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GOLDHello & welcome to this analysis GOLD after a super duper move from AUG - OCT followed by a sharp decline now appears to be consolidating within a triangle. Currently appears to be in leg D which should be followed by leg E to complete the contracting triangle squeeze and from thereon the resumption of uptrend. For those new to patterns - triangles are time wise correction that see less price retracement within a longer duration of time. The current triangle appears to be a contracting one. Leg D could end near 4175 / 125750 approx while leg E could end near 4050 / 122250 approx. The view would be incorrect if either the current up move goes above 4245 / 127950 without a pullback or the expected retracement goes below 4000 / 121000. The interesting part here is that GOLD prior to its rally from 3250 was also within a triangle for 4 months. What followed was a parabolic move from a squeeze. Lets see if this one will also give such a move or not. All the best
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
GOLD – 4H | Falling Wedge Structure Near BreakoutGold has been compressing inside a converging falling wedge , a pattern that typically signals waning bearish pressure and an upcoming bullish break. The structure has been developing for several weeks, with each swing clearly showing a loss of momentum from sellers and a stronger defense from buyers at progressively higher lows. The wedge is now approaching its apex, and price is pressing against the upper boundary. While this setup carries a bullish tilt, confirmation is still critical before acting. Why this structure matters This is a Converging Falling Wedge (Bullish) pattern, defined by: Sellers losing momentum on each downswing Buyers defending higher lows , tightening the structure Compression building toward the apex , creating stored energy Breakouts typically hitting the upper rail first Confirmation occurring only on a close above the last swing high In this case, the last swing high sits at 125,521 , aligning perfectly with the wedge’s upper rail. Only a sustained 4H close above 125,521 would confirm that the market has absorbed overhead supply and is ready to transition into a higher timeframe move. RSI Check RSI is trending higher but hasn’t yet signaled full breakout momentum. A push above the 60–65 zone would strengthen the bullish case and support continuation after the breakout. Trade Plan Trigger : Entry only on a sustained 4H close above 125,521 . This keeps you aligned with pattern confirmation and avoids premature entries inside compression. Upside path: A breakout could initially retest the wedge boundary before starting the projected upward leg toward higher resistance zones. Summary Gold is displaying a well-defined falling wedge with clear signs of seller exhaustion and buyer strength. The structure leans bullish, but the move needs to be validated through a confirmed break above 125,521 . Until then, the wedge remains a compression zone — not a breakout. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by WaveXplorer
Gold Short : "Triple Confluence" Reversal PossibleI am looking at a high-probability short setup on Gold Futures (Daily Timeframe) as price action moves into a critical resistance cluster. We are seeing a "Triple Confluence" at the current level, suggesting the bullish retracement is losing steam. The 3 Key Confluences: a. Daily Trendline: Price is rejecting off the descending trendline that has respected the bearish structure since the highs. b. 50% Fibonacci Retracement: The current rally has stalled exactly at the 0.5 retracement level of the previous impulsive drop. c. Key Structural Zone: We are testing a major horizontal resistance zone ("Important Zone") that previously acted as support. The Trade Plan: Bias: Short/Bearish Risk/Reward: The setup offers an excellent R:R ratio (>1:2). Stop Loss: Placed strictly above the trendline and resistance cluster to invalidate the thesis. Target: Looking for a move back down toward recent swing lows liquidity zones.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by wishy6221
Massive Commodity Profits1. The Nature of Commodities: Volatility Breeds Opportunity Commodities are essential goods with relatively inelastic demand. People still need fuel, food, and metals regardless of price fluctuations. However, supply is far more unstable. Weather conditions, mining delays, geopolitical tensions, shipping bottlenecks, and regulatory changes can all reduce availability overnight. When supply tightens against steady or rising demand, prices can spike dramatically. For example: A drought in Brazil can send coffee futures surging. Tensions in the Middle East can push crude oil prices upward. A mining strike in Peru may cause copper prices to rally. This structural instability is what makes the commodity market capable of delivering massive profits in short periods. 2. Demand Cycles and Economic Trends Massive commodity profits also emerge during strong global macroeconomic cycles. When economies expand, they consume more energy, metals, and agricultural products. Industrial expansion in countries like China, India, and the U.S. has historically led to major commodity supercycles. For instance, China’s industrial boom (2000–2013) sent prices of iron ore, copper, and oil to record highs. Traders who recognized the multi-year demand trend and positioned early captured enormous profits. These long-cycle rallies happen roughly every 10–15 years and often create fortunes for large funds and early participants. 