prioritise Buy according to trend; Sell orders are only short-term reactions.
Use M15/M5 to time entries at the specified zones.
If H1 closes below 4125, consider narrowing buy positions, wait for the 4100–4080 zone.
🌷 Conclusion
H1 upward channel still guides the flow 💛. Patiently wait for adjustments to 4163–4165 or 4130–4133 to buy according to trend, manage orders tightly as price approaches 4215–4225.
If useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates ✨
Gold Technical Retracement Before Continuing Main Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/14/2025
🔍 Market Context
After establishing a short-term peak around 4,239 USD, gold is undergoing a technical retracement to rebalance its structure.
The most recent decline formed a Break of Structure (BOS), but the Support Zone around 4,145–4,174 USD continues to serve as a foundation for the medium-term uptrend.
The current price structure indicates the market is re-accumulating momentum before expanding again.
📊 Technical Structure
Order Block (4,239 USD): a short-term resistance zone where the price may react slightly before continuing upward.
Support Zone (4,145–4,174 USD): a confluence zone with Fibo 0.236–0.382, playing a balancing role in the current cycle.
Liquidity Targets:
• 4,261 USD – intermediate liquidity zone.
• 4,293 USD – main expansion target if the uptrend is maintained.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario:
1️⃣ The price may retrace to the Support Zone or form a higher low around 4,174 USD, then recover to the OB zone at 4,239 USD.
2️⃣ If the uptrend structure breaks, the market may test deeper towards 4,145 USD before bouncing back.
As long as the price holds above this support zone, the primary trend remains bullish continuation.
🧠 Analyst’s View
This is a phase of market re-accumulation after a rapid increase.
Maintaining a higher low structure will be a confirmation signal for the next expansion phase towards 4,261–4,293 USD.
Buyers are still controlling the cash flow, while sellers mainly participate in the short-term resistance zone.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is in a slight correction phase – avoid impulsive actions when the price has not completed the accumulation zone.
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Prepares for New ExpansionWave⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/13/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a short correction at the start of the week, gold has clearly formed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 30-minute chart, indicating that bullish momentum has returned.
This morning's Asian session witnessed a strong recovery from the Support Zone, confirming that buying pressure remains dominant in the current structure.
The market is approaching the “expansion phase” – where prices typically expand to seek liquidity above.
📊 Technical Structure
Order Block 1 (4,208 USD): a short-term support area, likely to serve as a retest point after the expansion move.
Order Block 2 (4,184 USD): confluence of Fibonacci 0.5–0.618, a deep equilibrium zone within the bullish structure.
Support Zone: the main foundation of the medium-term uptrend, still being preserved.
Extension Levels:
• 4,249 USD → first expansion target.
• 4,267 USD → intermediate liquidity zone.
• 4,292 USD → maximum expansion target within the current cycle.
🎯 Market Outlook
Today's scenario leans towards a continuation bullish direction:
1️⃣ Price may technically correct to the OB 4,208 or 4,184 USD area.
2️⃣ Upon a bullish reaction, the market is likely to expand to 4,267 – 4,292 USD, where short-term selling liquidity is concentrated.
3️⃣ Losing the 4,184 USD level will temporarily shift the structure to rebalancing (sideways).
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is in the “expansion reaccumulation” phase, meaning after attracting liquidity below, prices begin to expand following the main trend.
Continuous BOS signals indicate that buyers are reasserting control.
As long as prices remain above the 4,184 USD area, the intraday bias remains predominantly bullish.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is expanding rapidly, so pullback reactions to the OB area may be highly volatile.
Let your trade ideas run and let's observe together.
GOLD H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data for Directional Clarity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (13/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, with intraday traders now focused on the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release — a key inflation metric that often shapes Fed expectations.
• A hot PPI reading could strengthen the USD and trigger a sell-off from premium levels.
• A softer print may weaken the dollar, encouraging another liquidity grab above 4250.
Institutional order flow shows potential for engineered liquidity sweeps around both extremes before the next directional push.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Still bullish overall, but showing early distribution near the 4250 handle.
• Premium Zone: 4255–4253 aligns with an unmitigated supply and prior buy-side liquidity pool — a prime short setup if price reacts after a liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4168–4166 sits within the recent FVG and above EMA100 — a valid area for re-accumulation and continuation if price corrects deeper.
