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Crude oil mcx still in range buy on dip 5150 amd sell 5420-5450Parameter Data Data Asset Name Crude Oil MCX Futures (Dec 2025) Last Traded Price (LTP) 🟢 ₹5,423.00/BBL (Reference: Dec 8, 2025) Price Movement 🟢 Positive (Approx. +0.74% from previous close) Current Trade 🟢 Expansion Phase (Bullish Breakout) Active SMC Structure 🟢 Short-term Bullish (Decisive Breakout from Multi-month Descending Trendline and resistance, confirming a structural shift) Trap/Liquidity Zones Supply/Trap Zone: ₹5,433 - ₹5,480 (Immediate overhead resistance/Short-term liquidity target) Demand/Liquidity Zone: ₹5,303 - ₹5,350 (Previous Resistance now acting as major support/Order Block) Probability 🟢 High (70% probability for upward trend continuation towards ₹5,520) Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟢 High (Strong confluence of technical breakout and fundamental support) Max Pain ₹5,400 (Options Max Pain for current weekly expiry) DEMA Levels 🟢 Bullish (Price has reclaimed and is trading above key DE-MAs) Supports Pivot: ₹5,362.00, S1: ₹5,326.66, S2: ₹5,305.27 (Key structural support) Resistances R1: ₹5,433.00, R2: ₹5,520.00, R3: ₹5,602.00 ADX/RSI/DMI ADX (14): 🟢 > 25 (Trend Strength is improving) +DI (14): 🟢 Dominant (Strong Bullish Direction) RSI (14): 🟡 ~48.00 (Neutral, but ample room for upside) Market Depth Requires live data Volatility 🟡 Moderate/High (Price fluctuation expected near breakout levels) Source Ledger MCX/CME/API Data Aggregate OI (Open Interest) 🟢 High (Increased Call & Put OI near ATM suggests active participation) PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 1.47 (Active Strike PCR) / 0.79 (Overall Dec Expiry OI PCR): (Mixed/Bullish in short-term options, but slightly bearish in overall OI) VWAP Price is trading above the daily VWAP. Turnover 🟢 High (High Volume accompanying the breakout) Harmonic Pattern No clear or active major pattern. IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (ATM IV: 10.47%, in line with historical volatility) Options Skew Implied bullish bias based on Put OI accumulation Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data Block Trades No recent significant reports COT Positioning 🟢 Bullish (Global WTI data suggests net long speculative buying) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟡 Weak/Neutral (Decoupled from Nifty/equity indices) ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures Sentiment Index 🟢 Bullish (Sentiment improving post-breakout) OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟢 Buy-side pressure (Confirmed by research data) Delta 🟢 Positive (Overall directional bias is up) VWAP Bands Requires live data Rotation Metrics 🟢 Positive (Sustaining higher levels) Market Phase 🟢 Expansion (New bullish move initiated)
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Part 1 Supprot and Resistance What Are Options? Options are derivative contracts that give the trader a right, but not an obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a pre-defined price (called the strike price) before or on a specific date (called the expiry). There are two main types of options: Call Option – gives the right to buy the underlying asset. Put Option – gives the right to sell the underlying asset. In options, the person who buys the contract is called the option buyer, and the one who sells (writes) the contract is the option seller or writer.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
Crudeoil mcx AI tool data Analysis provided on description use Parameter Data Asset Name Crude Oil MCX Futures (Dec 2025): ₹5,428/BBL (LTP: Dec 5, 2025 Close) Price Movement Bullish momentum targeting and . Downside possible if is breached, targeting and . Current Trade 🟨 Cautious BUY / T1: ₹5,480, T2: ₹5,550, T3: ₹5,620 / SL: ₹5,349 Risk Reward (R:R) 🟨 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟨 20/30 (66.67%) (Neutral to Cautiously Bullish; requires confirmation above ₹5,480.) Probability 🟨 65% (Slight tilt toward upside continuation in the short term.) Market Phase 🟨 Consolidation/Contraction within a rising channel (Building pressure for the next move.) DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish (Price is above 20-DEMA and 50-DEMA, confirming short-term strength.) Supports 🟩 S1: ₹5,350 (Immediate Pivot/Daily Low Zone), 🟩 S2: ₹5,300 (Major Psychological Support/Channel Bottom), 🟩 S3: ₹5,220 (200-DEMA Support). Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹5,480 (Key Weekly Resistance/Supply Zone), 🟥 R2: ₹5,550 (Previous Swing High/Liquidity), 🟥 R3: ₹5,620 (Channel Top). SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidating Order Flow. Found a strong demand zone near ₹5,300 but needs a forceful BOS (Break of Structure) above ₹5,480. Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Liquidity Target: Above ₹5,550 (Bears are trapped below ₹5,300). Potential Trap: A fake-out above ₹5,480 before a drop. Max Pain 🟨 ₹5,400 (Options data suggests max pain is slightly below the close price.) ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14): 58 (Neutral/Bullish bias), ADX (14): 18 (Weak trend, consistent with consolidation.) Market Depth 🟩 N/A (Weekend data; Depth N/A.) Volatility 🟨 Moderate (Volatility is contained within the rising channel.) Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (Weekend Rule): Official MCX Dec 2025 Closing Data and Global WTI Jan 2026 Futures Close. OI 🟩 Up / Price Up (Open Interest increased slightly with the price rise, a positive sign for the move.) PCR 🟩 1.05 (Slightly bullish bias, with more Put writing (support building) than Call writing.) VWAP 🟨 N/A (Weekend data; VWAP N/A.) Turnover 🟩 High (Turnover was high, confirming active participation in the upward bounce.) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Developing (Potential for an Inverse Head and Shoulders on lower timeframes; wait for confirmation.) IV/RV 🟨 Moderate IV (Implied Volatility is stable, suggesting no immediate explosive move is priced in.) Options Skew 🟨 Neutral Skew (The market is balanced between upside and downside risk anticipation.) Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Neutral.) Block Trades 🟩 Accumulation observed near the ₹5,300 support zone. COT Positioning 🟨 Net Long Reduced (Large speculators globally have slightly reduced their net long positions, indicating caution.) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Moderate Positive with Brent Crude, Weak Inverse with USD Index (DXY). ETF Rotation 🟨 Neutral (No significant net flows detected in Crude Oil ETFs.) Sentiment Index 🟨 55 (Neutral/Hopeful). Sentiment is recovering from fear but not yet greedy. OFI 🟩 Buy-side pressure (Order Flow confirms buyers were slightly more aggressive during the session close.) Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Positive (Small buying absorption across the day.) VWAP Bands 🟨 N/A (VWAP band data not available.) Rotation Metrics 🟨 Lagging (Crude is lagging behind the strong performance of Natural Gas and Metals this week.) Data Triangulation 🟩 Verified (MCX price is aligned with global WTI strength; technical levels are clear.)
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
MCX CRUDE OIL (DEC-25) — Bullish Trend Setup IdentifiedA fresh Bullish Trend Entry Zone has been detected on MCX Crude Oil DEC-25, indicating a potential upside continuation from the demand zone. 📈 Trade Setup 🟢 Entry Range: 5370 – 5390 🔴 Stop Loss: 5430 🎯 Target 1: 5270 🎯 Target 2: 5170 📊 Chart Explanation Crude Oil has recently shown strong accumulation behavior near the lower demand band. Price is now entering a bullish reversal range, supported by: Prior demand zone retest Higher-low structure Increasing bullish momentum Buyers absorbing supply near 5370–5390 This setup indicates a possible swing move towards the 5270 and 5170 zones. ⚠️ Risk Management Keep SL strictly at 5430 Position sizing is crucial as volatility remains high This analysis is for educational purposes—trade with discipline 📌 Summary Crude Oil DEC-25 is showing a clean bullish continuation structure. If price sustains above the entry zone, we may see a strong move toward the mentioned targets.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by Adijohn
Crude Oil at Key Decision Zone”Crude Oil (MCX) currently testing a major decision zone. Price has reached a confluence of: Higher-timeframe falling trendline 1H supply zone Previous structure resistance Is zone se market do clear structure moves bana sakta hai: ✔ Bullish Scenario Price cleanly breaks above the supply zone Retest holds as support Upside extension target: 5400–5420 ✔ Bearish Scenario Price rejects the trendline + supply confluence Breakdown below intraday support Downside target: 5260 zone Bias: No early entry. Reaction confirmation on the zone will decide the next directional trade.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
by TheBottomHunter
Crude Oil Resistance Breakout – Retest & Buy OpportunityCrude Oil has broken above a key resistance zone, which had previously acted as a strong supply area multiple times. After the breakout, the price is now approaching the same zone for a potential retest. If the retest holds as support and bullish candles appear, it can confirm buyer strength and provide a high-probability long setup. 📌 Trade Plan: Buy Zone: On retest of the breakout level Confirmation: Bullish rejection candle / strong bounce from support Targets: TP1: Recent swing high TP2: Next resistance level for extended move Stop Loss: Below the retest support zone 📈 Idea Logic: The resistance has flipped into support, indicating shift in market structure from range to bullish momentum. A successful retest offers a safer and more reliable entry.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by TheBottomHunter
