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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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USDAUD trade ideas

AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380 Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles). This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance. 2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance. This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal. 3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines): If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline. The projected path targets several support levels: 0.65003 0.64647 0.64213 0.63957 Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May. 4. Support & Resistance Zones: Resistance Levels: 0.65380 (Major) 0.65003 Support Levels (Sequential Targets): 0.64647 0.64213 0.63957 0.63627 5. Confluence with Fundamentals: U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move. ✅ Summary & Trading Implications: Bias: Bearish below 0.65380 Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation. Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels. Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
Short
by ZareeFxTradingAac
AUDUSD - TESTING KEY RESISTANCESymbol - AUDUSD CMP - 0.6530 AUDUSD continues to advance amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the US dollar, which remains in a consolidation phase. The currency pair is approaching a key resistance level at 0.6537 The dollar is currently range-bound due to prevailing market indecision. In contrast, the Australian dollar is gaining strength and appears poised to test a significant liquidity zone. Within the context of the prevailing trend, the pair is progressing toward both resistance and the identified liquidity area. Given the considerable distance from the initial opening, the potential for continued upside may diminish as the pair nears its target. A false breakout above 0.6537 could signal the onset of a corrective pullback. Resistance level: 0.6537 Support levels: 0.6509, 0.6480 A swift movement toward resistance without sustained bullish momentum could result in a false breakout at 0.6537 Should the price consolidate below this threshold, a corrective phase may follow before any potential resumption of the upward trend.
Short
by akshit_official
AUD/USD Bullish Setup: Demand Zone Bounce Toward 0.65600📈 Price Channel Analysis 🔼 The pair is moving within an ascending channel: • Support Line 🟦 – lower trendline showing bullish structure * Resistance Line 🟥 – upper boundary acting as potential target 💡 This suggests bullish momentum is intact unless the price breaks below support. 📌 Key Trade Levels 🔵 Entry Point: 0.64361 * 👇 Positioned just above the DEMAND ZONE * 📍Near the 70 EMA — a key dynamic support 🟨 Demand Zone: Area between 0.6400 – 0.6436 * 🧲 Buyers are expected here * Good spot for a bullish entry 🔴 Stop Loss: 0.63995 * 🚨 Below the demand zone = limited risk 🟢 Target Point: 0.65600 * 🎯 Aligned with the upper resistance line * Nice upside potential ⚙️ Technical Indicator 📉 EMA 70 (red line) = 0.64510 * Price is bouncing near it * 📊 Acts as trend support — confirming buy idea 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio 🔻 Risk: ~36 pips (Entry → Stop Loss) 🔺 Reward: ~124 pips (Entry → Target) ✅ R:R Ratio ≈ 3.4:1 👍 🧠 Trade Idea Summary 📘 Trade Type 🔼 Buy (Long) 💰 Entry 0.64361 🛑 Stop Loss 0.63995 🎯 Target 0.65600 🌟 Bias Bullish 🔍 Final Thoughts ✅ Strong setup within a bullish channel 📉 EMA support + 🟦 Demand zone = Good confluence 📅 Watch out for USD news (see icons below chart)
Long
by Jameshead007
AUD USD Weekly Free Analysis (25-05-25 to 31-05-25)AUD/USD Free Technical Outlook (26 May 2025): Current Price Action: Trading at 0.65198 (+0.22%) after bouncing from 0.65032 low Shows mild bullish momentum in 4H timeframe Key Levels: Resistance: 0.65373 (today's high) → 0.65500 psychological Support: 0.65000 (psychological) → 0.64600 (strong) Short-Term Scenarios: Bullish: Sustained break above 0.65373 could target 0.65500-0.65800 Bearish: Failure at 0.653 may retest 0.650 → break below opens 0.646 Trading Considerations: Watch RBA rhetoric and China economic data (key AUD driver) US dollar strength remains main counter-factor Current 47:14 ratio suggests moderate buying pressure (Free analysis - always confirm with fundamental triggers and volume data)
