US500.F trade ideas
S&P 500 in A Impulsive Wave (Capitulation)On Weekly Basis:
In continuation to last view, S&P 500 continues to fall and may get arrested at 3272 from where it may bounce back to resistance level of 3675. Currently it may retrace back to 3675 and resume down turn upto 3272. It is moving in C Sub wave and D Sub wave may happen any time before E Sub wave resumes. It is under A impulsive wave down of capitulation phase.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
SnP 500The SnP chart has the same MAKE UP as the DJIA and NIFTY....... ONLY Tells Me that atleast these 3 Indices are working in TANDAM. It is ONLY a Question of TIME before the ALLIGNMENT TAKES PLACE between these 3 atleast. Ill see the BANK NIFTY CHART as well later and see if all 4 have the same MAKE UP
SnP 500I apologize that I haven't been around for a few days as I was Unwell, with Fever and Body aches over the Last week or so. I know a Lot Many of you are Really worried about what is happening....... In as Much as we have broken below our key levels on Nifty...... I do not see any PANIC LIKE SITUATION.
I am sending you guys the picture for the SnP and I BET MY BOTTOM DOLLAR this will be the BOTTOM.... I will post the other charts tomorrow or day after.
SPX* As said in previous update, WCB below 3901_10 opened doors for next support zone - 3636_3675 and made low 3647. Now below this zone 200 WMA may provide some support for time being for some bounce. Although 3636_3675 will be broken & can expect fresh 52 week low after some bounce or before it. More than 5% cut in index once the importance support of 3901_10 is broken on WCB which was the TREND DECIDER LEVELS.
* 200 WMA, 3480_3510 / 3380_3395 are next support zones to be watched going forward
SnP 500Following Facts have come into my View on the SnP500 chart. Very interesting observations for now, and the EW wave counts are as below.
1. 667 to 3393 = 2726 is the differential in price for wave 1, and all calculations will be based on 2726.
2. wave 2 = 3392 to 2191 = it went below the retracement of 38.2% but was well above 61.8%
3. wave 3= 2191 to 4818 = Again it overshot the desired 161.8% ( 4410), and made a high of 4818.
4. 4818 to ???? What does EW say about wave 4???? Wave 4 will retrace 38.2 OR 50% of 2721 ( wave 1).
Hence wave 4 can be...... 2726 x 38.2% = 1041....... 4818 - 1041 = 3777( we are well below this already)
The next fib ifor wave 4 is.....2726 x 50% = 1363 .... 4818 -1363 = 3455. ( yet to come and can it overshoot again to 3325 ??)
5, wave 5 will be as follows 38.2% or 50% of wave 1.
2726 x 38.2% =1041.
2726 x 50% = 1363.
Let us take a conservative figure of 50% retrace @ 1363.......... so where will wave 5 end ??????
4818 + 1363 = 6181. This is what I see happening and believe me you...... it will happen soooooooo fast you wont know what HIT YOU.
To the next question then what happens to the Indian markets??????? Can we go to 261.8% RISE ??????? No we CANNOT. 21400 apprxx on NIFTY is my BEST CASE SCENARIO for NOW. We CANNOT OUTPERFORM the Rest of the World when everything is Falling. DO NOT DREAM ABOUT DE-COUPLING AT ALL.IT WONT HAPPEN
SnP 500It is Imperative we all understand the SnP as well ...... How I see it is well defined with EXTREME LOGIC and the way going forward. On Hourly basis it is extremely Over Sold ( O/S).... and will bounce UP..... to within the Fibs mentioned inside the Rectangle. There is EXTREME FEAR ON THE STREET AND IT IS GOING TO GET MORE FEARFUL ...... ONLY THE BOLD VENTURE OUT AND MAKE IT BIG
Regular bullish divergence :- s&p 500S&p 500 rsi formed bullish divergence from it support level also previous candle was hammer and candle formed today engulfed the hammer which is another signal for trend reversal
Target :- 4100
Sl :- 3830
Rr :- 1:3
disclaimer :- this is for demonstration and educational purpose only. this is not buying and selling recommendation
SnP 500For your reference is the Sn P 500 chart...... Notice carefully on a Monthly basis..... even though prices have broken down since the TOP..... the 12 MA hasn't crossed BELOW the 21 yet. Doesn't look tooo Bad to Me. TV provides the SnP chart @ LINE CHART so cant help it. Will give the Targets a few days later on this One.
SPX* S&P500 is in the strong bear grip. As mentioned earlier, fell one sided from 50 WMA to the yellow trend line support, spent 2_3 weeks there with minor bounce & finally breaking down.
* WCB below 3901_10 will open doors for next support zone - 3636_3675. In this case, 3636_3675 will be broken & can expect fresh 52 week low.
* 3480_3510 will be next decent support zone to be watched going forward. That's the importance of 3901_10 WCB
Final Rally before End of Multiyear Bull Market What we are Looking is part of an On-Going Impulse structure of Multi Year Bull Market which witnessed 6+ US Presidents Once this Major Top is Made, we can Expect a Bear Market of 10 + Years in the US Markets
I am posting with sense of Knowledge I have, there will be variation in Movements other than Current Forecast,
One who is Holding in US Stocks can Look to Exit with their own Methods after this rally performs
Good luck
SPX This is especially for CNMZ ( a member here who asked me to explain the Last post I posted), and is just a sort of TUTORIAL and Nothing More.
1. The ORANGE LINE represents 1 whole Leg, called the Larger wave.
2. The BLACK LINE represents the sub division into 12345 waves, within the LARGER WAVE.
3. The wave is therefore Complete in Nature