DOW COMING TO INTRENSIC VALUEIf we see Dow on monthly basis then we see
1. Parallel channel from 2016 moving in upward direction.
2 Wave A,B,C,D & E completed.
3 Wave 1 2 3 4 completed and now wave 5 is in progress
4 Index is moving downwards along with lower high trend line which is crossing short term
support line from 2017 onward at wave 5. On Dec 18 and Oct 22 Dow had reversed its
downtrend, had not yet came below it. Since this line is crossing lower high down trend line
at wave 5, it had become strong support line. Here Dow value is within long term channel and
so it is within intrinsic value.
We have discussed why channel is known as intrinsic value channel earlier. And from todays candlestick formation which is not able to cross lower high down trend line, seems to break support line @32600 and trying to touch 31600 support where it complete wave 5
Here Triangle B also gets completed. So completion of triangle pattern and wave 5 @31600 makes this level very important.
Conclusion Dow is slowly coming to its real value. Right now it is trading with extended value.
DJI trade ideas
IMPORTANT BUY/SELL zones for DOW JONES ahead of powell speechTVC:DJI sharing important buy sell zones derived from analysing resistance/support zones on major timeframe to smaller time frame study.
dow has been struglling to move upward since it entered the monthly/daily sell zone and resistance are which dow has been unsuccefull to break since few weeks in past, unless we get something positive and strong news , dow may remain sideways or retest the support/buy zone belowe current market price before moving upside again or
if the news outcome is bad and worrysome, we may see the supportbreak under panick selling pressure and dow may drop till the next buy zone .
Dow Above it's Intrensic Value.On 15th June Dow had given big green candle stick, and in a single day it touched long term resistance line (yellow line on top). Second yellow line is upper end of uptrend channel which started from 2017, and Dow is trading above it. (Marked with red Circle ) Previously too Down had traded above uptrend channel and after few days again came in line with channel. This uptrend channel is consider as intrensic value . If we compare it with inflation index then we see that inflation index too keep rising in uptrend only. I have never seen inflation index graph running down. Hence Dow value also keep rising along with inflation index and uptrend channel is formed. Any trading above this channel is consider as above intrinsic value and any stock or index has to come to it's value. This is importance of channel drawing long term channel . Right now Dow is above channel and is consider as above intrinsic value. Last analysis it was said that above uptrend channel index is not tradable, and we see in very next day Dow started loosing it's sheen. Trade if to initiate is on short side. Also said if shorts are open, to cover if Dow trade above channel or keep hedge. That seems to be working. Righ now shorts can be initiated as Dow is trading above intrinsic value. It's not easy job, only who are well versed with Future and option can trade shorts with hedging if necessary on their own risk. Rest can sit on sideline till oppertunity arise. This analysis is made on economic basis and for knowledge purpose and not for trading.
DOW Bullish Candles on Hourly ChartsDOW is up 1% in todays trade showing strength & further upside can be seen in coming days.
New Peak on World Indices to follow soon including NIFTY.
DOW REVERSING FROM RESISTANCE30th January,6th, and 13 Feb week were indecisive weeks at 34387. Today Dow had reversed from the same indecisive level which means Dow is not able to take out that resistance. Dow is looking like a shooting star bearish reversal. If Dow ends up with this candlestick pattern then With Sl of 50% of today's high and low, a short opportunity arise. Having said that extended candle above the up-trend channel is not tradable, today's 300 points fall is the answer.
Dow jones Index Dow jones 34250
Index is facing price rejection around 34350-34600 range.
If index is not able to cross above 34600 range and sustain.
Pre assumption of harmonic pattern formation, resistance as per previous swing high levels.
would act as stiff resistance, reversal from current levels would lead to steep selloff in index.
down side levels of 32500-32000-31500 possible..
Bulls time be cautious
dow jones crucial update for debt repay talk 1st junedow have double bottom support 32600 if break or stya blw than expect 32392--32000--31700 thna think gold will fly like rocketttt-- or if hold abv support than mkt expect touch 37000++++ yess sbig deal after 1 june mkt reaction---
IF DOWJONES MANEGES TO BREAK ABOVE?Dowjones made inverted head n shoulder pattern on weekly scale, although its not confirmes yet, If Dow manages to break above 334250 then it ll get into one sided bull run.
Lets wait patiently or sell on very rise with stoploss above 34250.
Exit all short positions once it gets past 34250.
dow jones weekly wedge pattern breaks out again abc pattern and market forming in wave b b wave mean corrective wave
buys US30US30 is at a strong resistance area, on Monday price was unable to push to the upside and retraced. Now price is back at the resistance area, i believe we shall see more buys towards 34136 if price breaks out.
LONGAs we look we see change of character to the upside so we buy and wait. For more Ideas please Like and Follow.
DOW CONTINUES TO FACE RESISTANCE As per previous analysis Dow had not broken cross resistance as discussed. Today last 3 hrs on 15 min TF Dow is struggling to break lower high trend and uptrend parallel line. Point to take is cover shorts above today's high. Parallel uptrend line (yellow) which had started from 2017 is a long-term uptrend path of Dow. Parallel channels are also path Iindicator of index which trade in all seasons of economy. Index trading above the Parallel is to be taken as expensive and due to sudden change in economic or fundamental activity/news. It latter need to correct. So entering long above the path is not suggested. But for safer side short should be covered. Or hedge should be taken. Trading in option is not easy job. It needs experience and expertise. Next view will be after Dow decides where to be ,above channel or below channel. Also said 0.318 and 0.500 levels are target if Dow holds resistance, that view is open till now.
DOW RESPECTING 50DMADow as analysed had reached 50Dema where 100points are in pocket. From here Dow can take support at 50 Dema. Booking 50% is good idea. Rest can be carried forward with trailing SL. Dow can come down to meet 20Dema if 50Dema is broken. Normally 50Dema is good support but 20Dema is below 50Dema which suggest a sell signal. This trade is very eassy as price has ran above sell segnal ie( 20Dema crossing below 50Dema ).