Event-Based Trading: A Comprehensive OverviewTypes of Events in Event-Based Trading Event-based trading revolves around various types of events that can materially impact the value of securities. These events are generally categorized into corporate, economic, political, and market-wide events: Corporate Events These include events directly related to individual companies. Key examples include: Earnings Announcements: Quarterly or annual earnings reports often trigger sharp price movements, especially if results deviate significantly from market expectations. Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): News of a merger, acquisition, or takeover bid can drastically alter a company’s valuation. Traders may buy shares of the target company in anticipation of a takeover premium or short the acquirer if they anticipate integration challenges. Stock Splits or Buybacks: Companies announcing stock splits or share repurchase programs can influence demand and supply dynamics, creating trading opportunities. Spin-offs: When a company spins off a subsidiary, traders often analyze relative valuations to exploit potential mispricings. Economic Events Economic data releases and policy decisions can move markets significantly: Interest Rate Announcements: Central bank decisions can influence bond yields, currency valuations, and stock markets. Inflation Data and Employment Reports: Unexpected deviations from forecasts often lead to volatility in equities, currencies, and commodities. GDP Growth Reports: Market participants adjust their risk exposure based on economic growth trends. Political Events Political developments can have far-reaching effects: Elections: Outcome predictions or surprises can shift investor sentiment across sectors or entire markets. Regulatory Changes: Policy shifts in taxation, environmental regulations, or trade agreements can impact specific industries. Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts, sanctions, or trade wars create sudden market reactions, often in commodities like oil or gold, and in related equities. Market Events Market-specific events include phenomena like: IPO Launches: Newly listed stocks often experience high volatility due to initial market sentiment and institutional interest. Index Rebalancing: Periodic adjustments of stock indices by benchmark providers can create temporary demand-supply imbalances. Corporate Governance Changes: Resignations of key executives or board restructuring can influence investor confidence. Key Principles of Event-Based Trading Event-based trading relies on a combination of research, anticipation, timing, and risk management. The key principles include: Anticipation and Analysis Traders must anticipate which events could lead to profitable opportunities. This requires understanding historical market reactions, industry dynamics, and economic sensitivities. For example, if a central bank is expected to raise interest rates, currency and banking stocks may react predictably. Volatility Exploitation Events often create short-term price spikes or drops due to sudden shifts in supply-demand dynamics. Event-based traders seek to enter positions before or immediately after such moves to profit from rapid price changes. Information Advantage Traders rely on timely and accurate information. Access to real-time news feeds, earnings reports, economic indicators, and regulatory filings is critical. Some professional event traders use alternative data sources, such as satellite imagery for commodity analysis or shipping data for logistics insights. Short-Term Focus While some event-based strategies can be medium-term, most trading revolves around short-term price reactions. Traders often hold positions for hours, days, or weeks, depending on the nature and expected impact of the event. Risk Management Event-based trading carries inherent risks due to unpredictable outcomes. Sudden reversals, rumors, or delayed reactions can lead to losses. Traders use stop-loss orders, position sizing, and hedging strategies to protect capital. Common Event-Based Trading Strategies Event-driven traders often specialize in particular strategies based on event type and market response: Merger Arbitrage Traders exploit the price difference between the current trading price of a target company and the announced acquisition price. For instance, if a company is being acquired for $50 per share, but the stock trades at $47, traders might buy the stock anticipating a convergence to the acquisition price. Earnings Plays Traders anticipate stock price movements around earnings releases by analyzing historical earnings surprises and market expectations. They may use options strategies like straddles or strangles to profit from anticipated volatility. Dividend Capture Some traders focus on stock price movements around dividend announcements or ex-dividend dates, seeking short-term gains from anticipated adjustments in stock prices. Regulatory Arbitrage Traders identify potential winners or losers from regulatory changes. For instance, if a government announces incentives for renewable energy, event-based traders might buy stocks in solar or wind energy companies. Macro Event Trading Economic data releases, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical developments