3. Supply Shocks: The Fastest Profit Drivers The biggest and quickest commodity profits typically arise from supply shocks—unexpected events that disrupt production. A single headline can trigger a wave of volatility. Common supply shock triggers include: Wars or geopolitical conflict (oil, natural gas) Extreme weather (wheat, corn, soybeans) Export bans (rice, sugar, palm oil) Mining accidents or strikes (copper, nickel, gold) Because supply shocks occur unexpectedly, prices often move before retail traders even react. Institutions and professional traders who monitor real-time logistics, shipping data, and political events can capitalize on these early movements. 4. Inflation: A Powerful Catalyst for Commodity Surges Inflation is another core driver of massive commodity profits. When currencies lose value, real assets—especially commodities—rise to preserve purchasing power. Gold and silver are classic hedges, but even energy and food commodities benefit from inflation cycles. During inflationary shocks: Crude oil rallies due to cost-push pressures. Agricultural commodities rise as farming inputs become more expensive. Industrial metals climb as production costs rise. Traders who understand the macroeconomic environment anticipate these moves and position accordingly, often using futures or long-dated options for leverage. 5. Futures and Options: The Engines of High Profit Potential Massive commodity profits often come from futures markets, where traders use small margins to control large contract sizes. Why futures create big profits: High leverage means small price moves generate large percentage gains. Futures prices react faster than spot markets. Liquidity allows rapid entry and exit. Global participation increases volatility and opportunity. Options add an additional profit dimension: Buying calls during bullish commodity cycles can multiply capital several times. Selling options during high-volatility spikes generates income for advanced traders. Spreads allow directional and neutral strategies with controlled risk. Professional traders often combine futures, options, and spot positions to maximize returns. 6. Algorithmic Models: Profit From Micro-Volatility Modern commodity markets are heavily influenced by algorithmic and high-frequency trading (HFT). Algorithms exploit micro-movements in futures markets, such as: Order flow imbalances Spread arbitrage Statistical mean reversion Volume spikes Institutional block orders While these strategies may seem small in isolation, their compounded results can produce significant profits, especially during volatile periods like harvest seasons, geopolitical uncertainty, or inventory report releases. 7. The Role of Fundamental Reports in Profit Opportunities Commodity markets are deeply influenced by high-impact reports. For example: USDA reports move agricultural markets. OPEC announcements shake oil markets. EIA crude inventory data impacts short-term energy prices. LME warehouse stocks influence metals. Traders who deeply understand these reports know how to interpret supply estimates, production forecasts, and consumption trends. This anticipatory edge often creates large profit opportunities before the broader market reacts. 8. Supercycles: The Biggest Profit Windows A commodity supercycle is a long-term period of rising prices driven by structural global changes. Past supercycles have been triggered by: Global industrialization Technological revolutions Decarbonization and renewable energy demand Infrastructure expansion in emerging markets During supercycles, prices can rise for 5–15 years, creating the largest profits in commodity trading. Investors in gold during the 1970s, oil in the 2000s, and lithium between 2018–2022 saw exponential returns. Commodity supercycles often reshape entire economies. 9. Risk Management: Protecting Massive Profits Massive profits are only meaningful if protected. Commodity markets can reverse violently due to announcements, policy changes, or macroeconomic developments. Smart traders use: Hedging with futures Position sizing Stop-loss and trailing stops Diversification across sectors (energy, agri, metals) Options for protection (protective puts) Risk control ensures that large profits are not wiped out by sudden counter-moves. 10. Psychology: Mastering Volatility The final ingredient in generating massive commodity profits is trader psychology. Commodity markets are emotional. Greed, fear, and panic accelerate volatility. Traders who remain disciplined, patient, and analytical tend to outperform. Key psychological traits of profit-making commodity traders include: Patience in waiting for setups Speed in execution Ability to endure volatility Emotional neutrality Long-term vision during supercycles Mindset is often the difference between consistent profits and emotional decisions. Conclusion Massive commodity profits arise from the unique nature of global supply and demand, geopolitical tensions, inflation, natural events, and human psychology. Commodities offer some of the most volatile and opportunity-rich markets in the world. By understanding macroeconomic drivers, supply-chain dynamics, fundamental reports, futures strategies, and disciplined risk management, traders can position themselves to capture extraordinary profits during both short-term shocks and long-term supercycles.
