JM Financial – Long-Term Breakout Setup on Monthly ChartJM Financial is approaching a major breakout zone around ₹200, which has acted as a strong resistance for several years. The stock has built a solid base and is showing renewed momentum with strong monthly candle structure and improving volume.
If it manages to break and sustain above ₹200, it could mark the beginning of a long-term trend expansion phase. MACD is turning positive on higher timeframe — adding to the bullish setup.
📊 Positional Trade Plan
Entry: Above ₹200 (monthly closing or breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss (SL): 10% below entry or as per your risk
Target: 🎯 ₹300 (Long-term positional target)
View: A monthly close above ₹200 can trigger a strong multi-month breakout — ideal for investors with medium-to-long-term outlook.
JMFINANCIL trade ideas
JM FINANCIAL LTD ANALYSISImagine a stock that went nowhere for 8 years, trapping capital and frustrating investors. Now, imagine that same stock breaking out of that decade-long range, hitting an all-time high, and showing explosive strength while the market chops.
This is the story of JM FINANCIAL LTD, and it's why it's my Chart of the Week.
The Analysis - The current price is ₹180, and the technical picture is compelling. Here's what I see:
🟢The Multi-Year Breakout: This isn't just any breakout. JM Financial has overcome a massive 8-year resistance zone.
Stocks that emerge from such long consolidations often have the fuel for extended, powerful trends.
🟢Textbook Retest: After making a new All-Time High, the stock has pulled back to retest the very resistance it just broke.
This is a classic "resistance-turned-support" setup, offering a well-defined entry point.
🟢Clear Relative Strength: While many stocks faltered in recent volatility, JM Financial has held firm. This resilience is a hallmark of a potential market leader. Its character has fundamentally changed from dormant to dynamic in just the last 3 months.
🟢Institutional Footprints: A crucial catalyst is the recent increase in FII (Foreign Institutional Investor) stakes.
When big money starts showing interest after a long period of quiet, it's a signal we must respect.
My personal take- I've watched this stock before. We even featured it in a previous COW, but the trade didn't work out. It lacked strength and we exited for a good loss. The market told us it wasn't ready.
Now, the evidence has changed dramatically. The strength is undeniable.
My trade plan- This setup offers a favorable Risk/Reward ratio right now because the stock is not over-extended.
🟢My Stop-Loss: My risk is clearly defined with a stop at ₹152.81.
🟢My Target: I'm anticipating an initial move of 35-40%, after which I will look to trail my stop to capture a potentially larger trend.
This is a high-conviction setup where technical strength, institutional interest, and a clear change in character are all aligning.
Technical Analysis: Butterfly Pattern and Support LevelJM Financial Ltd has recently formed a butterfly pattern in its stock chart and is currently trading 32% down from its recent highs. The stock is finding support around the ₹114 level, which could present a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Fundamental Performance Overview
Revenue Growth: In the last fiscal year, JM Financial reported a revenue increase of 10%, indicating steady growth despite market fluctuations.
Net Income: The company experienced a decline in net income, with a reported decrease of 35% year-over-year, largely attributed to increased operational costs and market conditions.
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The current P/E ratio stands at 24.79, which is relatively high compared to the sector average of 35.26, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued based on earnings.
Debt Levels: JM Financial maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56, indicating a moderate level of debt relative to equity, which may pose some risk but also allows for growth potential.
Return on Equity (ROE): The company reported an ROE of 8.5%, reflecting its ability to generate profits from shareholders' equity, although this is lower than industry benchmarks.
Dividend Yield: JM Financial offers a dividend yield of 1.71%, providing some return to investors while they hold the stock.
JM FInancial - Breakout Cup and handle pattern - BullishJM Financials have shown a consistently rising trend since last 3 months. The script price is likely to achieve targets as marked through the path suggested. The price is satisfying following conditions
1) Price > 50 DMA
2) 9EMA > 50 EMA> 200 EMA indicating rising trend
3) ADX > 25 indicating positive momentum
4) Cup and handle pattern and subsequent breakout has occurred
5) Price above supertrend
6) Targets breakout on Price action resistance, subsequent testing of the support created and onwards rise to the new targets based on Fibonacci are indicated in chart.
