AUDUSD reverses before 0.6680 support on impressive Aussie dataAUDUSD remains on the front foot while printing the first daily gains in five after strong Australian employment data. The pair’s latest upside also justifies the upward-sloping RSI line, not oversold, as well as the bullish bias of the MACD signals. With this, the quote is likely to extend the north run toward May’s peak of around 0.6820 ahead of targeting the 0.6895-6900 resistance area comprising the tops marked in July and June, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of February-May downside. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6900, the odds of witnessing a rally past the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. In that scenario, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and the yearly peak, respectively near 0.7010 and 0.7160 can’t be ruled out.
Alternatively, the 0.6685-80 support confluence comprising the 50-DMA, 100-DMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late May appears the key challenge for the bears to conquer before retaking control. That said, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of around 0.6730 and the 0.6700 round figure is likely immediate supports to watch during the pair’s further fall. It’s worth noting that the bear’s dominance past 0.6680 won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly low of around 0.6590, a break of which will direct the sellers toward the year 2023 bottom, so far, marked around 0.6460 in May.
Overall, AUDUSD bears are in the driver’s seat but the trip towards the south needs an entry-pass from 0.6680.
USDAUD trade ideas
32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets!32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets!
The Australian dollar has surged, driven by an impressive employment report that far exceeded expectations. In the month of June, Australia's net employment rose by a staggering 32,600 compared to the previous month, surpassing estimates by more than double.
This development propelled the Aussie currency up by over 0.9%, reaching an intra-day high of $0.6834. The New Zealand dollar also rode the wave, gaining 0.57% to reach $0.6299. Both Antipodean currencies are now poised to reverse the losses incurred over four consecutive trading sessions.
The current market sentiment favors the bulls, with both short and long-term momentum in their favor. Price action is trading above the 50 and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the positive outlook for the Australian dollar.
Elsewhere in the currency market, the sterling is doing its best to counter deep losses following a sharp fall in the previous session. The decline was prompted by Britain's inflation data, which fell short of market expectations.
The British pound managed a modest recovery, trading 0.15% higher at $1.2958 in the latest session.
AUDUSD 4 Hour Analysis (20 July 2023)AUDUSD 4 Hour Analysis (20 July 2023)
1. Price is with divergence with Stochastic
2. Also, the price is respecting fib levels
3. If the price breaks 0.382 fib level. we can
expect some buliish moves
4. If the price breaks 0.5 fib level, we can see
some bearish moves
5. So, though the most confirmatiom on
bullish, but we will wait for any entry.
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
#AUDUSD 🔴 M15. Short (#AustralianDollar)The price approached the decision zone. The potential of the uncovered potential of the completed H4 range. We can try to trade on the correction.
Above the market opening price. (✔️)
Imbalance at the border of the potential of the completed range H4. (✔️)
Futures CFTC reports 🟢47736 / 🔴88942 (✔️)
Price under the First Seller of Exchange Options. (⚠️)
input: 0.68774
stop: 0.69007
tp-1: 0.68545
tp-2: 0.68085
AUD/USD TECHNICAL OVERVIEWAs Per Chart ,
As Per Smart Money Concept Price Has Formed Bearish pennant Pattern. So Now Watch This Currency Pair For Trading Plan And Wait For Breakout .
# Buy Only Above 0.67231 Target : 0.68044 , 068934
# Stop loss For Long Side 40 to 50 pips.
Disclaimer:- All post are only for educational purpose . Trade With Your Risk management or Consult Your Financial Advisor before trading.
AUDUSD 4 Hours Analysis (11 July - 12 July 2023)AUDUSD 4 Hours Analysis (11 July - 12 July 2023)
1. Price is in strong supply area
2. Also, the stochastic is pointing the price is in
overbought area, so indicating sell
3. if stochastic indicates, we can take bearish entry
4. If the price breaks the supply area, we might
see some bullish entries.
AUDUSD retreats from 0.6700 as China inflation easesAUDUSD consolidates the first weekly gain in three as softer inflation numbers from the biggest customers, namely China, drag the quote from a fortnight-old falling resistance line, around the 0.6700 round figure. The pullback move also retreats as the RSI eases from the overbought territory, which in turn suggests the Aussie pair’s further weakness towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May-Jun upside, near 0.6630. However, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since June 01, close to 0.6585-95, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. In a case where the sellers dominate past 0.6585, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the late May swing low of around 0.6458 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, the aforementioned two-week-long descending resistance line around 0.6700 guards the immediate upside of the AUDUSD pair ahead of the 100-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6715. Following that, the late June high of near 0.6720 and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6800 can challenge the risk-barometer pair’s upside before directing the bulls toward the previous monthly high of around 0.6900.
Overall, AUDUSD’s previous weekly gain appears a one-off affair unless the US inflation signals keep softening.
AUDUSD run-up hinges on 0.6700 break, market’s confidence in RBAThe odds of witnessing further AUDUSD upside appear dicey as a convergence of the 21-EMA and 50-EMA, around the 0.6700 round figure, challenges the bulls, together with the RBA’s inability to defend the hawkish bias. However, a three-month-old ascending support line, close to 0.6600 at the latest, limits the Aussie pair’s downside. Even if the quote drops below 0.6600, the late May swing high of around 0.6560 will test the bears before directing them to the yearly low marked in May around 0.6455.
It’s worth noting that the MACD signals seem bearish and the RSI (14) isn’t impressive enough to lure the AUDUSD buyers. If at all the RBA offers another hawkish surprise and propels the quote past the 0.6700 hurdle, the aforementioned oscillators and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its February-May downside, near 0.6730, will precede the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6810 to challenge the Aussie buyers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 0.6810, the previous monthly high of near 0.6900 will act as the last defense of the bears.
Overall, AUDUSD is less likely to end up on the bull’s radar unless successfully crossing the 0.6700, as well as backed by the hawkish RBA decision.
Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets Today Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets Today
Yesterday, the AUD/USD experienced its third consecutive day of growth. However, the upward trend is expected to face obstacles during Tuesday's trading session due to the impending Reserve Bank of Australia meeting.
Despite some analysts adopting a more hawkish stance and predicting a rate hike as the most likely outcome of today's meeting, money market traders have reduced their forecast to a one-in-three chance of an increase, down from 40 percent on Friday afternoon.
Although inflation numbers in Australia have slowed down, the Consumer Price Index remains above the target range, while the key interest rate stands at 4.1 percent, below the CPI. Furthermore, recent remarks from RBA Governor Lowe have maintained a hawkish tone, leaving the possibility of further rate hikes open, even after two unexpected increases.
As US markets remain closed in observance of Independence Day, the AUD/USD has been consolidating at 0.66700 prior to the RBA decision. With conflicting views from economists and traders, the meeting's outcome has the potential to inject some volatility into the pair.
In terms of potential resistance levels, the initial zone to watch out for is around 0.66900, followed by 0.67200. However, it is important to note that considering the RSI's decline below the 60.00 level, the upward momentum has weakened. Nevertheless, the overall inclination remains biased towards the upside. Therefore, exploring higher levels may not be immediately feasible.
AUDUSD 4 Hour Analysis (3 July 2023)AUDUSD 4 Hour Analysis (3 July 2023)
1. Price is in strong downtrend and also the price is in nearest supply area
2. Also, we can see some bearish divergence in Stochastic
3. if the price breaks the supply area, we can think for some bullish entries
4. But for bearish entry we can check the confirmation in Stochastic.