GD1! trade ideas
Cup & Handle Pattern In GOLD. Breakout can give 10000+ rally!!!Gold Future indicating the cup and Handle Technical Pattern. According to the pattern if this gives breakout of 56200 level then expected next target upto 67150+ in long term. This pattern will fail if gold started trading below 52900. Can see gold as a good investment opportunity in this downtrend global market session.
Disclaimer: This is my personal view on the GOLD. Consider this post as an education purpose only and not any type of recommendation. Consult your financial advisor before taking any investment decision.
Gold: Ready to Shoot?Gold and Silver is money, everything else is credit – JP Morgan
Primary Uptrend
This guy is not just flaunting these assets but the primary trend in this chart unearths the truth behind his statement. Really strong trend since our childhood – of course not fully visible due to data limitations. A furious rally started since March 2020 dip and took it to 56191 from 38400 (46%) in just 20 weeks – perhaps the fastest one in absolute terms.
Harsh Reaction
Like any other bull run, this one also faced a harsh reaction from August 2020. Wiped out almost one-fifth of the gains (21% from top) in a 33week time period. Comparing to Mar2020 rally to the top, this reaction was bit slower in terms of time duration. 46% in 20weeks verses 21% in 33weeks.
More than just a Pullback
Gold pulled back near 50000 mark and created a psychological resistance zone. The pullback gained momentum after breaking this zone and retested all time high zone. This spike was more than just a pullback.
The Second Reaction
The second reaction started from March 2022 and ended near the prior psychological level 50000. So, resistance turned into a support. This reaction took 28 weeks but the reaction was just 12% from the March top. Comparing with the Aug2020 reaction, this one lacked momentum on the downside – as reaction was smaller in approximately same time period.
The price-time analysis of both the reactions suggest that this time sellers were not very active and buyers were busy in accumulation at lower levels. Small and time consuming reactions with sharp rallies are good omen for investors.
Momentum Rally
The current rally from Sep end 2022 is very swift. The price may face some hurdles near major resistance zone of 56191 to 54789. If the higher low trend persists, there may be further congestion. Theoretically congestions lead to expansions and the bullish nature of the ascending triangle congestion (see chart) signals expansion in the upward direction.
If that happens, an immediate target for the triangle could go around 67000.
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Golden opportunity to buy some GOLD!!GOLD:
The idea for Investment point of view--
As per Elliott I have marked my numbering & shared it here..
Here wave 1 got terminated at the 32500 level & wave 2 got retraced till 26925, where it tested recent support.
Wave 3 is in extended mode and got terminated at 56298 & wave 4 got retraced till 44073 ( as I am monthly TF, so I am expecting simple corrections) & currently I am in wave 5
Projections as per fibonnaci--
wave 3 got super extended as shared (extreme bullishness), and wave 4 got retraced to 38% level.
Now, let's talk about recent resistance & projections--
Resistance, check TL and if we talk about projections it should be somewhere above 38% to 61% extended till 100% , both chart shared.
Gold- 60K+ possibleLooking at monthly chart for Gold, there are multiple technical parameters that are asking for a buy. After the top, gold fell to almost 44k which Fibonacci level of 0.618 on Monthly chart. It reversed from there and now forming a Cup and Handle Pattern along within a flag formation. This is a deadly combination for a big up move. This is important considering this is a monthly chart and has great significance. Considering this crosses 56K which is a strong resistance, it can move above 60K levels.
GOLD FUTURES - View and Levels for 29 Nov 2022GOLD FUTURES Intraday levels for Tomorrow..
Gold Bearish and Negative Sentiment = BEARISH Trend
At Buyers zone we can look for BUY entry and SELL entry at Sellers area.
Buyers and Sellers Zones - When price breaks the zone, Buyers zone will become Resistance and Sellers zone will become Support.
For Best entry, Wait for first 5m candle close. Go long when High breaks, take Short when low breaks. Keep SL high/low of the first 5m candle.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
Gold: Analysis✔Gold was holding 50200 since mid of May. It held this level at three occasions (see chart) but finally broke it in the mid of September.
✔So, a lot of traders who bought at 50200 support, with stop loss underneath this level, were shaken out in this breakdown. Most would have reversed their positions to short. Gold revisited 50200 in a retest attempt and this normally attracts pullback traders to go short. So many short positions are supposedly added till the end of September, with stop loss just above 50200.
✔But as Gold managed to sustain above 50200 again, most stop loss orders got triggered leading to short covering. Everyone who was shorting below this level, had to buy in order to close their positions. Also fresh buyers would look to catch this opportunity. This huge flux of buy orders lead to a sharp rally.
✔Presently it is near 52000 round number which has acted as an important level in the past too. Also there is trendline resistance, joining April and August highs at around 52100.
✔So two things can happen around above resistance levels. Either buyers would absorb supply at resistance and push Gold to next resistance 52750-52800 in the short term or profit taking/sellers would push it back to 51000 or 50200. Only further price action would throw more light upon this.
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GOLD IS GETTING READY TO MAKE HISTORICAL MOVEGold is getting ready to make new high.
After the price mitigation on supply level , price couldn't break the low. Signifies that heavy buying is happening.
Also the Rsi unable to break the 40 level. But opposite, it took support at 40 and getting ready to shoot upside.
The Relative strength of Gold with Nifty is increasing.
And the Stage analysis says it is just starting the stage 2 breakout (50 ema ).
And Finally It is making the CUP with Handle Formation.
TRADERS BE READY TO TAKE POSITION WHEN THIS HISTORIC MOVES BEGINS.