This is a academic study and not recommendation to buy / sell.
• JM Financial: Bullish Cup & Handle Breakout (Entry Triggered)This TradingView chart shows JM Financial’s daily price action forming a classic cup and handle pattern. The price has broken out above the resistance line, triggering a bullish entry opportunity. Stop-loss (SL) is recommended at 181.86 (–4.67% from breakout), with potential for a continued uptrend. Key features:
• Pattern: Cup & Handle
• Entry: Breakout above resistance (triggered)
• Stop Loss: 181.86
• Timeframe: Daily
• Indicator: Volume supports breakout
Share your thoughts or analysis on this setup and let’s discuss the targets or risk management strategies for maximizing potential profits.
JMFINANCIL Price Action ## JM Financial Limited – Price Analysis (August 2025)
### Price & Market Metrics
- Current share price: ₹186.95.
- Market capitalization: Approximately ₹17,875 crore.
- 52-week price range: ₹78.00 (low) to ₹189.90 (high).
- Day's trading range recently: ₹163.60 to ₹189.90.
- Significant price increase noted recently, with a 14.87% rise on the day observed.
### Returns & Volatility
- The stock has gained about 69% over the last 3 months.
- 12-month return is roughly 97%, showing strong growth.
- 3-year return stands near 182%.
- Recent intraday volatility with daily price swings within a wide range.
### Valuation Metrics
- Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio: Around 16.23.
- Earnings per share (EPS): ₹11.52.
- Price/Book (P/B) ratio: Approximately 1.52.
- Dividend yield: Around 1.46%.
### Financial & Business Notes
- The company has posted moderate sales growth (around 5% year-over-year as per last known data).
- Profitability remains solid with steady net income growth.
- Market sentiment has been strongly positive, driving recent price appreciation.
- Technical indicators show the stock trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling bullish momentum.
### Summary
JM Financial is currently trading near its 52-week high with strong recent price performance and solid returns over multiple timeframes. The valuation metrics like P/E around 16 and P/B near 1.5 suggest relatively reasonable valuation for a financial services firm with stable profitability. The significant price gains recently reflect positive market sentiment and business fundamentals, though some volatility is present. Investors should consider the solid growth and moderate valuation in the context of overall sector and market conditions when evaluating the stock.
ARC - ROUNDING BOTTOM - JM FINANCIAL 📈 JM FINANCIAL – Technical View & Strategy
🔹 CMP: ₹169
🔹 Buy Zone: On dips till ₹150
🔹 Stop Loss (Closing Basis): ₹140
🧠 Technical Insight:
The Rounding Bottom formation appears to be complete – this indicates a potential trend reversal and upcoming bullish momentum.
🚀 From here, the stock may show:
1️⃣ A Direct Upward Move
OR
2️⃣ A Minor Retracement before continuing its upward journey
To avoid false breakouts or getting trapped, it's advised to wait for key confirmation levels.
📌 Breakout Levels to Watch:
✅ Safe Entry: Once it sustains above ₹174.50
💥 Strong Momentum Zone: Above ₹204
🎯 Expected Target: ₹250
Positional Trade with Strong RR Setup
📌 Stick to levels. Follow discipline. Let the trade work for you.
📌Please Follow TSL (Trailing Stop Loss)
To help maximize your profits and protect gains as the trade progresses.
Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈
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Warm regards,
Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
JM Financial Ltd. (JMFINANCIL)JM Financial Ltd. is a diversified financial services group based in Mumbai, India. It operates across investment banking, securities, lending, and asset management, and is part of the NIFTY 500 index. As of July 8, 2025, here are key updates and insights based on recent developments:
Recent News and Developments:
Acquisition of JM Financial Credit Solutions (JMFCSL):
On July 1, 2025, JM Financial acquired the remaining 2.98% stake (84,343 equity shares) in its non-banking financial company (NBFC) arm, JM Financial Credit Solutions Ltd., from Moraine Master Fund LP for approximately ₹88.97 crore in cash. This made JMFCSL a wholly-owned subsidiary, increasing JM Financial’s stake from 97.02% to 100%. The acquisition is expected to enhance consolidated profits and improve capital allocation flexibility.
