USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD lures bears amid softer Aussie inflation, 0.6670 eyedAUDUSD struggles to defend the bounce from a two-month-old rising support line and the 200-SMA amid softer Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Also attracting offers for the Aussie pair is the risk-off mood and an impending death cross on the four-hour chart, a bearish moving average crossover between the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI and MACD suggest a slower grind to the south. That said, the aforementioned trend line stretched from early November and the 200-SMA, around 0.6685-75 at the latest, appears crucial for the pair sellers, a clear break of which will help bears to aim for early December peaks surrounding 0.6620. Following that, an eight-week-old horizontal support area near 0.6540-45 will be the last defense of the buyers.
Meanwhile, a convergence of the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA, close to 0.6750-60 at the latest, guards the immediate upside of the AUDUSD pair. Should the quote remain firmer past 0.6760, the previous monthly high of around 0.6870 and the mid-2023 peaks near 0.6900 could test the Aussie pair buyers ahead of the 0.7000 psychological magnet and last year’s top of 0.7157.
Overall, the AUDUSD buyers appear running out of steam but the bears need validation from 0.6670 to enter the ring.
AUDUSD Short idea-The price makes the higher low and lower high in HTF.
-As the structure suggested, there should be a slight bounce back for the supply area for the further downside
-The sell setup is invalid if the price breaks the near-demand zone.
-The demand and supply zone is marked on the chart
AUDUSD: Australian Dollar Hovers at Near 2-Week LowsThe Australian dollar held below $0.678, hovering at its lowest levels in nearly two weeks, weighed down by a rebound in the US dollar as investors pared back aggressive bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year.
A cautious turn in risk sentiment also pressured the aussie, with stocks and commodities retreating sharply from recent highs while Treasury yields rallied . Domestically, investors continued to assess the outlook for Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy.
Analysts are suggesting that the RBA will trail global peers in shifting to an easing cycle as it has not hiked as aggressively as other central banks, probably resulting in shallower or later cuts.
Moreover, inflation in Australia proved more persistent than in other economies , with RBA Governor Michele Bullock saying recently that the challenge is “increasingly homegrown and demand-driven”.
SELL AUDUSD 0.68400, SL 0.68750, TGT- 0.67200, TOTAL 1200 POINTSSELL AUDUSD 0.68400, SL 0.68750, TGT- 0.67200, TOTAL 1200 POINTS (120 PIPS)
its a long time given higher high and on weekly chart there is registance and according to Smart Money and Spinner Entry,
SELL AUDUSD 0.68400, SL 0.68750, TGT- 0.67200, TOTAL 1200 POINTS (120 PIPS)
Australian Dollar Hits Fresh 5-Month Highs : LONGETRM ANALYSISThe Australian dollar appreciated to around $0.683, scaling fresh five month highs as cooling US inflation reinforced bets that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates next year. Lower rate expectations also lifted commodity prices, providing a boost to Australia’s resource-heavy industries and currency. Meanwhile, analysts suggested that the Reserve Bank of Australia will likely trail global peers in shifting to an easing cycle as it has not hiked as aggressively as other central banks, probably resulting in shallower or later cuts. Inflation in Australia also proved more persistent than in other economies, with RBA Governor Michele Bullock saying last month that the challenge is “increasingly homegrown and demand-driven,” and that bringing the print below 3% from about 5.5% now is likely to be a drawn out process. Markets do not see the central bank cutting rates until late 2024.
For Signals details in bio
AUSDUSD shortFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
AUDUSD stays bullish beyond 0.6650 resistance-turned-supportAUDUSD edges higher past 0.6700 after posting the biggest weekly gains since the mid-November. In doing so, the Aussie pair defends Wednesday’s upside break of descending trend line stretched from early February, now immediate support near 0.6650. The resistance break joins upbeat RSI (14) to keep the buyers hopeful. However, the MACD signals appear less bullish and RSI line also nears the overbought conditions. The same suggests limited upside room for the buyers to cheer, which in turn highlights May’s high of around 0.6820 as an immediate upside hurdle to trace. Following that, a 10-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6900-6920 will be a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the previous resistance line near 0.6650, now immediate support, could quickly drag the AUDUSD prices to the 200-SMA support surrounding 0.6575. It’s worth noting, however, that tops marked in late August and early September, as well as comprising December’s bottom, will challenge the Aussie pair’s downside past 0.6575 near 0.6525-20. Additionally, a seven-week-old rising support line near 0.6480-75 will act as the final defense for the buyers before giving control to the bears.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to revisit the mid-2023 peaks during the year-end trading. The pullback moves, which are less likely, remain unimportant beyond 0.6475.
