EXTRAORDINARY MOVE | LIFE TIME OPPRTUNITY | DOW JOHNES | SHORTHello All,
I am sharing my view of what could be the next move from Monday 1st may 2023, it gives implication that we have finished wave B of a cycle and going to see wave C & complete the wave Z..
the last leg upside acceleration of smaller degree wave C is a good indication of end of a wave and it implies that shorts are wiped out of the system ..
Now during last few weeks or you can say since this fall started, we have been seen & taught by the Market to buy on dips which is very well evidence in the charts itself, but people need to understand when and at what point should we buy again i.e at what point shd we use buy the dips, the last 1000 points momentum was so quick happened in 2 days that most of the world is in bullish tone and major shorts got out, its a phycology that every one will wait for some correction to happen and then take shorts again but this time the dip will be too sharp and deep that hardly public would be able to take any short positions at such lower levels... yes its a phycological game too !! FOMO may make u take wrong trades too ..
the Vix is at low point 14.26 close after a long time , world in bullish momentum and shorts out of the system, Rsi showing negative divergence, all these are good indicator of the last leg fall which will finish off everyone this time on long side ..
This is "Market" , a Human god after the GOD !!
Terms & conditions :
* this is a personal view and published for educational purpose only,
* Strictly Don't trade seeing this post
* Healthy discussion is appreciated, no abuse please ..
Likes are need of the hour !!
US30 trade ideas
dow jones wave strategydow jones move upside 5th wave
use 2 or 4 trendline break price go down side start wave abc corrective wave
US markets : A view of big move comingwatch chart. us market on verge of a big big move to 36500+++ or below 30000
Disc : for educational purpose
US30/DOWnext level of support is around 26800 for the US30 chart, using 1 hour time frame which shows bearish H&S pattern near resistance with a small SL.
Shorting near resistance is just a game of probability.
Dow Jones ShortDow Jones trading at upper range of trendline currently and are resisting to cross from last 5 trading sessions, if it did not cross then you can take a short trade below the recent low with stop loss of current recent swing high.
DJI Bullish Butterfly PatternDJI Bullish Butterfly Pattern
PRZ 1 - 29018.55
PRZ 2 - 28990.27
PRZ 3 - 28850.85
US30 Make or break levels for bulls. Trend is about to break.#US30 is at important trend line.
breakdown could lead to massive selling pressure.
US30 SELLSA third touch on the top resistance line showing rejections. The market is failing to continue going up while minor bullish structure has been broken. A good opportunity to go bearish is approaching.
A bearish move in us30As per my analysis us30 will fall upto 5% as of 20-04-2023, it will invalidate if it goes above 1.5%
DOW JONES PREDICTIONWhy analysis of DJI?
It is mostly seen that Indian markets follow US markets as FII infuse lot of investment in our markets. However there psychology is to follow the trend in US markets. However it is not entirely true as Indian markets do spring to life and at times do there own trajectories. eg In end Sep DJI touched its pre Covid levels of 28700, however Indian markets were at 15300 much away from pre COVID levels of 12400.
However the similarities of market structures can't be ignored, both of the indexes had a similar structures of HH/HL & LL/LH. In a globalised world the interconnected things can be easily seen. Whats next?
On monthly chart DJI has formed a flag pattern with two point touch at the bottom of flag around 31500.
Twin Trendline Concept
First Trendline. On weekly charts, following twin trendline and four point touch concept is elucidated on the chart. The first trendline clearly shows touch points at apr 22, aug 22 & oct 22. Thereafter at fourth touch point Nov 22 there was a breakout seen and DJI made a high of 34800. The first trendline also has acted as support twice in Dec22 and mar 23.
Second Trendline. The touch points occurred at 34800 in Dec 22, 34300 Feb 23 & going by the geometry the fourth touch Pont should happen in Apr 23 at 34000 levels.
This will entail a 2200 point move from current 32717 to 34000 levels. Of course this will be not a straight move but it will have some zigzags.
Price action.
Montly charts - Flag patterns
Weekly Charts - Two consecutive Green Candles
daily charts - W structure which is a bullish structure is underway.
Future Likelyhoods. There may be reaction at fourth touchpoint and thereafter in May/Jun there will be breakout to touch the top of box 37200.
RSI analysis. On monthly charts RSI is above 50 levels, on weekly charts it is 48 and daily charts at 51. RSi is supporting an upmove.
Overall Analysis. DJi should touch 34000 levels based on price action, price pattern, twin trendline concept and RSI. However any crisis emerging at geo-political levels at economic or military will negate this hypotheses and DJI may head southwards.
Modelling and simulation are important to predict the future movements. However they will always remain prediction with no certainties. Markets like GOD have their own ways which are difficult to fathom. But human endeavour must continue for TOMMOROW is always ANOTHER DAY!
Views Welcome.
Regards
#DJI Looks like to range bound.Need some consolidation here.
Any further down move would be opportunity for buy the dips.
Dow Target 32000once again Dow price rejection at previously discussed several times as resistance and distribution area as shown in chart. Rejection is very clear with diamond pattern indicating bearish trend towards target of 32000 which is previous seen support.
DOW JONES prediction with levelsDJ:DJI dow can bounce back from current support zone of 33340/33275, if breached then next support zone will be the target.
DOW JONES upside prediction with levelsDJ:DJI dow jones can go upto33630/33690 above 33543,
if breaks 33699.87 and styas above it, then dow can reacy upto 33862/33902 levels.
Bearish Gartley In DowjonesPerfect Bearish Gartley
Sell Dowjones Between 33113 - 33353
SL - 33601
Target - 32900 / 32700 / 32500
dow jonesI have made a MINOR ADJUSTMENT on the wave counts of the DJIA.... @ marked in BLACK..... Its just a minor wave and nothing to be worried about..... Follow BLUE with Black as Minor Adjustment
DJI Range Breakdown DJI has broken down of a range consolidation and as per range the downside targets are marked on the charts.
Most of the other details are clearly marked on the charts and overall weakness is visible in post today's candle close in US Market
Previous DJI analysis are linked in related idea section
Dow JonesI had said repeatedly that the DOW had made a Low and was headed UP..... Marked are the waves on a Medium term basis..... which I think will happen on a SUPER QUICK basis.... Enjoy the Best days in the Stock Market
dow jonesdow jones - us - 30 corrective wave forming in sub-wave impulse complete and sub-minute continue
dow jones shortDow jones short,
enter at 33380-33410,
stop-loss at 33430,
first target at 33300,
thank you.
