VIX trade ideas
US #VIX - Theoretically .. .. it can stay within this compression till September. Hopefully Not.
Quite coincidentally, US Elections are in November.
Volatility down trend coming to an end?The bar is set pretty low for a volatility breakout. A move over 16 breaks a trend first started in August. COT positioning is currently at a record high of net short positions, exceeding Feb 2018 when vol wiped out option sellers and hit 50 in a few days.
Markets at an edgeBoth SP500 and NIFTY have displayed a similar pattern in the past 1 year and now both are at the edge of the previous tops. combine this with the fact that VIX is at near lows, we are all set for potential volatility in the weeks ahead.
S&P 500 VIXTriple divergence on the charts. Could lead to a major rise in VIX . Which would mean very volatile markets.
Keep cautious.
VIX : Will history repeat?VIX has fallen back to retest its breakout level. The structure is similar to March-June 2016. Will history repeat ahead of FED decision?
