US500.F trade ideas
S&P 500 vs NIFTY / Comparison / AnalysisSince last year's Covid crash, S&P500 has seen three retracements.
Every single time, the crash started with a Bearish Engulfing Candle, over the next few weeks it made a Double Bottom at 50-61% Fib Golden zone, and surged higher with Bullish Engulfing candle. And NIFTY followed suit.
This time around, we have a confluence of Golden zone and previous high support, which makes it a strong support zone (the Down Trendline of the NIFTY Flag also coincides with this zone.). Let's hope the US inflation fears are abated in the coming 3-4 weeks(sooner the better). And we get to witness a fresh leg of bull market. Till then, it's time to exercise caution and treat ones Stop Loss as God's word.
(If too many stop losses are hit, I'd rather watch from the sidelines an keep an eye on the support zone.)
S&P 500
S& P 500
Support is at 4114.
Negative divergence on RSI has been witnessed.
MACD has triggerd its average and its falling down.
On fall and close below the support expect correction.
A retracement of the rise from 3848 to 4215 can be witnessed.
Retracement are 4075-4031-3988.
Expect retracement to be tested once breakdown below 4114 is witnessed on closing.
S&P500S&P 500
Up Trend is being witnessed.
Post Breakout above 3954.
The implication of breakout above 3954
is 4101 and 4289.
The level of 4101 is crossed and the same was shown in our earlier update on S&P 500.
A rising channel is now visisble.
Near term correction or sideways volatility may emerg
if close below 4123.
Expect a gradual move towards 4292 with volatilility for correction and may be for consolidation.
S&P500S&P 500
Higher top and Higher Bottom formation
continues
Expect rise to 1.618 level of 4135 in near term with volatility.
The January 2020 breakout impact is for 4125.
The recent top Feb'21 and March 21 breakout impact
4135.
Market could witnessed a rise towards the same.
Indicator like RSI has yet to rush into overbought and its overbought momentum as yet.
Profit booking pressure could be witnessed around 4135