USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD Trading Idea 8 Oct 2021I think the overall market is in the downtrend, one should look for the selling opportunity. In my personal opinion, Price gave a moderate rejection at the resistance starting to form a hanging man or bearish close or whatever may be the case at 4 hr time frame. If the candle closes around 0.72925 level then you can take a sell entry to put a stop loss at 0.74033. I am bearish with this trade. A possible profit target can be around 0.72310 or somewhere around.
AUDUSD drops back below 20-DMA on RBA dayAlthough the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) matched wide forecasts of inaction on early Tuesday, the Aussie central bank’s concerns over economic growth, due to the pandemic-led local lockdowns, weigh on the AUD/USD prices. Also challenging the quote buyers are the headlines from China and concerning the US stimulus, as well as debt ceiling extension. That said, the pullback from 20-DMA offers a selling opportunity with the 0.7220 acting as an immediate target ahead of six-week-old horizontal support near 0.7165-55. However, any further downside will be challenged by RSI conditions, which if ignored could refresh the yearly bottom that currency stands near the 0.7100 mark.
Meanwhile, an upside clearance of 20-DMA level of 0.7281 isn’t a green pass for the bull’s entry as a horizontal line from late July adds to the upside filters around 0.7320. It should be noted, however, that a clear run-up beyond 0.7320 enables the buyers to aim for a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.7410 before highlighting the September month’s peak around 0.7480. Overall, AUD/USD remains in the bearish trajectory unless crossing the 0.7480 hurdle.
AUDUSDAs I said last weeks ...as I said AU is in a very strong area where it has been in range for a few weeks ... but as long as it is on the trend line , I will keep the SELL idea until the 0.74990 area and from there ... I will reanalyze!
THIS WEEK...as I was saying since April 2021 ... AUDUSD went down and made the 800 pips we were talking about, reaching the 2nd target where it rejected strongly! (see red line)
in the next period I expect to see a range between zone 1 and zone 2 and only a closure even for 1 day below these zones will make me rethink the whole strategy! now I will wait to touch one of these areas and then I will decide an entry with BUY or SELL
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AUDUSD jumps back towards 200-SMA amid firmer sentimentAUDUSD reverses Friday’s pullback from the key moving average while picking up bids to 0.7286 during early Monday. In doing so, the Aussie bulls brace for another battle with the 200-SMA level of 0.7305. However, any further upside needs to cross the previous week’s top surrounding 0.7315 to extend the run-up towards the mid-month peak surrounding 0.7345-50. In a case where market optimism helps the risk barometer pair to remain firmer past 0.7350, the 0.7410 and the monthly high close to 0.7480 will be in focus.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may first retest 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of the late August to early September upside, near 0.7245. Following that, the monthly horizontal support area, near 0.7220, and 78.2% Fibo. level near 0.7185 should probe AUDUSD bears ahead of directing them towards August month’s low, also the yearly bottom, close to 0.7105. Overall, AUDUSD consolidates pullback from early month highs but key supports provide intermediate bounces.
Short & long term analysis for AUDUSDFrom looking at structure with a top down analysis I have placed some areas that I see price most likely coming to both short term and long term. I have placed an alert at 0.72346 to see if price gets to my POI for a potential long position. However if price decides to hit my alert at 0.76886 first then I will look for a potential short position in my POI.
Technical Analysis: Bearish marubozu keeps AUDUSD seller hopefulDespite recently bouncing off a monthly low, AUDUSD remains pressured around 20-DMA during early Wednesday. The risk-barometer pair dropped the most in a week while flashing a bearish candlestick on the daily chart. The anticipated declines also gain support from the absence of the oversold RSI conditions. However, July’s low of 0.7288 acts as a trigger for the fresh fall. Following that, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.7225 and 0.7155 could offer intermediate halts during the south-run targeting the yearly low near 0.7105.
Alternatively, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of the pair’s late June to August 20 downside, respectively near 0.7360 and 0.7420, can guard the quote’s rebound. Also challenging AUDUSD bulls is the monthly high near 0.7480. Should the Aussie pair rises past 0.7420, odds of its rally towards the July month’s peak near the 0.7600 level can’t be ruled out.