create opportunities in forex, bonds, commodities, and equity markets. Traders position themselves to profit from expected market reactions. Tools and Techniques in Event-Based Trading Successful event-based trading relies on a combination of analytical, technological, and informational tools: News and Data Feeds Real-time information from Bloomberg, Reuters, and other financial data providers allows traders to react swiftly to events. Event Calendars Calendars tracking earnings releases, IPOs, mergers, central bank meetings, and economic announcements help traders plan positions in advance. Options and Derivatives Options, futures, and other derivatives are often used to hedge risk or enhance returns, especially when anticipating large price swings. Quantitative Models Advanced event-based traders use algorithms to model market reactions based on historical data, volatility patterns, and correlations. Sentiment Analysis Natural language processing and social media monitoring help gauge market sentiment around corporate and macroeconomic events. Advantages of Event-Based Trading Profit Potential: Exploiting short-term mispricings around events can generate substantial returns. Diverse Opportunities: Multiple event types across sectors and asset classes provide a wide array of trading possibilities. Leverage Use: Derivatives allow traders to amplify returns on event-driven trades. Reduced Market Direction Risk: Some strategies, like merger arbitrage, are less dependent on overall market trends. Challenges and Risks Despite its potential, event-based trading comes with unique challenges: Unpredictable Outcomes: Not all events have the expected market impact; surprises can lead to significant losses. Timing Sensitivity: Missing the optimal entry or exit window can erode potential profits. High Volatility: Sharp price swings can trigger margin calls and emotional decision-making. Information Competition: Institutional traders with superior access and algorithms may capture most profitable opportunities. Regulatory Risks: Insider trading regulations must be strictly followed; trading on non-public material information is illegal. Conclusion Event-based trading is a sophisticated strategy that capitalizes on market inefficiencies caused by specific events. Its effectiveness relies on a blend of meticulous research, rapid execution, and robust risk management. By focusing on corporate announcements, economic indicators, political developments, and market-specific events, traders aim to exploit the short-term mispricings that naturally arise in response to new information. While it offers the potential for substantial profits, it also demands expertise, discipline, and technological resources to navigate its inherent risks successfully. In today’s fast-moving markets, event-based trading represents both a challenge and an opportunity for traders willing to act decisively on the information that shapes asset prices.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
Core Principles of Intraday Scalping Strategy1. Precision in Entry and Exit Timing The heart of scalping lies in flawless timing. Since each trade aims to capture only a few ticks or points, even a slight delay can turn a winning trade into a losing one. Scalpers rely heavily on lower time frames such as the 1-minute, 3-minute, or 5-minute charts to pinpoint micro-trends and volatility spikes. To achieve precision, traders often utilize tools such as: Level 2 market depth Order flow analysis Volume-profile clusters Price action patterns like micro pullbacks, breakouts, and retests Perfect timing means entering before the move accelerates and exiting as soon as momentum shows signs of exhaustion. Overstaying in a position almost always leads to unnecessary risk. 2. Emphasis on Liquidity and Tight Spreads Liquidity is the lifeblood of scalping. To get in and out quickly at favorable prices, a trader must operate in markets where buyers and sellers are constantly active. High liquidity reduces slippage, ensures tight bid-ask spreads, and allows traders to execute multiple positions efficiently. In equities, scalpers usually pick: High-volume large-cap stocks Liquid index constituents Instruments with narrow spreads In forex or commodities, they prefer major pairs or index futures like NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, S&P500, gold, etc. The tighter the spread, the easier it becomes for scalpers to break even and lock in small profits. 3. Risk Management Above Everything Even though scalpers aim for small profits, the risk can escalate quickly if stops are not strictly executed. A single large loss can wipe out the gains of 20–30 successful scalps. Hence, risk management is not optional—it is the foundation. Key risk principles include: Fixed stop-loss orders for every single trade Using smaller position sizes relative to capital Defining daily maximum loss limits (stop trading after it hits) Risk-to-reward ratios tailored for frequent exits, often 1:1 or even slightly lower, because the win rate compensates for it Professional scalpers also avoid revenge trading and never compound losses by adding to a losing position. 