MCX:GOLD1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
Gold mcx last week we booked Gold 3800 points & silver 10300 Parameters Data Reason 🟩 Strong Bullish Resurgence due to: 1) Dovish Fed Expectations (85% chance of cut). 2) Wedding Season Demand in domestic spot markets. 3) Weak US Dollar Index boosting safe-haven appeal. Asset Name Gold MCX (Dec Futures) ₹1,26,960 Price Movement Buy side: 🟩 R1: ₹1,27,800, 🟩 R2: ₹1,28,500, 🟩 R3: ₹1,29,600. If break 🟥 S1: ₹1,25,500 then downside possible towards 🟥 S2: ₹1,24,200, 🟥 S3: ₹1,23,000. Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,27,800, T2: ₹1,28,500 / SL: ₹1,25,500 Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Dominant signals Bullish/Positive हैं, confirming strong conviction for the BUY trade.) Probability 🟩 88% (Supported by "Golden Cross" on hourly charts and strong global cues.) Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,25,000 (Data suggests significant option writing support at this level). DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price has closed above the key 20-Day and 50-Day DEMAs, reconfirming the short-term bullish trend. Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,25,500 (Breakout retest level), 🟩 S2: ₹1,24,800 (Weekly Pivot), 🟩 S3: ₹1,23,500 (Strong Base). Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,27,800 (Immediate Swing High), 🟥 R2: ₹1,29,000 (Psychological Barrier), 🟥 R3: ₹1,31,500 (All-Time High Zone). ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 64.5 (Bullish momentum rising, not yet overbought). 🟩 ADX (14): 38.2 (Trend strength is increasing). Market Depth 🟩 Buy Skew (Order book shows higher bid quantities at lower levels, indicating accumulation). Volatility 🟩 Moderate to High (Implied Volatility is rising ahead of US inflation data and Fed meeting). Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX, India Bullion & Jewellers Association (IBJA), Investing.com via Data Accuracy Protocol). OI 🟩 Long Build-up (Open Interest increased along with price, suggesting fresh bullish positions). PCR 🟩 1.15 (Put-Call Ratio > 1 suggests bullish sentiment with Put writers active at support). VWAP 🟩 Price > VWAP (Closing price is comfortably above the Volume Weighted Average Price). Turnover 🟩 High (Strong participation seen in both December and February contracts). Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (No immediate reversal pattern; trend is impulsive). IV/RV 🟩 IV Rising (Premium expansion expected as traders hedge against event risk). Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Upside calls are commanding higher premiums relative to OTM puts). Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Greeks data limited for MCX commodities on weekends). Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buying noted in Feb expiry contracts. COT Positioning 🟩 Net Longs Increased (Global hedge funds have increased their net long exposure to Gold). Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive with Silver and EUR/USD, Negative with DXY (Dollar Index). ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Gold ETFs seeing renewed interest after a brief pause). Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Market sentiment has shifted back to "Buy on Dips"). OFI 🟩 Positive ( Buying pressure at the Ask price is dominant). Delta 🟩 Positive (Option Delta leans heavily towards the long side). VWAP Bands 🟩 Upper Band Test (Price closed near the upper deviation band, indicating strength). Rotation Metrics 🟩 Stable (Gold is performing well, though Silver is currently the high-beta outperformer).
