Trade ideas
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Kindly Wait for SELL at $4185📰 FUNDAMENTALS (Context is Key)
Gold has seen a massive drop—sharpest since 2013, mind you—after hitting that record high of $4,398. This steep fall is primarily technical profit-booking, not any major panga (trouble) on the macro side. The core drivers (inflation, uncertainties) for Gold are still intact, pakka (surely), for the long term. However, short-term, a good correction is compulsory.
📊 TECHNICALS (1H Chart Basis)
Market Structure Shift (MSS) Done: The price has given a proper Breakout of the strong support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone is now our New Resistance—the best place for selling, no doubt.
The market is currently undergoing a Technical Pullback.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (Actionables)
Our main focus is to SELL at the Resistance re-test, which aligns nicely with the changed market structure.
1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade)
SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185
SL (Stop Loss): $4193
TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145
2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp)
BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055
SL (Stop Loss): $4030
TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185
🔥 Expert Mandate: Kindly wait for the price to revert to the $4183 - 4185 zone. That is where you Do the needful and look for a SELL (Short) setup. The Risk-Reward is quite handsome.
Please ensure strict risk management (1-2% capital) is followed.
What is your good name for this market? BUY or SELL? Leave your comments and Kindly Follow for the timely updates!
#XAUUSD #GOLD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis:
Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line.
A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060
Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200
Target (Bullish): 4,383
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. KSE:GFH KSE:AGLTY KSE:SENERGY KSE:KFH KSE:CLEANING KSE:NCCI KSE:EKTTITAB KSE:EQUIPMENT KSE:NIH KSE:THURAYA KSE:FUTUREKID KSE:ALEID KSE:URC KSE:URC KSE:ARKAN
XAUUSD – Awaiting a Breakout to Confirm the Next Bullish WaveGold remains under pressure, trading slightly below 4,100 USD/oz despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak global sentiment.
On the higher timeframe, the structure still respects its ascending channel, showing no signs of a deep breakdown yet.
During the early Asian session, renewed buying interest has started to emerge, supported by a stable inflow of safe-haven demand.
Technically, price is attempting to form a bullish continuation structure (Dow wave) around the 4,110 zone.
If a breakout above this key level occurs, gold could accelerate toward 4,155, and potentially extend into a corrective bullish wave targeting 4,220–4,260, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement confluence and the CP/OBS sell zone on the chart.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Price action suggests a potential wave recovery structure forming after last week’s steep decline.
The 4,155 level acts as a key inflection point — it will decide whether bulls regain control or bears push for another correction.
Key Levels:
CP Zone Up / Breakout Base: 4,053 – 4,055
Short-Term Key Level: 4,110 – 4,115
Mid-Level Resistance: 4,155 (structure pivot)
Fibo Sell Zone / Wave End Target: 4,220 – 4,263
Trading Plan:
🔹BUY Setup #1
💥Entry: 4,020 – 4,018
❌Stop Loss: 4,010
✔️Take Profit: 4,030 → 4,035 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,100
⏸Bias: Reaccumulation Phase (structure support)
🔹BUY Setup #2 (Scalp Play)
🔔Entry: 4,053 – 4,051
❌Stop Loss: 4,043
✔️Take Profit: 4,060 → 4,070 → 4,080 → 4,090 → 4,100 → 4,150
⏸Note: Ideal for intraday traders watching the breakout base.
🔹SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone)
📊Entry: 4,263 – 4,265
❌Stop Loss: 4,273
✔️Take Profit: 4,255 → 4,250 → 4,240 → 4,230 → 4,220 → 4,210 → 4,200
⭐️Summary:
Gold continues to consolidate above 4,050, showing signs of early recovery after the recent 3,000-pip correction.
The 4,155 level remains the key pivot for short-term direction — a breakout here could confirm a Wave 3–5 recovery structure, while rejection could bring one more pullback.
Macro and geopolitical uncertainty still favour safe-haven flows, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as 4,000–4,020 holds.
📊What’s your take — will gold break above 4,155 to start a new bullish wave, or reject and extend the correction further?
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading What is Option Trading?
Option trading is a type of financial trading where you buy and sell options contracts instead of directly trading stocks or assets. An option gives you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset (like a stock, index, or commodity) at a specific price before a certain date. Think of it as booking a deal for the future—you pay a small price now to lock in a potential opportunity. Traders use options for speculation (to make profits from price movements) or hedging (to protect against losses).
