Trade ideas
DXY bullish? ICT Concepts application.Hello Traders!
I mentioned in the last update of the BTC idea, how I started learning ICT concepts, around a month back. This is the first idea to be published based on those concepts. One must understand that these concepts are vast, and I've only begun it. Everything gets better with more and more practice.
1. Let's begin from 14th April 2023, where DXY market made a new swing low on the daily. We see a massive, fast move up. A 4hr swing high (white highlight) is broken. The market makes a double top (red highlights) and falls.
2. Since, a swing high was broken, we could look for potential moves up from the white 4hr POB (potential order block). This block also coincided with the 70.5% percent Fib level. This Fib was taken from an institutional level of 100.50. I know. Those who don't know ICT concepts find this amusing and, at times, even stupid. But it really does work. I initially was wary of using it but, the more I practice, the more I gain the confidence of doing this. Test it out yourself before you take my words.
3. Market moved up drastically just as was originally expected, grabbing the liquidity from above the double tops and creating a new swing high (neon highlight). ICT stresses on looking at equal lows or highs with suspicion. Every trader knows that the stops of the people who shorted and the orders of people willing to go long on the break of the high rest there, creating liquidity.
4. This new swing high gave us another window of likely opportunity. In my understanding, until a new swing low breaking the old swing low (blue highlight) is made, the market is primarily bullish.
5. More liquidity rests below the equal lows where the market has created the current support upon. It may not necessarily go for that liquidity pool, but it definitely can.
6. The new 4hr POB (fluorescent rectangle) could also hold potential for an up move.
I hope this gave you something new to learn today. If you already know ICT concepts, then that is amazing. I still have a long way to go.
All of this is only for educational purposes. Please take advice from your financial advisor before taking any financial risk.
Do use proper risk management.
Happy Trading!
Profits,
Market's Mechanic.
DXY Doller is very important levelNow currently the doller is very importan level, this chart is Doller inverted chart.
Year 1989, 1999, and 2016 multiple time this level is veryimportant resistant level, in the current market secnerio if the rate hike it is possible to breakout of doller price
In higher the doller price not good for emerging market like India
the price action show that on last and final move is pending, but other major index chart not show any bearsh signal.
This post is only for education purpose
5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week5 Key Factors Shaping US Dollar Trading This Week
The US dollar is in the midst of a week filled with pivotal events. Together, these fundamental drivers hold the key to understanding the potential shifts in the US dollar's performance throughout the week:
- US President Joe Biden announced that a bipartisan agreement has been reached to raise the US debt ceiling of $31.4 trillion, aiming to avoid a default. He has now called on Congress to pass the deal asap. Fitch ratings will remove the “negative watch” rating on the United States when the deal passes or looks likely to pass congress.
- The debt ceiling agreement has potentially weakened the safe-haven appeal of the US dollar, leading to an increase in risk appetite in global markets.
- The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure, rose by 4.4% in April compared to the previous year, up from the 4.2% increase observed in March. This development has raised the probability of a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in June.
- Due to the Memorial Day weekend in the US, as well as bank holidays in Europe and the UK, Monday will experience reduced market liquidity. Additionally, institutions are preparing for month-end trading on Wednesday, which could introduce more volatility.
- The US payrolls report for May will be released on June 2nd. Recent months have consistently shown better-than-expected job figures. It is anticipated that this week's job numbers will indicate an addition of 180,000 jobs, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate to 3.5%. A tighter job market will reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, with strong wage data also providing support if the actual figures surpass estimates.
DXYthe price was consolidating in the weekly support zone for a period of time and during last week it broke the range by providing a big bullish candles in daily . since it broke the resistance now it becomes support so a retest or pullback to the zone would be amazing to look for the entries to get back in a trade
U.S.Dollar Index possible Elliott wave counts of DXYHello Friends,
Here we have shared possible Elliott wave counts plotted on chart of U.S. Dollar Index - DXY on daily time frame, which clearly indicates that after top of September 2022 we are in corrective phase as per Elliott wave structures, and as per wave counts we can see that we had completed wave ((3)) and now possibly we are in second half of wave ((4)) in which we had completed wave (A)-(B) and currently we are unfolding wave (C), in wave (C) we should have five subdivisions and we had completed wave 1 and now we are in wave 2 which is contra trend, we are assuming again a reversal signals to start again journey towards south direction as a wave 3-4-& 5, to complete wave (C) of bigger degree wave ((4)).
Overall it's looking very good candidate to go short on rise along with invalidation levels of 105.883, because as per wave principles wave 2 will never retraces more than 100% of wave 1.
My studies are for educational purpose only, Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing, I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Thanks 💕
Price below mass psychological cloud level (Bearish Bias on daily)
Daily MACD positive, but below resistance and zero line
Weekly MACD negative
Monthly MACD negative
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
DXY may Turn up & Crush everything else. Negation point 100.6
Solid Base formation between 101 and 102, also where support is.
W structure in formation most likely
Trendline has come down to this consolidation range at 102.
Some unknown event will trigger it and Thus sending it past 102.3 then 104 then 106 adn 113.
Trigger point is 102.3, above which its desirable to go long.
Weak CPI print is also not helping its case suggesting a major problem in EU, GU et al.
DXY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading ❤️
Hustle hard ✅






