JM Large & Mid Cap Fund Launch:
JM Financial Asset Management launched the JM Large & Mid Cap Fund, an open-ended equity scheme targeting large- and mid-cap stocks, with its New Fund Offer (NFO) open from July 4 to July 18, 2025. The fund aims to capitalize on India’s growth potential with a focus on stability and lower volatility, managed by Asit Bhandarkar and Deepak Gupta, with Ruchi Fozdar overseeing the debt portion. The fund house manages over ₹13,869 crore in assets as of May 31, 2025, with ₹11,129 crore in equity and hybrid schemes.
Technical Overview:-
From October 21,2024 to March 17, 2025- the stock saw a continued decline, Stock price fell from 165 to 85. But after that, last three months from April till today, the stock gave hundred percent(100%) return.And today Prince has also given a breakout and has closed around 170 in the market.
Today's breakout technically looked like low volume. I thought it was holding historical resistance, less like a breakout and more like a double top.
Well, the market is supreme, only time will tell whether this was a true breakout or not.
Friends, I am forced by habit, I never miss an opportunity in a good momentum stock between 100 to 500 rupees. Price's habit of taking trades on short-term breakouts is similar to fishing practice. And the break out of this is quite big. Our 10 EMA trailing stop loss continues with the trade, and this time a good support is seen at 155 level
JM FINANCIAL LTD - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: JM FINANCIAL LTD ( NSE:JMFINANCIL )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹150.00 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹125.00(Daily Closing Basis) (-16.75 % Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹159.86
₹170.36
₹181.56
₹193.49
₹206.21
₹218.00 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 Monthly rsi >60
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 45.77M vs previous day's 2.32M (Nearly 22 times surge)
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:JMFINANCIL for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Round Bottom Breakout in JM FINANCIAL
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
JM Financial is ready for breakoutJM financial has a strong support on 127 and facing a resistance at Rs 142,the RBI has withdrawn strict ban on the loan issuance on IPO and bond market.
There is also a news of spliting the compnay in to 3 new entities PMS,Trading and Fund Management.
This will allow the stock to touch the level of Rs 185/230/280
Buy JMFINANCE at 113 Sl 91 Target of 168
Consistent Highest Return Stocks over Five Years - Nifty500
Rising Net Cash Flow and Cash from Operating activity
375.3% returns for Nifty 500 over 5.9 years
Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ)
Company reducing Debt
Increasing profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters
Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter
Bullish Breakout: JM Financial Above 120, Targeting 195Details:
Asset: JM Financial Limited (JMF)
Breakout Level: Sustained move above 120
Potential Target: 195
Stop Loss: 110
Timeframe: Medium-term
Rationale: JM Financial Limited (JMF) has broken a long-term resistance at 120 after months of consolidation. This breakout suggests the potential for a strong upward move, with a target of 195 in sight.
Market Analysis:
Technical Breakout: After consolidating for months, JM Financial has broken through the key resistance level of 120, indicating strong bullish momentum and the potential for further upside.
Market Sentiment: With the breakout and bullish technicals, the stock is likely to attract more buying interest, fueling its rise toward the 195 target.
Price Target:
The target for JM Financial is set at 195, based on the strength of the breakout and historical price movement.
Risk Management:
A stop loss at 110 ensures that risk is managed in case of a pullback or false breakout. This stop loss level is close to the pre-breakout level and provides a cushion for volatility.
Timeframe:
The move towards 195 is anticipated over the medium term, with the actual timing subject to market conditions.
Risk-Reward Ratio: A favorable risk-reward ratio is expected given the breakout, with the target of 195 providing substantial upside while the stop loss at 110 limits downside risk.
As always, conduct thorough analysis and consider factors such as market trends, company fundamentals, and risk management strategies before making trading decisions.
JMFINANCILMy View on - JMFINANCIL
Close is above 20 SMA on Daily, Weekly, and Monthly time frames
Also, RSI is on rise. Daily RSI > Weekly RSI > Monthly RSI
High on momentum.
Currently trading above Weekly and monthly Pivot levels.
The stock crossed 5 Year high and closed above.
Next Close above 135 will take to 149 and if overall market levels are maintained - we should see 170-180 quickly.