by JOY-OF-RISK-TARGET-ONE-WAVE
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
NZD USD Weekly analysis (18-05-25 to 24-05-25)📊 Technical Analysis (4H Chart – AUD/USD) Current Price: ~0.6403 AUD/USD is showing signs of a potential bearish continuation after a short-term bounce or liquidity sweep. 🔍 Key Technical Observations: Resistance Zone: • 0.6435 – 0.6455: Ideal area to look for rejection Support Zones / Targets: • 0.6370 – 0.6350 (first downside target) • Extended downside toward 0.6330 if momentum builds The green projection path implies: Minor bullish correction Rejection from resistance Bearish continuation toward new lows 🟡 Bias: Bearish Below 0.6450. A clean rejection from the marked resistance zone could trigger a strong downside push. A close above 0.6460 would invalidate this structure. 🌍 Fundamental Outlook for the Week (13–17 May 2025) 🇦🇺 1. RBA on Hold, Economy Softens The RBA has paused rate hikes, citing weakened domestic growth. This may continue to pressure AUD if U.S. data stays firm. 🇺🇸 2. Strong USD Outlook USD remains firm thanks to persistent hawkish Fed tone and solid U.S. job data. Aussie struggles when global risk sentiment dips or U.S. yields rise. 📅 3. Key Events to Watch: Australia Employment Data (May 21) – A soft print could trigger downside US PMI and Durable Goods (May 23–24) – Strong data = AUD bearish ✅ Conclusion AUD/USD likely to retest 0.6370 – 0.6350 after rejecting 0.6435–0.6455. This week could bring a fake-out pump before the real move down. Stay alert for bearish rejections and use tight risk management.
by JOY-OF-RISK-TARGET-ONE-WAVE
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
AUD USD Weekly analysis (10-05-25 to - 17-05-25)📈 Technical Analysis – AUD/USD (4H Chart) Current price: 0.64113 Your chart indicates: A bullish reversal from the recent low Price likely to push higher toward 0.64600–0.64800 The upward arrow and timing (near U.S. data release) suggests anticipation of USD weakening or risk-on rally Pattern: The pair appears to be forming a higher low A breakout above 0.64350 could trigger momentum buying 🌐 Fundamental Drivers – AUD/USD 🇦🇺 Australia Side Jobs data due May 16 – expected to show moderate growth RBA maintains a neutral to slightly hawkish stance due to persistent services inflation 🇺🇸 US Side CPI data (May 15) and Retail Sales (May 16) are key If CPI is cooler than expected, the USD could weaken, pushing AUD/USD up ✅ Conclusion Your forecast suggests a bullish setup with a possible push toward 0.64800 if AUD holds above 0.63900 and macro data aligns (especially if USD weakens post-CPI). Look for confirmation through a clean break above 0.64350. A dovish Fed or strong AU jobs data would fuel the move.
by JOY-OF-RISK-TARGET-ONE-WAVE
AUDUSD Bullish Breakout and Retest Setup (2H Timeframe)🧾 Pair: AUDUSD Timeframe: 2-Hour Bias: Bullish Strategy Type: Breakout + Retest + Imbalance Fill + Supply Targeting 📊 Market Structure Analysis: AUDUSD was consolidating in a range for several days between approximately 0.6380 and 0.6435. A clean bullish breakout has now occurred, breaking above the resistance zone around 0.6435–0.6440. Price is retesting the broken resistance, which aligns with a fresh demand zone (newly formed OB). A minor imbalance below price is being tested as price retraces, creating a healthy structure for a potential continuation move. The target zone is a higher timeframe supply zone (~0.6525–0.6535), which has not been tested recently and offers clean RR. 📍 Key Levels: Demand Zone (Entry Area): 0.6440 – 0.6428 Imbalance Fill Support: 0.6428 Target Supply Zone: 0.6525 – 0.6535 Current Price: 0.6445 (hovering around entry zone) 🎯 Trade Plan: Entry: 0.6440 (after confirmation of bullish rejection from demand zone) Stop Loss: 0.6420 (below imbalance + invalidation of bullish order block) Take Profit: 0.6527 (prior supply zone) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~1:4 ✅ Confluences Supporting the Setup: ✅ Breakout of Consolidation Range (classic breakout structure). ✅ Retest of previous resistance as support, confirming the breakout. ✅ Newly formed bullish OB in the retest zone. ✅ Imbalance zone below adds magnetism and builds confluence. ✅ Clear upside target at clean supply (unmitigated). ✅ Momentum candle breakout suggests strong bullish intent. ⚠️ Invalidation Criteria: If price breaks and closes below 0.6420, the bullish structure is broken. Be cautious around high-impact USD news (NFP, FOMC, CPI), which could cause liquidity spikes. 💡 Pro Tip: If unsure about direct entry, look for 15M–1H bullish CHoCH (change of character) or bullish engulfing candle confirmation in the OB zone for a lower-risk entry. 📘 Summary: Direction: Long Zone of Interest: 0.6440 – 0.6428 (demand + OB) Target: 0.6525 – 0.6535 (clean HTF supply) Risk-Reward: Excellent (1:4+)
Long
by Trade_With_Niraj
2
AUD/USD Bullish Breakout – Demand Zone Retest Before Targeting 📉 Chart Pattern: 🔻 Formed a descending wedge/channel pattern (yellow dots). 💥 Recently broke out upward — this is typically a bullish signal! 📦 DEMAND Zone (Support): 📘 Blue box labeled “DEMAND zone!” shows a strong area of buyer interest. 🔁 Price is currently retesting this zone — a healthy move after breakout. ✅ Holding this zone could confirm bullish continuation. 🎯 Target Point: 🚀 Marked at 0.65201 — labeled "TARGET POINT 065201". 📏 Measured move suggests this is a realistic bullish price objective. 📊 Technical Indicator (EMA 70): 📉 The 70 EMA (red line) is at 0.64037. ✅ Price is above the EMA, signaling upward momentum. Upcoming Economic Events: ⚠️ Multiple high-impact news events (USD and AUD flags) are scheduled around April 30 – May 2. 🌪️ Expect potential volatility — manage risk accordingly! Summary: ✅ Bias: Bullish 🟢 Buy Opportunity: If price holds above demand zone. 🎯 Target: 0.65201 ❌ Invalidation: Break below demand zone → support near 0.63255
by Jameshead007
2
"AUD/USD Reversal Setup – Short from Supply Zone!''🔹 Trend Overview: Price was in a strong uptrend 🔼, forming higher highs and higher lows. Key Zones: 🟦 Supply Zone (🔵 Resistance Area): 0.63803 - 0.64064 Price entered this zone and started to slow down ⏸️, showing signs of seller strength. 🔵🟤🟤🟤 📍Entry Point: 0.63803 This is where the short (sell) trade is planned. ✍️ "Let’s short it here!" 🚫 Stop Loss: 0.64064 Just above the supply zone to avoid false breakouts. 🛑 "If it goes here, we're out!" 🎯 Target Point: 0.62800 Previous support zone. 🟢💰🟢 💥 "This is where we take profit!" Indicators: 📈 EMA (7) – Black line Shows price momentum. Currently flattening ➡️, meaning bulls are losing steam. Trade Idea Summary: 📉 Bias: Bearish (Short) ✅ Entry: 0.63803 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.64064 🎯 Target: 0.62800 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3.8 (Very solid!) ⏱️ Timing: Watching for signs of reversal before entering
Short
by Jameshead007
1
AUD/USD) Resistance level pullback Short Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a possible bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind it: Key Observations: 1. Current Trend: The pair was in an uptrend, as indicated by the rising channel (parallel trendlines). However, it has now broken out of that channel. 2. Resistance Level: The price has reached a resistance zone around 0.64000, and it seems to be rejecting this level. 3. 2 Timeframe Demand Zone: Around the 0.63300 – 0.63400 range, this area previously acted as a demand zone (support), and the chart suggests price might retest it. 4. Projected Move: First, a pullback up into the resistance zone could occur. Then a drop to the demand zone. If the demand zone fails to hold, the price could head down toward the key support/FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 0.61000 – 0.61500. 5. EMA (200): The 200 EMA is below the price, suggesting longer-term bullish pressure, but it's starting to flatten, which could signal weakness in the uptrend. 6. RSI Indicator: RSI is around 52, showing neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for movement in either direction. Mr SMC Trading point --- Idea Summary: The chart suggests a potential reversal from the uptrend into a downtrend, triggered by a failure to break above resistance. The two key targets for a bearish move are: First: the 2TF demand zone Final: the key support/FVG zone Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point