Ultratech - downtrendUltratech cement has formed a downtrend channel in daily chart.
1. The stock is in potential reversal zone and the doji indicates indecision and could reverse from here.
2. The stock has retraced to 50% level and extended back to 23% level.
3. RSI and Stochastic indicates bearishness for near term.
4. The stock is forming lower high and lower bottom again confirming the downtrend.
One can short at this level with SL at 23% (4185) for a target of 38% (3967) and 50% (3792).
On the other hand if the stock breaks 4185 it will be bullish sign as the stock is in long term support of 4092. So strict SL is advised.
UCLQF trade ideas
ULTRA TECHstock is in down trend
attempted a pull back
that as sold into
now at crucial level and trading sideways for the past 3 days
any break from current levels (closing) might resume the trend
one can look into the stock at break below (close) yesterday's low
for targets towards 3921/3847
with sl placed around 4159
ultra tech CEMENT SHOWING FIRST SIGN OF CRACKS stock had a great run since jan.
showing signs of deeper crack cmg
this is the big down bar since jan
yesterday was a trend day stock might chop around or may even try a small bounce
as long as yesterday's candle is not violated
one can look into this stock
for target towards 4225/4150
Short for 4150 and 3920 - 3920 with caution.Ultratech is an a long term uptrend . So investors need not worry . But for us traders there is an opportunity make money on the short side .
This is a text book perfect wave .
The Elliott Channel
1. The move that started in Dec/2016 at 3060 ended at 4531. It was a five wave impulse move . Elliott channel technique says connect end of wave 1 and 2 and draw a parallel line from the top of wave 3 to get the end of wave 5 . In this case perfect channel has been seen . The other rule of the Elliott channel , which is not applicable here, if wave 3 is too steep then use the top of wave 1 .
2. a. A correction has to break the channel it is correcting
b. The correction will stop at the previous wave 4 of one lesser degree , especially if it is a wave 4 of one higher degree.
In this case waves 4 at one lesser degree is at 4150 but it does not break the channel convincingly . This is 23.6% Fib .
But the wave iv of the same degree at 3920 breaks the channel convincingly . This is 38.6 Fib.
3. The structure of the correction is still not complete.
Hence a short for atleast 4150 . Cover the shorts here . The stock is in a strong uptrend . Personally speaking dont short bull markets