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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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USDAUX trade ideas

AUDUSD lures bears even as 200-SMA probes immediate downsideA clear break of the monthly bullish channel welcomed AUDUSD buyers the last week despite the quote’s hesitance to break the 200-SMA. That said, bearish MACD signals add strength to the downside bias suggesting an imminent fall to the November 08 swing high surrounding 0.6550, given the successful break of the 200-SMA level of 0.6660. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the Aussie pair’s November-December upside, around 0.6410, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, any recoveries need to defy the channel breakdown by successful trading above the 0.6725-30 support-turned-resistance to recall the AUDUSD buyers. Even so, the 0.6800 hurdle comprising multiple levels marked since mid-November could test the bulls before giving them control. In a case where AUDUSD remains firmer past 0.6800, the December-start peak near 0.6850 could return to the chart. However, a convergence of the stated channel’s upper line and the monthly high, close to 0.6890, closely followed by the 0.6900 round figure, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers afterward. Overall, AUDUSD sellers are in the driver’s seat and await a clear break of the 200-SMA to dominate further.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD needs to cross 200-DMA for further upsideAUDUSD grinds near a three-month high as the RBA lifts benchmark interest rate by 0.25%, as expected. Given the RSI pullback from the overbought conditions, a monthly resistance line near 0.6740 restricts the quote’s immediate upside ahead of the key six-month-old descending trend line, near 0.6880 by the press time. Even so, the 200-DMA level around 0.6920 becomes the last defense of the pair sellers and may probe the north run afterward. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6920, a run-up towards the tops marked in August, close to 0.7010 and 0.7135, will be in focus. Alternatively, a daily closing below the the 100-DMA and July’s low near 0.6680-85 could please the AUD/USD bears. In a case where the Aussie pair remains weak past 0.6680, a south-run towards October’s peak near 0.6545 can’t be ruled out. It should be noted that the quote’s weakness past 0.6545 will make it vulnerable to challenging the yearly low surrounding 0.6170. Overall, AUDUSD approaches the key resistances but the buyers seem running out of fuel.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD teases bears amid China-inspired risk aversionAfter closing a positive week on the red side, AUDUSD remains on the bear’s radar as it broke a short-term symmetrical triangle, as well as the 50-SMA. However, the bears need a clear downside break of the previous week’s bottom surrounding 0.6580 to keep the reins. In that case, the downward trajectory could aim for the 200-SMA level surrounding 0.6475. During the fall, the 0.6500 round figure may act as intermediate halts. Alternatively, a convergence of the previous support line and the 50-SMA, around 0.6700, holds the key to the buyer’s entry. Following that, a downward-sloping trend line from November 15, close to 0.6770 could challenge the upside momentum. In a case where the AUDUSD pair remains firmer past 0.6770, the monthly high and 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of 10-21 November moves, respectively around 0.6800 and 0.6840 will be in focus. Overall, AUDUSD is likely to remain weaker unless rising back beyond 0.6770.
by MTradingGlobal