AUDUSD signals fresh 2023 low despite recent reboundBe it a clear rejection of a one-month-old bullish channel or sustained trading below the key SMAs, not to forget dovish RBA, AUDUSD has it all to convince bears. That said, the Aussie pair currently recovers towards the stated channel’s top line around 0.6685. Even if the quote crosses the stated upside hurdle, a convergence of the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 0.6700, appears a tough nut to crack for the counter-trend traders. Should the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6700, the previous monthly high of near 0.6785 and the aforementioned channel’s top line, close to 0.6820, can act as the last defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls.
On the contrary, the 0.6600 round figure lures AUD/USD bears, a break of which could challenge the YTD low surrounding 0.6560. It’s worth noting that the RSI is near the oversold territory and hence suggests limited downside room before portraying the pair’s corrective bounce. However, the quote’s weakness past 0.6560 won’t hesitate to aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level of its mid-February to early April moves, near the 0.6500 round figure.
Overall, AUDUSD is well-set on the bear’s radar for marking further downside unless any fundamental surprises.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD approaches key resistances on RBA dayAUDUSD stays within a three-week-old bullish channel, poking the upside hurdle, on the RBA day. It’s worth noting that the 200-EMA adds strength to the top line of the state channel, around 0.6815-20 by the press time. Given the firmer oscillator, the bulls are likely to keep the reins. However, a clear upside break of the 0.6820 hurdle becomes necessary for the buyers to aim for the last December’s peak surrounding 0.6895, as well as the 0.6900 round figure. Should the quote remains firmer past 0.6900, the mid-February high of around 0.7030 can act as an intermediate halt during the likely run-up towards challenging the year 2023 peak of 0.7157.
Meanwhile, a downside break of 0.6665 defies the stated bullish channel and can quickly drag the AUDUSD bears towards challenging the monthly low of near 0.6563. In a case where the Aussie pair remains weak past 0.6560, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s run-up from early November 2022 to February 2023, close to 0.6450, may act as the last defense of the buyers before giving control to the sellers.
Overall, RBA’s dovish hike should teases sellers but the Aussie pair’s trading within a bullish chart formation requires the trigger for the AUDUSD bears to retake control, which in turn highlights the 0.6665 support.
AUDUSD bulls slowly tighten grips on Australia inflation dayFollowing its bounce off YTD low, the AUDUSD pair crossed an important resistance line from early February, now support. The Aussie pair’s further advances, however, remained gradual and portray a 13-day-old bullish channel. That said, the quote picks up bids inside the aforementioned bullish chart formation ahead of Australia’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February. Given the likely easing inflation pressure in the Pacific major’s economy, the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hurdle of around 0.6740 gains attention ahead of the stated channel’s top line, close to 0.6760. It’s worth noting that the mid-February swing high surrounding 0.6785 acts as the last check for the Aussie pair buyers.
Alternatively, a downside break of the 0.6640 support, comprising the lower line of the bullish channel, could quickly drag the AUDUSD price towards the resistance-turned-resistance line from early February, close to 0.6575. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s weakness past 0.6575 can witness a bumpy road as the yearly bottom of 0.6562 and the last October’s peak near 0.6545 may challenge the bears afterward.
To sum up, AUDUSD forms a bullish chart pattern and a bumpy road toward the south as traders analyze Australian inflation data.
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading ❤️
Hustle hard ✅
#AUDUSD Uptrend MOVEMENT POTENTIAL with Risk:reward =2.3Currency pair Australian Dollar Vs US dollar ,
Time Frame is 4 hours.
what is the analysis?
Break out from the downtrend movement.
what is a downtrend movement?
Wave will be created in the form of upper high, upper Low, upper high, upper Low, and we can observe the breakout from the downtrend.
This is the Buy call with a Risk: reward ratio of 2.4, First Target is 0.67043 second target is 0.69175.
Hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey and Happy trading
#tradingstrategy, #forex trading, #AUDUSD , #currency pair, #AUDUSD forecast
#AUDUSD Uptrend MOVEMENT POTENTIAL with Risk:reward =2.3Currency pair Australian Dollar Vs US dollar,
Time Frame is 4 hours.
what is the analysis?
Break out from the downtrend movement.
what is a downtrend movement?
Wave will be created in the form of upper high, upper Low, upper high, upper Low, and we can observe the breakout from the downtrend.
This is the Buy call with a Risk: reward ratio of 2.4, First Target is 0.67043 second target is 0.69175.
Hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey and Happy trading
#tradingstrategy, #forex trading, #AUDUSD , #currency pair, #AUDUSD forecast
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading ❤️
Hustle hard ✅
AUDUSD bulls need validation from 0.6770AUDUSD confirmed a falling wedge bullish chart pattern during the early days and is keeping the breakout so far during Wednesday. The RSI (14) line’s gradual rebound from the oversold territory adds strength to the upside bias. However, a convergence of the 100 and 200 DMAs, around 0.6770 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Aussie buyers to keep the reins. Following that, tops marked during December 2022 and mid-February 2023, respectively around 0.6895 and 0.7030, could act as intermediate halts during the theoretical target of 0.7240.
On the contrary, a downside break of the 0.6640 level, comprising the stated wedge’s top line, could negate the bullish bias. Even so, the latest swing low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to March 2023 upside, close to 0.6560 and 0.6545 in that order, could test the AUDUSD sellers before giving them control. Also acting as a downside filter is the lower line of the aforementioned bullish chart formation, near 0.6515 as we write.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to rise further toward the previous monthly peak. However, the key DMA convergence challenges the buyers as top-tier Aussie data looms, up for publishing on Thursday.