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal.
The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern.
Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest.
The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow.
Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests.
📊 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout.
Key observations:
Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum.
Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones.
Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest.
Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
SELLOFF IMMINENT GOLD TRAPP Final Warning Before $4000 COLLAPSEWelcome Traders! The Gold market (XAU/USD) is tightly constrained, and the pressure from the USD, combined with the technical breakdown risk, makes the SHORT scenario our highest conviction trade!
1. Sharp Technical Analysis
The H1 chart confirms a Bearish Consolidation structure after the steep drop from $4,370$. The price is locked in a high-stakes "No-Trade Zone".
Dominant Trend: BEARISH (following the breakdown of the Double Top pattern at $4,100$).
Consolidation Range (No-Trade Zone): Price is squeezed between $4,005 (Support) and $4,159 (Resistance).
Bear Flag Warning: A highly probable Bear Flag pattern is forming, suggesting an explosive downside move upon breakout.
Action Mandate: WAIT FOR THE BREAKDOWN CONFIRMATION!
2. Fundamental Analysis: USD Fueling the Drop
USD Strength: The USD sustained its upward momentum, increasing the burden on Gold. While a slight pullback occurred at the US open, the overall positive USD momentum remains a significant bearish factor.
Impact: Consistent USD demand makes a decisive break above $4,159$ highly unlikely. This heavily favors the scenario where Gold breaches the critical $4,000$ support.
3. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT)
We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support.
Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005$. Confirm with an H1 candle closing decisively beneath this level.
STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159$. Placed safely above the No-Trade Zone Resistance.
TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,955.772. The next structural support target.
TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.251. The final objective, aligning with the larger pattern target.
Contingency Scenario (LONG)
Activate LONG: ONLY if Gold decisively breaks $4,159$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,332.127.
Note: This is a counter-trend, high-risk trade requiring massive news to justify.
Community Interaction 🚀
Are you ready for the break? Will Gold collapse to $3,889$ or surprise us with a break of $4,159$?
Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold Trading Strategy for 23rd October 2025🟡 GOLD TRADING PLAN 💰
📅 Today’s Setup
We’ll look for opportunities on both sides depending on how price reacts to key levels.
🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
📈 Buy above: The high of the 1-hour candle that closes above $4142
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4155
2️⃣ $4167
3️⃣ $4180
💪 Momentum confirmation: Look for strong bullish volume and candle close above 4142 with follow-through.
🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
📉 Sell below: The low of the 15-minute candle that closes below $4054
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4040
2️⃣ $4028
3️⃣ $4014
⚠️ Confirmation tip: Wait for candle close below 4054 with steady selling pressure before entry.
⚖️ RISK MANAGEMENT
💼 Always use a stop loss to protect your capital.
📊 Risk only 1–2% of your trading capital per trade.
⏱ Avoid trading during major news events unless volatility is part of your strategy.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation.
📘 Always do your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
📉 Trading involves substantial risk — trade responsibly!
Trade Setup Explanation (Elliott Wave Correction)This chart shows a corrective wave structure (A–B–C), indicating that the market has likely completed its downward correction phase and is now gearing up for a potential bullish continuation.
• Wave (A) – Strong bearish leg marking the start of the correction.
• Wave (B) – A temporary pullback before continuation lower.
• Wave (C) – Final push down completing the correction, ending near the green demand zone (3,950–3,980).
• After the completion of Wave (C), buyers are showing strength, pushing price back above the short-term structure.
• The pink zone represents a key supply / resistance area where price may react or consolidate before the next move up.
📈 Trade Idea:
Wait for a retest and bullish confirmation around the pink zone (previous resistance).
If the market holds and forms higher lows, a potential long setup targeting new highs (above 4,200) could form.
Trade Setup Explanation (Elliott Wave Correction)This chart shows a corrective wave structure (A–B–C), indicating that the market has likely completed its downward correction phase and is now gearing up for a potential bullish continuation.
• Wave (A) – Strong bearish leg marking the start of the correction.
• Wave (B) – A temporary pullback before continuation lower.
• Wave (C) – Final push down completing the correction, ending near the green demand zone (3,950–3,980).
• After the completion of Wave (C), buyers are showing strength, pushing price back above the short-term structure.