AUDUSD bears have bumpy road ahead, 0.6460 is crucialAUDUSD remains pressured on early Monday, after snapping a three-week uptrend by the end of Friday. In doing so, the Aussie pair justifies its risk-barometer status as traders await this week’s key data/events comprising the US inflation, multiple PMIs and top-tier central bank meetings. In addition to the market’s anxiety, the bearish MACD signals and a downward-sloping RSI (14) line also favors the Aussie pair sellers in targeting a four-month-old horizontal support surrounding 0.6520-15. However, the quote’s weakness past 0.6515 appears difficult unless the bears manage to conquer the 0.6460 support confluence comprising the 100-SMA and a six-week-old rising support line. Following that, the pair becomes vulnerable to decline towards an area near 0.6360 that includes multiple levels marked since the mid-August.
Meanwhile, the AUDUSD pair’s recovery needs validation from the 0.6600 and the scheduled catalysts to convince buyers. Even so, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of the pair’s June-October downside, close to 0.6660, will precede the monthly high of 0.6690 and the 0.6700 to test the Aussie bulls before giving them control. In a case where the quote remain firmer past 0.6700, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 0.6770 and June’s peak near 0.6900 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to remain pressured during the key week but the road toward the south appears long and bumpy.
AUDUSD NEXT MOVE (potential selling )(08-12-2023)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
Our trading Preference
Trading tips: (Accuracy 90%)
AUDUSD Sell: 0.26300-0.66500
TP@0.65400 & 0.64000
SL@0.670000
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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AUDUSD Short opportunity AUDUSD December cycle projection -
confluences- M pattern broken + M pattern on GBPUSD and NZDUSD , 3 levels to the upside completed, imp- Gold stop hunt to the ATH followed by high stopping volume + Half bat man pattern+ AUDUSD daily Red vector candles, 3H divergence, broken the 4H 50 ema support.
more confluence-
GBPUSD has completed 3 levels to the upside ""WITH EXACT 30 DAYS"" (30 days 1H cycles are common which further validates its time for a new mark down cycle)
Gold stop hunt after the level 2 rise and currently going for 1H mark down cycle as a potential retrace (note- this retrace can become a new 4H mark down cycle)
AUDUSD Short Side TradeOn the 1-hour timeframe, AUDUSD has experienced a significant trendline breakdown,
Presenting an Unmedicated area where we can consider a short-side entry. Upon confirmation on the 15-minute timeframe
We can plan a trade on the short side, setting our stoploss of 7 to 10 pips and initial take profit (TP) at 30 pips and our secondary TP at 50 pips. This area also aligns with the Fibonacci Golden Zone.
The decision for a short-side entry will entirely rely on market behavior and confirmation on the M15 timeframe.
AUDUSD M30The AUDUSD pair attracts some intraday sellers in the vicinity of the 0.6700 mark, or over a five-month top touched during the Asian session on Monday, and drops to a fresh daily low in the last hour. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.6660 area, down just nearly 0.10% for the day, and the downside is sponsored by a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick.
AUD/USD Sell Trade Based on Technical Analysis-Forex Pip TargetsDescription:
Embark on a lucrative trading journey with a compelling Forex opportunity that revolves around an AUD/USD sell trade, meticulously analyzed through advanced technical indicators. As the global financial markets continue to evolve, strategic traders are eyeing this potential profit-making scenario with great anticipation.
Technical Analysis Highlights:
Bearish Trend Confirmation:
Comprehensive technical analysis reveals a clear bearish trend in the AUD/USD currency pair. Multiple indicators, including moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), align to signal a downward trajectory, providing a solid foundation for a sell trade.
Key Resistance Levels:
Critical resistance levels have been identified through careful analysis of historical price action. These levels act as formidable barriers, further validating the potential for a downward movement in the AUD/USD pair.
Chart Patterns:
Recognizing chart patterns is crucial in predicting market movements. The presence of bearish chart patterns, such as descending triangles or head and shoulders formations, adds weight to the sell proposition, enhancing the probability of a successful trade.
Forex Pip Target Projection:
In this sell trade opportunity, traders are encouraged to set a realistic pip target to maximize profits while managing risk effectively. The Forex Pip Target for this AUD/USD sell trade is conservatively projected at pips, offering a balanced risk-reward ratio.
Risk Management Strategy:
Implementing a robust risk management strategy is paramount in navigating the uncertainties of the forex market. Traders are advised to set stop-loss orders strategically, protecting their capital from unexpected market fluctuations. Additionally, monitoring the trade closely and adjusting stop-loss levels as the market progresses is essential for optimal risk management.
Conclusion:
Seize the moment and capitalize on this carefully analyzed Forex trade opportunity in the AUD/USD pair. The sell trade, backed by comprehensive technical analysis, presents a favorable risk-reward profile, making it an attractive prospect for traders seeking potential profits. Stay informed, stay strategic, and embark on this trading endeavor with confidence.
(Note: This description is a generic example and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial professional before making trading decisions.)
AUD/USDOn 1hr timeframe we can see head and shoulder pattern then breakout of the neckline after closing below the neckline i took my entry my target is 2.5 RR or 200 Exponancial moving average and my stop is entry candle's high.
Hope you will learn how to trade H&S pattern hear results will be in front!!
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