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold mcx today booked 600 points weekly 4000 points ,buy on dipParameters Data Asset Name Gold MCX Reason 🟩 Global Fed cut expectations, strong YTD performance, aur ₹1,25,800 ka resistance breakout. R:R 🟩 1:1.50 (Favorable for T2/T3 targets. High momentum trading required.) / Threshold: Breakout above - & Breakdown below Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active ⬆️ Target T1 - 126500.00 , T2 - 127200.00 , T3 - 128000.00 , Stop loss - 125000.00 Probability 🟩 85% Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Resistance breakout aur strong fundamental backing.) Price Movement Buy side: 126500.00, 127200.00, 128000.00. If break 125000.00 then downside possible towards 124500.00, 124000.00, 123500.00. FNO Data (OI/PCR) 🟩 Fresh long positions add ho rahi hain (Long Buildup). Liquidity Zones 🟩 Liquidity ₹1,25,500 par strong support de rahi hai. Max Pain 🟨 N/A Gamma Exposure 🟩 Gamma spike ho raha hai, jo acceleration ka signal hai. Supports 🟩 S1: 125220.00 (Immediate Pivot) | S2: 125000.00 (Psychological) | S3: 124500.00 (Minor Technical) Resistances 🟥 R1: 126500.00 (Next Key Supply Zone) | R2: 127200.00 | R3: 128000.00 DEMA Levels 🟩 Price 20/50/100 DEMA se substantially upar hai. ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14) \sim 78.00 (Highly Overbought, par momentum extremely strong). Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Global Gold COMEX mein bhi tezi hai. Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed Zone (High institutional interest). Source Ledger 🟩 MCX, TradingView (Image Data), CME Group, Bloomberg (Verified & Triangulated).
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold mcx bought at 121600 today booked at 125300( 2.3 trades) Parameters Data Asset Name Gold MCX Reason 🟩 Global inflationary pressure, sharp weakness in US Dollar, aur MCX par heavy long build-up ke chalte massive breakout. R:R 🟩 1:1.58 (Risk reward T3 target ke liye favorable hai, lekin SL deep hai, jo high volatility ko reflect karta hai.) / Threshold: Breakout above - & Breakdown below Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active | T1: 125800.00, T2: 126500.00, T3: 127500.00 | SL: 123910.00 Probability 🟩 90% Confidence 🟩 24/30 (Overwhelming momentum aur breakout ke chalte High Confidence.) Price Movement Buy side: 125800.00, 126500.00, 127500.00. If break 125000.00 then downside possible towards 124500.00, 123910.00, 123000.00. FNO Data (OI/PCR) 🟩 Long Build-up observed. PCR 1.20 (Bullish). Liquidity Zones 🟩 Liquidity breakout levels ke upar high hai. Max Pain 🟨 124,500 (Spot se neeche shift ho gaya hai, jo Bullish bias confirm karta hai.) Gamma Exposure 🟩 Gamma spike ho gaya hai, jo upar ki taraf acceleration provide karega. Supports 🟩 S1: 125000.00 (Minor) | S2: 124500.00 (Previous Resistance) | S3: 123910.00 (Previous Close) Resistances 🟥 R1: 125800.00 (Minor Supply) | R2: 126500.00 (Major Psychological) | R3: 127500.00 DEMA Levels 🟩 Price sabhi DEMA se bahut upar trade kar raha hai. ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14) 75 (Overbought, but momentum strong). ADX High. Market Depth 🟩 Buying pressure bahut zyada hai. Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Weak INR aur weak DXY dono hi Gold ke liye positive hain. COT Positioning 🟩 Managed money aur domestic players aggressive long hain. Source Ledger 🟩 MCX, NSE, TradingView, Investing.com.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold mcx AI Tool report showing upmove, holding buy @121600 Parameters Data Asset Name : Price 🟩 Gold MCX (Feb '26) : 1,24,101 Price Movement 🟩 Upmove will continue to 1,24,500, 1,25,500 if break 1,25,500 then breakout Until 1,22,000 not break if break then 1,21,800, 1,19,250 possible. Reason 🟩 Technical Reversal & Analyst View: Strong buying interest ne ₹1,22,000 ke crucial support ko hold kiya. Global cues (US rate cut bets) se thoda pressure. Confidence 🟩 Bullish 19/30 Bullish , Avoid , Bearish (63.33% score Above 60% hai, isliye Green.) Probability 🟩 70% Upside: Bullish trend structure intact hai, aur price key support se upar trade kar raha hai. R:R 🟩 Favorable (Upside Target ₹1,27,000 vs SL ₹1,22,000. Approx 1:1.45) FNO Data 🟩 Short Covering / Long Build-up: Correction ke baad recovery indicates short-covering aur fresh buying. Liquidity Zones 🟩 Support Zone: ₹1,22,000 - ₹1,21,800 (Crucial Technical/Analyst Support) 🟥 Resistance Zone: ₹1,24,500 - ₹1,25,500 (Near-Term Supply Zone) Max Pain 🟨 N/A (No specific Max Pain data found for this contract) DEMA Levels 🟩 20 DEMA: ₹1,21,875 50 DEMA: ₹1,18,985 100 DEMA: N/A 200 DEMA: N/A 250 DEMA: N/A (Price 20 DEMA ke aas-paas hai, 50 DEMA ke upar, long-term trend bullish.) Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,22,000 S2: ₹1,21,570 S3: ₹1,20,905 Resistances 🟩 R1: ₹1,24,500 R2: ₹1,25,500 R3: ₹1,27,000 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI(14): 49.129 (Neutral) ADX: 15.033 (Weak/No Trend) Market Depth 🟨 Neutral (Day-end data, no strong bias) Volatility 🟨 Moderate (ATR values low volatility show kar rahe hain) Source
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold upmove will continue today booked 1000 points avoid sell Parameters Data Asset Name: Price Gold MCX (Dec 2025 Fut): ₹1,28,660 🟩 (+1,717 Points) (+1.35%) Price Movement Upmove will continue to , if break then breakout Until not break if break then , possible. R:R 1 : 1.5 Current Trade 🟩 BUY (T1: 129500, T2: 130200, SL: 127900) Probability 🟩 75% (Strong continuation of trend confirmed by global factors) Confidence 🟩 22/30 (73.33%) Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,27,500 (Current data indicates call writer stress) DEMA Levels 20-DEMA, 50-DEMA, 100-DEMA, 200-DEMA: All pointing upwards and below the price. 🟩 Supports S1: 1,28,000 🟩 (Immediate breakout retest level), S2: 1,27,200 🟩 (Key Pivot), S3: 1,26,500 🟩 Resistances R1: 1,29,500 🟥 (Immediate target), R2: 1,30,500 🟥 (Psychological Level), R3: 1,31,200 🟥 ADX/RSI/DMI RSI (14) near 66 🟩 (Strong momentum, not yet extremely overbought), ADX (14) near 31 🟩 (Trend is strong) Market Depth (L3) Aggressive buying interest at lower levels (bids>offers). 🟩 Volatility (IV/RV) Volatility is rising with the price surge. 🟩 Source Ledger MCX, Comex, CME Feeds, Investing.com, Nirmal Bang 🟩 OI Long Buildup (OI and Price both rising). 🟩 PCR (OI) Near 1.05 🟨 (Slightly neutral/balanced, not showing extreme bearishness) VWAP Price trading significantly above VWAP. 🟩 Turnover Volume is supporting the uptrend. 🟩 Harmonic Pattern N/A 🟨 IV/RV IV is firm. 🟩 Options Skew N/A 🟨 Vanna/Charm N/A 🟨 Block Trades Not explicitly tracked for this contract. 🟨 COT Positioning N/A 🟨 Cross-Asset Correlation Negative correlation with USD, Positive with Silver. 🟩 ETF Rotation Global Gold ETF inflows are positive. 🟩 Sentiment Index Greed (High bullish sentiment). 🟩 OFI Strong Positive Order Flow. 🟩 Delta Call Delta accumulation is high. 🟩 VWAP Bands Price breaking towards the upper band. 🟩 Rotation Metrics Commodity complex shows rotation strength. 🟩