4. High Win Ratio with Controlled Losses Scalping depends on high trade accuracy. Unlike position trading where a few large wins can overcome many small losses, scalping thrives on consistency. A win-rate of 60–75% is typical among successful practitioners. The core principle is simple: Take small, consistent wins and cut losing trades instantly. Losing trades must be kept extremely small, often exiting within seconds if the price does not move as expected. The edge lies not in the size of the profit but in the frequency and accuracy. 5. Reading Momentum and Micro-Trends Momentum is everything in scalping. Traders must develop the ability to sense the strength of price movement in real time. This involves: Watching consecutive green or red candles Observing volume surges Tracking sudden imbalances in buying or selling pressure Identifying micro pullbacks and continuation setups Momentum trading is especially effective during: Opening market hours Breakouts of key intraday levels News releases Strong trending sessions Scalpers avoid sideways, choppy markets because the probability of whipsaws increases significantly. 6. Clear and Repeatable Strategy Setup Successful scalpers do not improvise on the spot. They follow one highly refined setup or at most two. Their repeatable strategy might involve: Breakout scalping VWAP bounce/reversal scalping Order-flow imbalance scalping EMA crossover with momentum confirmation Liquidity sweep and immediate reversal entry The more precise and repetitive the setup, the quicker the execution. Scalpers aim for muscle-memory trading, where they instantly recognize setups with minimal hesitation. 7. Discipline and Emotional Stability Scalping can be psychologically intense. Trades open and close within seconds. Markets can reverse rapidly, and rapid-fire decision-making can trigger emotional responses like fear, greed, and frustration. Core psychological principles include: Avoiding FOMO entries Remaining patient until the perfect setup appears Not increasing position size to recover losses Maintaining calm during rapid market movements Mental discipline is what separates consistent scalpers from impulsive traders who burn out quickly. 8. Technology and Speed of Execution Since scalping requires ultra-fast entries and exits, traders depend on high-quality trading infrastructure: Low-latency internet connection High-performance trading platform Hotkeys for quick order execution Advanced charting tools Direct market access (DMA) brokers when available Even a one-second delay in order execution can significantly affect profitability. 9. Focus on Market Structure and Key Intraday Levels Scalpers must understand the structure of the market at a micro level. Before trading, they identify key levels such as: Previous day’s high/low Opening range breakout (ORB) levels VWAP and standard deviations Fibonacci intraday zones Fair value gaps (FVGs) Supply and demand zones Trading around these levels provides natural liquidity, momentum bursts, and clearer direction. 10. Small Profit Targets, but High Frequency Scalpers aim for 0.1% to 0.5% price movements. The strategy works because trades are frequent. Instead of chasing a big move, they accept whatever the market offers quickly and consistently. A typical scalper may aim for: 10–50 trades per session 5–10 points in index futures per trade 0.05–0.2% move in stocks Frequent partial exits to secure gains Small wins accumulate rapidly, resulting in steady returns. 11. Adaptability to Changing Market Conditions Markets behave differently across sessions. Some days are trending strongly; others are range-bound or news-driven. A scalper must adapt: Trade more aggressively in high momentum Reduce size during consolidation Avoid trading before major news if spreads widen Block trading during highly unpredictable spikes Adaptability is a key edge because scalping cannot be performed blindly. 12. Strict Trading Journal and Performance Review Data is the scalper’s ultimate teacher. Keeping a detailed trading journal helps identify: Win/loss patterns Best performing setups Error tendencies Psychological weaknesses Times of day with highest accuracy Weekly reviews allow scalpers to continuously refine their strategy and improve execution. Conclusion Intraday scalping is a skill-based, high-concentration trading method that demands discipline, speed, and a systematic approach. Its core principles revolve around precision, risk management, liquidity, momentum reading, and psychological control. While the profits per trade are small, the cumulative gains can be significant when the strategy is executed consistently. By mastering these principles and maintaining emotional stability, traders can turn scalping into one of the most rewarding—yet challenging—forms of intraday trading.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
Crude mcx 5200-5260 range ,AI tool data attached in description Parameters Data Asset Name Crude Oil MCX Reason 🟨 Global oil market mein surplus supply ki umeed aur Russia-Ukraine peace deal ki speculations ke chalte minor pressure. R:R 🟨 N/A (Range-bound) / Threshold: Breakout above - & Breakdown below Current Trade 🟨 AVOID | R1: 5250.00, R2: 5280.00, R3: 5320.00 | S1: 5200.00, S2: 5170.00, S3: 5140.00 Probability 🟨 50% Confidence 🟨 15/30 (Technical support hai, par global news flow bearish hai, isliye Neutral Confidence.) Price Movement Buy side: 5250.00, 5280.00, 5320.00. If break 5200.00 then downside possible towards 5170.00, 5140.00, 5100.00. FNO Data (OI/PCR) 🟨 PCR 0.88-0.95 ki range mein hai (Neutral to mild Bearish). Mixed OI activity. Liquidity Zones 🟨 Liquidity ₹5,200 - ₹5,250 ke beech tight hai, jo consolidation dikhata hai. Max Pain 🟨 5200-5250 (Is zone ke aas paas hi range dikhata hai.) Gamma Exposure 🟨 Gamma flat hai. Supports 🟨 S1: 5200.00 (Major Psychological/DEMA) | S2: 5170.00 | S3: 5140.00 Resistances 🟨 R1: 5250.00 (Immediate Resistance) | R2: 5280.00 | R3: 5320.00 DEMA Levels 🟩 Price majority SMAs/EMAs (5, 10, 20 DEMA) se upar hai, but near-term EMA 200 (approx. 5211) ke aas paas hai. ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14) 53.85 (Neutral). Trend weak ho raha hai. Market Depth 🟨 Buying aur Selling orders almost equal hain. Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟥 Brent aur WTI futures dono hi down chal rahe hain. COT Positioning 🟨 Hedge funds net long hain, par sentiment cautious hai. Source Ledger 🟨 MCX, Investing.com, TradingView, CME.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Crude MCX AI tool showing sideways till 5100 or 5280 not break Parameters Data Asset Name : Price 🟥 Crude Oil MCX (Dec) : 5,188 Price Movement 🟨 Sideways will continue to 5,280, 5,350 if break 5,350 then breakout Until 5,100 not break if break then 5,030, 4,950 possible. Reason 🟨 Demand Concerns vs. OPEC+ Cuts: Global demand ki chinta aur US inventories mein build-up se prices par dabaav, jise OPEC+ ke supply cuts support de rahe hain. Confidence 🟨 Neutral 15/30 Bullish , Avoid , Bearish (50.00% score 40% se 60% ki range mein hai, isliye Yellow/Neutral.) Probability 🟨 60% Sideways/Consolidation: Jab tak ₹5,100 aur ₹5,350 ki range break nahi hoti, tab tak range-bound movement expected hai. R:R 🟨 Neutral: Current levels par R:R 1:1 ke aas-paas hai. FNO Data 🟨 Liquidation/Unwinding: Price down aur OI down (-2.15%) dikha raha hai. Liquidity Zones 🟩 Support Zone: ₹5,100 - ₹5,150 (Key Psychological Support) 🟥 Resistance Zone: ₹5,300 - ₹5,350 (Previous Highs) Max Pain 🟨 N/A (No specific Max Pain data found) DEMA Levels 🟨 20 DEMA: ₹5,250 50 DEMA: ₹5,105 100 DEMA: N/A 200 DEMA: N/A 250 DEMA: N/A (Price 20 DEMA ke neeche, 50 DEMA ke upar, neutral bias.) Supports 🟩 S1: ₹5,100 S2: ₹5,030 S3: ₹4,950 Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹5,280 R2: ₹5,350 R3: ₹5,500 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI(14): 49.20 (Neutral) ADX: 18.00 (Weak Trend) Market Depth 🟨 Neutral (No strong bias) Volatility 🟨 Moderate (ATR values stable hain.) Source Ledger 🟩 MCX / CME / OANDA (Verified sources used) OI 🟨 16,500 contracts (Change: -2.15%; minor unwinding) PCR 🟨 N/A (No explicit PCR data available) VWAP 🟥 Sell (Price VWAP ₹5,220 ke neeche trade kar raha hai) Turnover 🟨 Moderate Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A IV/RV 🟨 IV Moderate: Implied Volatility stable hai. Options Skew 🟨 Neutral (No strong directional Skew dikh raha hai) Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Advanced Greeks data not available) Block Trades 🟨 N/A (No immediate Block Trades reported) COT Positioning 🟨 Neutral (Large money managers long position maintain kar rahe hain.) Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟨 Neutral to Equities: Correlation weak hai. ETF Rotation 🟨 Neutral Sentiment Index 🟨 Cautious Neutral OFI 🟨 N/A (Order Flow Imbalance data not explicitly available) Delta 🟨 N/A (Options Delta data not explicitly available) VWAP Bands 🟥 Price below VWAP (Bearish indication) Rotation Metrics 🟨 N/A
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Crude start buying on dip 5250-5200 buying area levels on chart Crude start buying on dip 5250 to 5200 buying area , levels given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
5