• The pink zone represents a key supply / resistance area where price may react or consolidate before the next move up.
📈 Trade Idea:
Wait for a retest and bullish confirmation around the pink zone (previous resistance).
If the market holds and forms higher lows, a potential long setup targeting new highs (above 4,200) could form.
Gold’s Double Trouble: Will the Bounce Hold or Break Below?#Gold hit a double top after a parabolic rally, topping at 4380.99 and 4381.44 , forming a classic M-pattern . Breakdown below 4185.91 confirmed the bearish structure, and price nearly completed the pattern target by testing the long-term ascending trendline , leading to a technical bounce.
👀 Now, all eyes are on the key zones:
🔸 Critical Resistance: 4185.91 – 4205.12
🔸 Critical Support: 3944.435 (green line)
📉 Break below the support (4HCB) could trigger further bearish continuation .
📈 Break above the resistance zone (4HCB) could open doors to retest All-Time Highs (ATH) .
🧭 These are your trend-deciding levels – stay sharp!
#XAUUSD | #Gold | # TVC:GOLD | #GoldAnalysis | #DoubleTop | #Mpattern | #ChartPatterns | #PriceAction | #TrendDeciderLevels | #KeyLevels | #BullVsBear
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 22-23✅ Gold Analysis from 4-Hour Chart:
Gold reached a high of 4381.40, then pulled back and broke through several support levels, forming a downtrend. The current price is near 4050, which is a key support zone. If gold remains around this level, a rebound may occur.
Moving Averages: MA5 has crossed below MA10, and both MA20 and MA50 show a downtrend, indicating that gold may continue to pull back in the short term. The price is between MA20 and MA50. If gold continues to decline and breaks below the 4050 support, it may further test 4004.38 or 3945 support zones.
✅ Gold Analysis from 1-Hour Chart:
After forming a double-top pattern, gold quickly pulled back, signaling that gold has entered a correction phase. Currently, gold is oscillating near the support zone, and if the support holds, a rebound could happen.
The price is near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 4082.44 and close to the lower band at 3998, suggesting that gold is in a consolidation range and has not broken through key support or resistance levels. If gold breaks below the lower band, it may continue to decline.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4072 / 4094 / 4117
🟢 Support Levels: 4050 / 4004 / 3995
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold fails to break 4072 and falls below 4052, consider going short, targeting 4004-3995.
🔰 If gold breaks 4072 and holds above it, consider going long, targeting 4094-4117.
✅ Gold is currently consolidating in the support zone. If the 4050 support holds, a rebound may occur. However, if the support breaks, it may continue to decline to lower support zones. Monitor the breakout of resistance levels and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 22, 2025)
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, signaling the start of a new upward trend.
→ We can expect at least 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead.
H4:
We need to wait for the H4 candle to close to confirm the reversal signal.
If confirmed, there’s a strong possibility that today will form an intraday uptrend.
H1:
H1 momentum has already turned upward, but it’s now in the overbought zone.
Therefore, the current rise won’t be strong, and a minor pullback is needed to bring momentum back to the oversold area — creating a foundation for a more stable bullish move.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
Yesterday saw a sharp decline, but D1 momentum is now preparing to reverse upward.
Counting the correction candles, we already have five candles, suggesting that the market may soon enter a new bullish phase lasting 3–5 days or more.
During this recovery phase, we need to monitor two key scenarios:
• If wave movements overlap and lack strength, and when D1 momentum returns to the overbought zone but price fails to break the previous high, then the Wave 4 (yellow) scenario is still in play.
• If price rises sharply and decisively, the recent correction might only be part of Wave 3 (yellow), meaning the bullish trend is continuing.
H4 Timeframe:
Yesterday’s structure was identified as a Flat correction, and it remains valid.
Price has retraced into the Wave 4 zone of the smaller degree structure, reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Wave A.
If Wave 5 (purple) is now developing, the ideal target would be around 4476.
However, if price rises with overlapping waves, this could instead represent a corrective move within Wave 4 (yellow), targeting the previous high zone between 4381 and 4476.
H1 Timeframe:
Within Wave W, there is a small Flat correction, where Wave C extended to twice the length of Wave A.
Now, Wave Y (blue) has also declined to 2× Wave W, suggesting weakening buying power.