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold continuesly buying recommended from 121600 ,buy on dipParameters Data Asset Name Gold Futures (Dec 2025): ₹1,25,999.00 Price Movement Buy side: , , . If break then downside possible towards , , . Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,27,500, T2: ₹1,28,200, T3: ₹1,29,000 / SL: ₹1,25,250 Risk Reward 🟩 1:1.5 (Buy entry near ₹1,26,000 with SL ₹1,25,250 and T1 ₹1,27,500 offers favorable upside potential.) / Threshold: Breakout above - ₹1,26,200 & Breakdown below -₹1,25,350 Confidence 🟩 22/30 (Dominant signals Strongly Bullish hain, indicating high conviction for an upside move.) Probability 🟩 72% Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,25,000 (Option chain data ke mutabik, yeh level Put writers ke liye crucial hai aur support zone ka kaam karega.) DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price sabhi key MAs ke upward sloping zone mein hai, suggesting a stable uptrend. Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,25,500 (Intraday/Technical Support), S2: ₹1,25,350 (Strong Buy-on-Dips zone), S3: ₹1,24,600. Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,26,200 (Immediate Hurdle), R2: ₹1,27,500 (Critical Resistance Band), R3: ₹1,28,200 (R1 is key for continuation). ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 60.10 (Bullish Momentum High.) ADX (14): 22.50 (Trend strength firm ho rahi hai.) Market Depth 🟩 Bullish Skew (Order Book mein Buy orders ka dominance, supporting current price.) Volatility 🟨 ATR (14): Moderate (Volatility normal hai, but breakout ke saath jump expected hai.) Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX, NSE, Investing.com, Dhan, TradingView via Data Accuracy Protocol.) OI 🟩 OI increase with price rise (Long Build-up), confirming sustained interest in the long side. PCR 🟩 1.15 (Above 1.0, indicating Put writing dominance, which is bullish for the immediate direction.) VWAP 🟩 Price is above VWAP (VWAP approx. ₹1,25,750), confirming intraday bullish strength. Turnover 🟩 High (Increased trading volume validating the move.) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None Dominant (Pure momentum rally.) IV/RV 🟨 IV is stable (Volatility expectation normal.) Options Skew 🟩 Positive Skew (Call premiums Put premiums se zyada expensive hain, indicating bullish sentiment.) Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive (Supporting the upside momentum.) Block Trades 🟨 No Major Signal (No significant block trades noted.) COT Positioning 🟩 Managed Money Net Longs (Global speculative positioning heavily bullish.) Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Negative Correlation with DXY (DXY weakness is a major driver). ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Global Gold ETFs mein buying chal rahi hai.) Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Sentiment is highly positive, sustaining the rally.) OFI 🟩 Positive (Order Flow Imbalance suggests strong buying pressure.) Delta 🟩 Positive Skewed (Higher Call Delta buildup.) VWAP Bands 🟩 Price at Upper Band (Trading at the top of the short-term range.) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Strong Inflow (Capital is flowing into Bullion.)
