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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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AUDUSD bulls flex muscles but 0.6530 holds the gateAUDUSD retreats to the upper line of a one-month-old symmetrical triangle. However, the RSI (14) suggests that the bulls are running out of steam. As a result, the upside momentum appears doubtful unless witnessing a successful break of the 0.6480 hurdle. Even so, multiple hurdles surrounding the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s downside between September 20 and October 13, around 0.6530, appears as the key resistance to watch for a better view. If the quote manages to stay beyond 0.6530, the odds of a run-up towards 0.6570 and then to 0.6655-60 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, pullback moves remain elusive unless staying beyond the 200-SMA level surrounding the 0.6400 threshold. Following that, 0.6365 and 0.6345 levels can entertain the AUDUSD bears. It should be noted, however, that the aforementioned triangle’s support line, close to 0.6290 at the latest, will be crucial to follow afterward. In a case where the pair successfully breaks the 0.6290 support, it becomes vulnerable to refreshing the yearly low, currently around 0.6170. Overall, AUDUSD lures buyers but confirmation is necessary before taking a long position.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD sellers struggle on the RBA dayAUDUSD bounces off a one-month-old horizontal support while poking the 200-SMA on the day of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) scheduled monetary policy announcements. While a clear downside break of the 0.6345-60 support area opens the door for the Aussie pair’s fresh yearly low, currently around 0.6170, an upward-sloping support line from October 13 could act as a buffer near the 0.6250 level. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the AUDUSD pair’s moves between September 13 to October 27, close to 0.6060, will be in the spotlight during the pair’s downside past 0.6170. Alternatively, the 200-SMA and seven-day-old previous support, respectively near 0.6450 and 0.6480, could challenge the AUDUSD pair’s recovery moves. Following that, multiple levels marked since September 26 could test the buyers around 0.6540-50. It should, however, be noted that the pair’s successful run-up beyond 0.6550 could aim for the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels of the quote’s September-October downside, close to 0.6630 and 0.6755 in that order.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD braces for recovery near YTD low, 0.6365 is crucialAUDUSD rebounds inside a three-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation and it becomes more important for the short-term buyer’s return as the quote is around the 2.5-year low. It should, however, be noted that only an upside break of 0.6290 hurdle won’t be enough to convince bulls as a horizontal area surrounding 0.6345-65 appears a tough nut to crack for them before retaking control. Also asking as the upside filter is another horizontal zone from September 26, close to 0.6540, as well as the 200-SMA near 0.6580. Meanwhile, pullback moves remain elusive beyond the stated wedge’s support, near 0.6180 by the press time, breaking which the yearly low near 0.6170 could act as the validation point for the AUDUSD pair’s further weakness. During the pair’s weakness past 0.6170, the 0.6000 psychological magnet will be on the bear’s radar ahead of April 2020 low near 0.5980. Overall, AUDUSD bears are running out of steam and can trigger a short-term rebound. It’s worth noting, however, that the bulls have a long and bumpy way to ride.
by MTradingGlobal