MCX trade ideas
Simple Trade Setup | MCX | 06-09-2021NSE:MCX
Observations:
1) On daily Time frame, it has given breakout of rounding bottom pattern. Breakout level range is 1585-1586. Nearest resistance level is 1600 level.
Please refer below chart : Daily time frame.
2)On Daily Time frame we can see that it has broken 100DMA and 200DMA with bullish candle.
Please refer below chart : Daily time frame.
-------------------------------------
Trade Setup for Date 06-09-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Simple Trade Setup | MCX | 30-08-2021NSE:MCX
Observations:
1) On Daily time frame it is already trading below 200DMA.
Please refer below chart : daily time frame.
2) On Daily time frame it has taken reversal from it's critical support 1455 level range and also closed above 400DMA. It shows the strength will come in stock to get bullish now.
Please refer below chart : daily time frame.
-------------------------------------
Trade Setup for Date 30-08-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level tomorrow.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
MULTI COMMODITY EXCHANGE (MCX).... MONOPOLY MCX has monopoly in the commodity exchange segment in India, with a market share of over 92%.
In the weekly chart the script had broken out of resistance trendline (support zone) and is consolidating for one year now.
Good stock to be in one's portfolio at a good price to accumulate.
We can expect at least 70% upward move in the next two years.
PENNANT-BREAKOUT-UPTREND-PRICE-ACTION-VOLUME-PROFILEDisclaimer-:
1. FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED.
2. Do ask your questions in the comments if any.
Volume Profile-:
Using Volume Profile one can identify probable accumulation or distribution regions by comparing the historical Volume at Price and current Volume at Price.
2. If the current volume is low, its mostly a pause before the trend resumes
3. If the current volume is higher or equivalent to historical levels then either the trend will resume or it may reverse. If it resumes then we have more strength in trend due to more accumulation. So a breakout/breakdown will confirm in this case
POC-: The red line in volume profile is called Point of Control. This is the level where max volume of transactions have taken place.
IMPORTANT OBSERVATIONS-:
1. Stock formed a big triangular pattern, gave breakout and then rallied.
2. Recent it formed a flag-pennant-like pattern i:e a brief pause.
3. That can be confirmed by the volume in that region. Mark the low volume as compared to the high volume when it started rising.This confirms that the current pennant pattern was just a pause. And thus when breakout happens the uptrend will resume.
TARGET WITH LOGIC-:
Since its a brief pause. and within that pause buying ( green,blue) volume is more than selling (red )volume. There is a high chance the current expected up-move should be kind of equivalent to previous move (could be more too).
So a Fib Extension 100% target seems feasible.
ENTRY-:
Entry at CMP since it has just given a breakout out of the small triangular pattern with trend-lines tested at least 3 times gives us a nice conviction.
STOP_LOSS
1450 and 1165 are good support levels. But since 1450 is too close to CMP , it will be a narrow stop-loss. Thus a conservative stop-loss is better for a swing trade in 1W.
So 1165 could be a good spot.
Its necessary to trail stop-loss as per your strategy. You may use Moving Average with ATR(14) as buffer.
EXIT
Since the target is above all time high. Its a provisional target level. So it doesn't make sense to exit at target rather hold on to it as much as possible and keep conservatively trailing stop-loss. Following can be used as exit signals or bearishness signals.
1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1W timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low)
2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1W timeframe, better to exit at close of 1W since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal.
3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit
**IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSIS, KINDLY GIVE A THUMBS-UP AND SHARE IT IF POSSIBLE, HELPS A LOT :)
**I WILL POST NECESSARY , SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THIS THREAD LIKE ADDITION TO POSITION, EXIT SIGNALS, BREAKOUT ETC.
TO AVOID MISSING OUT ON UPDATES PLEASE REMEMBER TO FOLLOW THE POST AND MY ACCOUNT.
**YOU CAN TURN ON NOTIFICATION TO BE UPDATED OF CHANGES
**ANY COMMENT ON THE ANALYSIS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED.