USDAUD trade ideas
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDUSDTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.7494).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDUSD is in a range bound, and the beginning of a downtrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 44.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.7453
TP2= @ 0.7415
TP3= @ 0.7375
TP4= @ 0.7321
TP5= @ 0.7283
SL: Break Above R2
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AUDUSD bulls running out of steam at five-month-old hurdleAUDUSD extends pullback from the 0.7430-40 horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since October 2021. Given the recently steady RSI and the volatile MACD signals, not to forget Ukraine-led risk aversion and downbeat comments from RBA Governor Lowe, the upside momentum is likely to fade again. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.7440 hurdle, the late October swing low surrounding 0.7455 will act as another hurdle to probe the buyers. It should be noted, however, that a successful rise past 0.7455 enables the quote to challenge the 2021 peak of 0.7554.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may initially aim for the March 10 peak of 0.7366 before retesting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of October 2021 to February 2022, close to 0.7325. Should the AUDUSD bears dominate past 0.7325, the 200-DMA surrounding the 0.7300 may challenge the further downside, a break of which will make the quote vulnerable to declines towards 0.7215-10 support confluence, including 100-DMA and ascending trend line from late January.
To sum up, AUDUSD approaches a crucial hurdle to the north with fewer supportive catalysts.
AUDUSD pullback battles 200-DMA with eyes on 0.7425-40 retestHaving successfully crossed the 200-DMA burden during the last week, AUDUSD rose to the four-month high on Monday. However, a broad horizontal area between 0.7425 and 0.7440, also comprising the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2021 to January 2022 downside, challenged bulls. Amid the overbought RSI conditions and a likely caution ahead of RBA Governor Philip Lowe’s speech on late Tuesday, the Aussie pair witnessed a pullback towards the 200-DMA retest, around 0.7320 at the latest. However, January’s peak of 0.7315 and early February’s swing high, close to 0.7250, will challenge the quote’s further weakness before highlighting an upward sloping support line from late January, near 0.7150 at the latest.
That said, the latest rebound eyes the 0.7440 hurdle before challenging October’s swing low near 0.7455. Following that, AUDUSD bulls may aim for the 0.7500 threshold and the 0.7555-65 region, comprising the late 2021 peak and troughs marked during early 2021.
Overall, AUDUSD bulls face a challenging task ahead of this week’s key events, which in turn can allow them to take a breather. However, bears have a long road before taking control.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS ON H4 CHART.Overall, AUD/USD is trending upwards. Recently, AUD/USD broke the resistance zone of 0.73000.
The Australian Building Approvals m/m data (Actual: 1.8%, Forecast: -2.9%, Previous: 8.2%) released last Friday indicated that consumer spending continues to increase at the same rate during February.
Currently, AUD/USD is trading up towards the key level of 0.74. Its next support zone is at 0.73000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.75000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of AUD/USD if it breaks above the key level of 0.74.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS ON H4 CHART.Overall, AUD/USD is trending upwards.
The Australian Retail Sales m/m data (Actual: 1.8%, Forecast: TBA, Previous: -4.4%) released yesterday indicated an increase in consumer spending.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will be announcing their monetary policy decision later at 1130 (GMT+8). It is expected that the central bank will keep interest rate unchanged at 0.10%. Focus on RBA’s view on the economic recovery in Australia and whether the ongoing geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine will have an impact on the Australian economy.
The Australian GDP q/q data (Forecast: 3.0%, Previous: -1.9%) will be released tomorrow at 0830 (GMT+8).
AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of AUD/USD.
AUDUSD defends 100-DMA breakout with eyes on RBAAUDUSD holds onto Friday’s recovery moves from a three-week-old support line around the 100-DMA as Aussie traders brace for the RBA monetary policy meeting. Although Australia’s central bank has been dovish of late, any hints of a tighter monetary policy for the future may allow the AUDUSD prices to extend the latest run-up beyond the 100-DMA level of 0.7240. Even so, a downward sloping trend line from January 12 near 0.7280 and February’s high surrounding 0.7285 will act as extra hurdles to the north. Should the quote remain firmer above 0.7285, bulls will be confident in crossing the January month’s high near 0.7315.
Alternatively, RBA’s downbeat comments and fears of softer wage growth could weigh on AUDUSD prices, which in turn highlight the short-term support line, around 0.7140 by the press time. It should be noted, however, that a clear downside break of 0.7140 will make the quote vulnerable to drop towards February’s bottom close to 0.7050. In a case where AUDUSD bears keep reins past 0.7050, the year 2021 low near 0.6990 and the bottom marked in January around 0.6965 will be in focus.
Overall, the AUDUSD rebound approaches the key hurdles ahead of impending downbeat catalysts.