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold comex continuesly buying from 4035 , 4255-70Parameters Data Asset Name Gold Futures (COMEX Dec 2025): $4,221.30/oz Price Movement Buy side: , , . If break then downside possible towards , , . Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: $4,245.00, T2: $4,285.00, T3: $4,320.00 / SL: $4,175.00 Risk Reward 🟩 1:1.8 (Risk is managed below the key psychological support of $4,200.) / Threshold: Breakout above - $4,227.50 & Breakdown below - $4,195.00 Confidence 🟩 24/30 (Technical indicators and sentiment are overwhelmingly bullish, indicating high conviction.) Probability 🟩 78% Max Pain 🟨 $4,150 - $4,100 (Current price action suggests option writers are under pressure, potentially fueling a further squeeze higher.) DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price is above all major MAs, confirming a robust long-term bullish trend. Supports 🟩 S1: $4,195.00 (Recent consolidation low), S2: $4,150.00 (Psychological/Technical), S3: $4,120.00 (Previous strong base). Resistances 🟥 R1: $4,227.50 (Immediate high of 28 Nov), R2: $4,245.00 (Near-term hurdle), R3: $4,285.00 (Path to ATH). ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 66.76 (Strong momentum in the Buy zone, but not yet extreme Overbought). ADX (14): 53.07 (Very Strong Trend Strength). Market Depth 🟩 Bullish Skew (Higher volume of buy stops is expected above current highs, which can accelerate the move.) Volatility 🟨 ATR (14): High (Increased price movement due to rate-cut uncertainty and strong trend). Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (COMEX, Investing.com, Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Kitco via Data Accuracy Protocol.) OI 🟩 Fresh Long Build-up (OI increasing with price, validating the upward trend.) PCR 🟩 Bullish (Put volume/interest is providing a strong technical floor.) VWAP 🟩 Price is significantly above VWAP, confirming strong institutional participation. Turnover 🟩 High (Increased trading activity supporting the price rise.) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None Dominant (Pure fundamental/momentum rally.) IV/RV 🟨 IV is firm, RV is high (Volatility is expected to continue.) Options Skew 🟩 Positive Skew (Higher Call premiums, indicating anticipation of further gains.) Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive (Supporting the upside momentum.) Block Trades 🟩 Reported Buy Block Trades (Indicating institutional entry.) COT Positioning 🟩 Record Net Longs (Managed money positioning is highly supportive of higher prices.) Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Negative Correlation with USD Index (DXY) (DXY weakness is primary fuel.) ETF Rotation 🟩 Consistent Inflows (ETFs receiving capital for the fourth straight week). Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Sentiment is highly bullish, giving confidence to the trend.) OFI 🟩 Positive (Order Flow suggests continued buying pressure.) Delta 🟩 Positive Skewed (Higher Call Delta buildup.) VWAP Bands 🟩 Trading at Upper Band (Confirmation of strong trending environment.) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Strong Inflow (Gold is a top performing asset in the current risk environment.)
COMEX:GC1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Bullish Pennant Breakout Strategy in GoldBullish Pennant Breakout in Gold MCX 📊 Pattern Overview: A Bullish Pennant pattern has formed after a strong upward move, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. The pattern is characterized by converging trendlines during consolidation, followed by a breakout to the upside. 📈 Strategy Setup: Pattern: Bullish Pennant Breakout Confirmation: Price closing above pennant resistance line Entry Zone: Near breakout candle close Target (T1): ₹125,635 Stop Loss (SL): ₹118,682 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2 📊 Indicator Confluence: T-K Cross: Bullish Cross Price vs Kijun: Bullish Cloud Trend: Up VWMA: Up RSI: Up VWAP: Up SuperTrend: Down (short-term resistance, to be monitored) 🧠 Trading Logic: The Bullish Pennant indicates a temporary consolidation within an existing uptrend. A confirmed breakout with indicator support (Ichimoku, RSI, VWMA, and VWAP in alignment) strengthens the bullish momentum. Traders may look for sustained candles above the upper trendline with volume confirmation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Market conditions can change rapidly — always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by RANAPRATAP24