AUD/USD - DAILY TIME FRAME - SWING TRADE - SELL SET UPPoints to consider for Sell Set up:
Price has broken downwards from the DAILY BEARISH FLAG PATTERN.
Price is currently retesting the break of the flag pattern and also the daily Break of Structure (BOS) price region/zone, which is also Golden zone of Daily Fib Retracement (61.8% to 78.6%)
Price Rejection is observed on the Higher Time Frame (HTF)
Inverted hammer candle/Pin bar seen on the 4Hour Time frame.
BOS and retest observed on the 1H Time Frame.
Note: Plan Your Trade and Trade as per Your Plan
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD bulls eye short-term hurdle amid RBA playsAUDUSD bulls stay hopeful as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ends QE, despite posting initial losses due to rejection of the immediate rate hike concerns. The upside momentum ignores recently cautious RBA Governor Philip Lowe’s comments while staying above a three-week-old descending resistance line, near 0.7115. That said, the 50-DMA level around 0.7170 acts as an immediate barrier for the pair to cross before directing the bulls towards the last home of bears, namely the 100-DMA level close to 0.7260.
Alternatively, pullback moves may initially aim for the 0.7000 threshold ahead of highlighting the lows marked in December 2021 and January 2022, respectively around 0.6990 and 0.6965. In a case where the AUDUSD bears keep reins past 0.6965, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of mid-June 2021 to January 2022 moves, surrounding 0.6920, should gain the market’s attention.
Overall, AUDUSD bulls are up for consolidating the early 2022 losses on hawkish RBA. However, the upside momentum needs caution as the US NFP is yet to play its role.
AUD/USD AnalysisThe AUD/USD has resumed its decline in Asia, despite surprised by the sharp rise in inflation data.
“Underlying inflation accelerated to 1% quarter-on-quarter and 2.6% year-on-year in the fourth quarter. Quarterly trimmed inflation was at its highest level since the third quarter of 2008, with annual figures For the first time since mid-2014, we are above the center of the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range, ".
"RBA will almost certainly need to adjust forward guidance to admit that rate hikes are possible this year. RBAs are likely to want wage growth to accelerate significantly. Therefore, it seems that the main argument is not to shift to a rate hike in 2022. However, it is possible to prove this faster than expected. "
The AUD / USD has returned to the well-known conflict level around 0.7160, which has played both support and resistance roles since last September. Beyond this area, the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), which is the level at which the bulls struggled earlier this month, will be tested. Alternatively, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement seems likely to be the level of support after the daytime descent could not break Fibonacci.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS ON H4 CHART.Overall, AUD/USD is ranging across.
The Australian employment data released yesterday indicated a slowdown in jobs creation and unemployment rate continued to decline in December.
Employment Change (Actual: 64.8K, Forecast: 60.0K, Previous: 366.1K)
Unemployment Rate (Actual: 4.2%, Forecast: 4.5%, Previous: 4.6%)
The Australian flash PMI data will be released next Monday at 0600 (GMT+8).
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: NA, Previous: 57.7 revised from 57.4)
Flash Services PMI (Forecast: NA, Previous: 55.1)
Currently, AUD/USD is testing to break below the key level of 0.72. Its next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of AUD/USD if it breaks below the key level of 0.72.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS ON H4 CHART.Overall, AUD/USD is ranging across. Recently, AUD/USD broke above the key level of 0.72.
The Australian employment data will be released later at 0830 (GMT+8).
Employment Change (Forecast: 60.0K, Previous: 366.1K)
Unemployment Rate (Forecast: 4.5%, Previous: 4.6%)
AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of AUD/USD.
AUDUSD Trading Plan - 19/Jan/2022Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect AU to go Up after finishing this correction.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea
AUDUSD ANALYSIS ON H4 CHART.Overall, AUD/USD is ranging across.
The Australian Westpac Consumer Sentiment data (Forecast: NA, Previous: -1.0%) will be released tomorrow at 0730 (GMT+8).
AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for selling opportunities of AUD/USD.