Even so, in the short term, we still expect an intraday bullish move today.
→ The trading bias remains buy-side until H4 momentum reaches the overbought area and reverses.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4101 – 4098
Stop Loss (SL): 4088
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4190
________________________________________
🔹 4. Notes
Liquidity and resistance zones are already marked on the chart.
→ Wait for price to break and retest those areas to confirm a valid Buy setup.
$4,381 WAS THE FAKE TOP? Gold -5.5%: MSS Confirms SELL!XAU/USD Solid Analysis: Historic Dump and Structure-Based Trade Setup!
1. Fundamental Shock Analysis (Market ka Bhaav)
Gold's massive 5.5% fall from its All-Time High (ATH) of $4,381 is a big profit-booking spree after that superb 60% rally this year. This correction was full-on and was pushed by:
USD is Strong: Dollar index ne zor pakda (gained strength), making Gold less attractive.
Sentiment Change: Market ka bhaav (market sentiment) shifted to Risk-On.
The Gist: This is basically a Liquidity Sweep, yaar. They are washing out the weak players before the next big move.
2. Technical Analysis (MSS & Execution)
The price action has given a pakka (confirmed) signal: Trend to change ho gaya hai (The trend has changed)!
MSS Confirmed: The Market Structure Shift (MSS) is locked at $4,254.549. This is our Supply Zone now—the key resistance for the bears.
Demand Testing: Gold is trying to hold the current Order Block (OB) at $4,077.
Preferred Strategy: SELL as per the MSS structure. This is the main funda (fundamental principle) now.
Optimal SELL Zone: Wait for the retracement to the Supply Zone $4,254.549 (A great limit order setup).
Target (TP):
TP 1: $4,008 (The crucial psychological $4k level).
TP 2: $3,944 - $3,904 (Strong support ka area).
Stop Loss (SL): Tight SL above $4,260 (Protecting the MSS point, no compromise).
Conclusion: Bhaiyon, don't get trapped by the small bounce. $4,254.549 is the high-conviction point for a short trade on Gold!
#GOLD #XAUUSD #MSS #LiquiditySweep #SELLSignal #PakkaTrade
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) 4H chart:XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) 4H chart:
I can see a clear double top pattern near the 4,330 zone (circled areas).
Price has broken the ascending trendline and is currently retesting near the 4,080–4,100 resistance zone (previous support).
The green zone shows the neckline area that price already broke below.
📉 Technical Breakdown:
Pattern: Double Top
Neckline: Around 4,130
Measured Move Target: Equal to the distance from the top (~4,330) to the neckline (~4,130), i.e. ≈ 200 points.
Applying that below the neckline gives:
→ 4,130 - 200 = 3,930
However, my chart’s “Target Point” line is drawn slightly lower — around 3,848.57, which aligns with a deeper support level and the full projection of the trend break.
✅ Final Target Zone:
Primary Target: 3,930
Extended / Full Target: 3,850 (3,848.57)
So:
> 🎯 XAU/USD Bearish Target = 3,850 – 3,930 zone
Gold – At a Historic CrossroadGold’s price history in trading view traces back to January 1833, with the lowest price at $20.54 per ounce (Jan 1905).
The yellow metal completed its first Super Cycle Wave (I) in Jan 1980, peaking at $875 — a 42x rise from its lowest value — followed by a 20-year correction ending in Aug 1999 - Super Cycle Wave (II).
Since then, gold has been unfolding Super Cycle Degree Wave (III) as a 5-wave structure as given below:-
Sub-wave I peaked in Mar 2008 ($1032.35)
Sub-wave II completed in Oct 2008 ($681.75) ~ 38.2% retracement
Sub-wave III peaked in Sep 2011 ($1920.94) ~1.6x Wave I
Sub-wave IV completed in Dec 2015 ($1046.54) >61.8% retracement. Since then, sub-wave V has been unfolding.
It appears that Sub-wave V is now complete as a fifth-wave extension, reaching 2x the length of sub-waves I–III, peaking at $4381.48 — 4x the Wave I high.
This marks a likely completion of Super Cycle Wave (III).
Fresh long positions are not advisable at current levels.
Given the widespread interest, Gold may form a Flat corrective structure, potentially retesting or slightly exceeding its recent peak before the larger correction unfolds.






