• Liquidity: Equal highs at 4255 and lows near 4156 signal potential stop-hunt traps before a decisive move.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,255 – 4,253
• Stop-Loss: 4,265
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,182 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,148 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,110 (discount reaction zone)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps buy-side liquidity and confirms bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,166 – 4,168
• Stop-Loss: 4,156
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,210 (short-term liquidity pocket)
→ 4,248 (imbalance fill zone)
→ 4,255 (final liquidity target)
📌 Valid only if price mitigates the FVG and reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for PPI volatility before entering trades.
• Avoid trading mid-range (4180–4210) – low R/R zone.
• Scale out partials near liquidity points and trail stops post-confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk: 1–2% max per setup.
Summary
Gold is in pre-news equilibrium, with both buy- and sell-side liquidity pools clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4255–4253 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4168–4166 (discount re-entry area)
Expect engineered liquidity grabs before a decisive move — patience and structure confirmation remain key.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time Smart Money updates ⚡
XAUUSD – When the Market Starts to “Smell” a Bullish MoveLooking at the current price action, it’s quite clear that gold is entering a new bullish phase supported by both fundamental catalysts and smart money flow . With the U.S. government preparing to reopen and key economic data returning, investors are increasing their bets on the possibility that the Fed may cut interest rates next month . In a climate where political and economic uncertainty is still lingering, gold naturally becomes a preferred safe-haven asset.
On the chart, XAUUSD is maintaining a clean and steady uptrend , consistently bouncing from the trendline and forming higher highs and higher lows. These precise retests show that buyers are firmly in control . Price is now moving towards the 4,300 zone, where some short-term volatility may appear before heading further into the 4,380 resistance.
As long as gold holds above the trendline support , the market can continue its bullish momentum in the coming sessions. Every pullback at this stage acts like a fresh boost , giving buyers more strength to push the market higher.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci perspective on the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci perspective on the upward wave: watch for sell at 2.618 @ 4229–4231, wait to buy at FVG 4174–4172
Quick context: News of the US government reopening eases tensions, but gold prices in the Asian session this morning only rose slightly before moving sideways – accumulating. On M45, the triangle has broken upwards but buying momentum hasn't truly exploded; the market may test the price gap areas (FVG) before choosing the next direction.
Technical Analysis
Trendline & M45 structure: The rise after breakout is running along the short-term upward trendline; the old triangle peak becomes resistance near 4215.
Fibonacci Extension:
2.272 ≈ 4215: pivot point; staying above this opens the path for higher levels.
2.618 ≈ 4229–4231: extended resistance – a zone prone to rejection/short reversal.
FVG & Liquidity Zones:
FVG #1: 4195–4198 – likely to fill before continuing upwards.
Liquidity: 4184–4188 – volume attraction zone between FVG and trendline.
Fibo 0.618 + FVG: 4172–4174 – strong confluence for the buyback scenario in line with the trend.
Invalidation point: breaking 4166 weakens the M45 upward structure, risking a pullback to lower zones.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Trend-following Buy (priority)
Entry: 4172–4174 (Fibo 0.618 + FVG)
SL: 4166
TP: 4190 → 4215 → 4240 → 4280
Note: Prioritise when a clear rejection candle/lower wick appears at 417x.
Scenario 2 – Counter-trend Sell scalp at extended resistance
Entry: 4229–4231 (Fibo 2.618)
SL: 4236 (above the nearest peak)
TP: 4215 → 4196 → 4186 → 4175
Note: Quick scalp; abandon if M45 closes strongly above 4231–4233.
Scenario 3 – Buy on break & hold of 4215 (break & retest)
Condition: M45 closes above 4215, retests holding 4212–4216
Entry: 4216–4218
SL: 4207
TP: 4229–4231 → 4260 → 4285–4300
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the latest updates.
XAUUSDTime Cycle is a routine that allows you to map the movement of a stock by measuring the high and low levels of the stock on a day or period. However, it does not prove whether a reversal will occur in the next time cycle; it is only a probability. But it makes you profitable 80% of the time.
Regardless of the outcome, the candle formed on the day of the time cycle carries significant significance. The market respects this candle, whether it goes up or down, which is very important. Time Cycle often stops short near the candle. You will notice on the chart that it often looks like a support or resistance area.
Time Cycle candles also tell you about continuation or reversal, but you have to forgive the high and low of the candle formed in the time cycle.
You do not have to make any decisions yourself. This is its specialty.






