Multi-Timeframe Analysis (Intraday, Swing, Positional)1. Understanding Multi-Timeframe Analysis Multi-Timeframe Analysis refers to the process of observing the same security across different timeframes to identify trend alignment, potential reversal zones, and optimal trading opportunities. Every timeframe provides unique insights: Higher Timeframe: Defines the major trend and key support/resistance zones. Intermediate Timeframe: Helps identify swing trends within the larger move. Lower Timeframe: Provides precise entry and exit signals. For example, a trader analyzing Nifty 50 might observe: Daily Chart (Positional) for the overall trend direction. Hourly Chart (Swing) for intermediate momentum. 15-Minute Chart (Intraday) for entry confirmation. This top-down approach ensures that trades are placed in harmony with the broader market movement rather than against it. 2. The Logic Behind Multi-Timeframe Analysis Financial markets are fractal in nature, meaning patterns repeat on various time scales. A breakout on a 5-minute chart might just be a retracement on a 1-hour chart, while a downtrend on a daily chart could appear as a bullish trend on a 15-minute chart. MTA helps traders: Identify dominant trends (macro view). Spot short-term countertrends (micro adjustments). Time entries with high probability setups. Essentially, it synchronizes multiple layers of information to produce well-informed trading decisions. 3. Types of Traders and Timeframes Each trader category operates within different time horizons: A. Intraday Traders Objective: Capture small price moves within a single trading day. Timeframes Used: 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, and 1-hour charts. Holding Period: A few minutes to several hours. Example: A trader identifies a bullish breakout on the 15-minute chart, confirms strength on the 5-minute chart, and exits before the market close. B. Swing Traders Objective: Ride short to medium-term trends lasting several days or weeks. Timeframes Used: 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily charts. Holding Period: 2 to 15 days typically. Example: A bullish pattern on the daily chart confirmed by a 4-hour breakout helps the trader capture a multi-day price rally. C. Positional Traders Objective: Trade major trends that can last from weeks to months. Timeframes Used: Daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Holding Period: Several weeks to many months. Example: A trader identifies a long-term uptrend on the weekly chart and holds positions through short-term fluctuations. Each trader uses MTA to align smaller trends within the context of larger ones. 4. The Top-Down Approach The Top-Down Approach is a systematic method of conducting multi-timeframe analysis. It involves starting with the highest relevant timeframe and drilling down to lower timeframes for precision. Step 1: Identify the Major Trend (Higher Timeframe) Use weekly or daily charts to determine the broader market direction. Apply moving averages, trendlines, or price structure (higher highs and higher lows). Example: On the weekly chart, Nifty 50 is in an uptrend. Step 2: Confirm Momentum (Intermediate Timeframe) Switch to a 4-hour or 1-hour chart to check if the momentum supports the higher timeframe trend. Look for consolidation, breakouts, or pullbacks. Step 3: Refine Entry and Exit (Lower Timeframe) Use 15-minute or 5-minute charts to time entries and exits. Identify short-term support, resistance, and candlestick patterns for precision. This method ensures alignment between long-term direction and short-term trade execution, minimizing false signals and improving accuracy. 5. Example of Multi-Timeframe Analysis in Action Let’s illustrate with an example: Weekly Chart (Positional View): Shows a strong uptrend with price above 50-day moving average. Daily Chart (Swing View): Reveals a bullish flag pattern forming after a rally. Hourly Chart (Intraday View): Displays a breakout above the flag resistance with volume confirmation. A positional trader may initiate a long position based on weekly strength, while a swing trader enters after the daily flag breakout. An intraday trader could use the hourly chart to time the exact breakout candle entry. All three traders align their strategies to the same trend but operate on different time horizons. 6. Tools and Indicators Used in Multi-Timeframe Analysis Several tools enhance the effectiveness of MTA: Moving Averages (MA): Identify trend direction and alignment across timeframes (e.g., 20 EMA, 50 SMA). Relative Strength Index (RSI): Helps confirm momentum consistency. MACD: Detects shifts in momentum and crossovers aligning with major trends. Support and Resistance Levels: Define crucial zones visible across charts. Trendlines and Channels: Show structure of price swings. Candlestick Patterns: Confirm entry signals on smaller timeframes. Combining these tools across multiple frames builds confluence—an essential component of successful trading. 7. Advantages of Multi-Timeframe Analysis Trend Confirmation: Confirms whether short-term movements align with the long-term trend, improving accuracy. Reduced False Signals: Helps filter noise from smaller charts that may mislead traders. Enhanced Entry Timing: Allows traders to enter trades at precise moments when all timeframes agree. Better Risk Management: By aligning with larger trends, traders can define stop-loss and target levels more logically. Adaptability Across Strategies: Suitable for scalping, swing trading, or long-term investing. 8. Challenges in Multi-Timeframe Analysis While MTA is powerful, it also presents certain difficulties: Information Overload: Analyzing multiple charts can cause confusion or analysis paralysis. Conflicting Signals: Short-term and long-term charts may show opposite trends, requiring trader judgment. Execution Complexity: Managing entries and exits across multiple timeframes demands discipline and experience. Emotional Bias: Traders may get biased by one timeframe and ignore contradictory evidence. Therefore, consistency in analysis and clear trading rules are vital to prevent confusion. 9. Tips for Effective Multi-Timeframe Trading Always start with higher timeframes before moving down. Use a ratio of 1:4 or 1:6 between timeframes (e.g., daily → 4-hour → 1-hour). Focus on key support/resistance levels visible across multiple frames. Avoid overcomplicating; two or three timeframes are usually enough. Maintain a trading journal to note observations from each timeframe. Use alerts or automated tools to monitor price behavior when multiple charts are involved. 10. Conclusion Multi-Timeframe Analysis is not just a technique but a strategic framework that enhances decision-making across trading styles—whether intraday, swing, or positional. By combining insights from different timeframes, traders gain a holistic view of the market, identify high-probability setups, and reduce the risk of false entries. For intraday traders, MTA refines timing; for swing traders, it offers trend confirmation; and for positional traders, it ensures long-term alignment. When executed with discipline, proper analysis, and risk control, Multi-Timeframe Analysis becomes one of the most reliable methods to trade profitably in volatile markets like India’s NSE and BSE.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
Crude 5230-5200 fall again possible sell on rise Crude sell on rise 5230-5200 will come How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Crude Oil Futures Technical Analysis with TargetsCrude Oil Futures (MCX) Technical Analysis – Key Levels and Price Outlook (November 2025 Update) - Crude oil prices have shown some recovery this week after a continuous downtrend seen in October. - The market is now trying to build a base above ₹5,100 and looks ready for a possible short-term bounce if bulls manage to sustain above support levels. Let’s break down the current chart structure, support, resistance, and targets in detail. 1. Current Market Overview Crude Oil Futures on MCX are trading around **₹5,460–₹5,500**. After a sharp correction from ₹6,500 levels, prices finally took support near **₹5,100**, which acted as a major base. Since then, the price has started forming higher lows, showing that buyers are slowly returning to the market. However, the price is still below the key resistance zone, which means bulls need a confirmed breakout before a strong rally begins. 2. Important Support Levels 🟢 Major Support – ₹5,100 to ₹5,144 This zone has become the strongest base for crude oil. The market took multiple rejections from this level before bouncing back. As long as crude stays above ₹5,100, the overall structure remains positive for a possible up-move. 🟢Latest Support – ₹5,485 to ₹5,515 This is the immediate support zone just below the current price. If crude oil manages to hold above this range, it could confirm short-term bullish strength. A close below this support might again push prices toward ₹5,100. 3. Key Resistance Levels 🔴 Resistance Zone – ₹5,980 to ₹6,021 This is the first major resistance zone to watch. If prices move above ₹5,700 (first breakout level) and sustain, crude could attempt to test ₹6,000. Historically, sellers have been active near this area, so it will be a tough barrier for bulls. 🔴 Major Resistance – ₹6,520 to ₹6,580 This is the long-term resistance zone. If crude oil manages to break above ₹6,600 decisively, it will mark the beginning of a strong bullish phase. Such a move could open the way toward ₹7,000 or higher in the coming months. 4. Short-Term Price Targets 🎯 First Target After Breakout: ₹5,700 Once crude oil breaks above ₹5,515 with good volume, the first upside target will be around ₹5,700. 🎯 Second Target: ₹6,000 Sustained momentum above ₹5,700 could push prices toward ₹6,000. 🎯 Major Target (Long-Term): ₹6,520–₹6,580 If the market breaks ₹6,000 convincingly, bulls may aim for this long-term resistance zone. 5. Market View and Strategy Short-Term View: Neutral to slightly bullish as long as the price stays above ₹5,485. Medium-Term View: A clear breakout above ₹5,700 can trigger a move toward ₹6,000 and ₹6,500 levels. Risk Zone: A close below ₹5,100 will turn the sentiment negative, possibly retesting the ₹4,430 level (previous low). 6. Conclusion Crude oil is showing early signs of recovery, but it still needs confirmation through a breakout above ₹5,700. Holding above ₹5,485 support will be crucial in the short term. For swing traders, the best strategy could be to buy on dips near ₹5,200–₹5,300 with a stop loss below ₹5,100 and targets at ₹5,700 and ₹6,000. Overall, the trend remains cautiously bullish, but traders should wait for a confirmed breakout before making aggressive entries.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by manojshinde27