UK OIL Technical Analysis - The weekly outlook for UK Oil looks very positive and promising
- The base is getting matured on the weekly whereas the Daily base has already matured
- As of now waiting for the base to form and enter once you see a low getting taken out by huge demand
- My Bias over this is straight bullish and nothing else to consider
USDBRO trade ideas
Crude levels - Bearish bias due to fundamentalsOn a downtrend with strong support at 72. On confirmation of breaking upper line can enter but problem is with fundamentals. Saudi cutting 2 dollars is bearish as it decreases the incentive for US producers and showes the lack of confidence with respect to demand. So Can even push below the 72 support and go down before uptrend. Till then wait and watch
Oil headed towards $60. A Real possibilityOil has tendency to fall by more than 70% from the top. After topping out at $138. After many production cuts and effort to arrest fall in price by OPEC+ and news that Oil is headed to $300, Oil continues to show weakness. Lower demand from bigger economies, expectations of falling Oil price and shift to alternate fuel will further pull-down Oil prices, possibly to $60 by end of year 2024.
Brent Crude Oil - Target US$ 93Brent Sweet Crude completed primary wave 4 with satisfactory completion of pattern, down to the miniscule degree, yesterday. The rebound since then, appears to be the impulse of primary wave 5, though its too early stage to conclude whether it would be impulse or diagonal. Even if wave 4 were to continue into double correction, there should be retracement back to $84-86 to achieve 50% retracement back forming X to pave way for double threes. However, given the primary 1 to 3 structure and pattern, previous cycles' internal characteristics, it seems less probable that this primary wave 4 would take a double or triple three route.
In either condition, whether the current upswing is impulse of wave 5 of primary degree, or X of double correction, $84 is the first target, thereafter $93+.
Opportune time to open long, when the world is offloading stocks, that's the time to buy. I am adding fresh long to my existing long position (though I am bit late, yesterday on completion of pattern I was convinced, but wasted time in reassurance through many iterations).
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Crude Short Sell LevelThe chart has the key level marked out. 85.70 will be a great level to short the commodity. The trend remains down though we have now reached a support and also the oscillators are oversold which will lead to some mean reversion. So best to wait for the level to be reached on the bounce and then short sell the commodity.
Brent Oil buyers need validation from $92.50Brent oil buyers take a breather after posting the biggest daily jump in six months as the overbought RSI (14) line prods the energy bulls below a three-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding $92.50. However, a clear upside break of the 200-SMA and bullish MACD signals suggest further upside of the black gold price. Hence, the quote is likely to cross the immediate hurdle surrounding $92.50, which in turn will allow bulls to challenge the monthly high of around $94.30. In that case, September’s peak of near $96.50 and the $100.00 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight.
On the contrary, Brent Oil’s pullback remains elusive beyond the 200-SMA support of $90.80, quickly followed by the $90.00 threshold. Following that, a broad horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early September, close to $89.00-50, will challenge the energy sellers. Should the Oil bears manage to conquer the $89.00 support, its fall to the previous weekly low of $85.76 becomes imminent. However, the monthly low of $84.17 and the previous monthly trough surrounding $82.00 will test the south-run afterward.
Overall, Brent Oil price stays on the way to refreshing the monthly high unless it breaks the $89.00 support.
Brent Crude: Set for 104-108The chart set up suggests support around 85-87 odd levels
Minor resistance around 98 and eventual target for the set up could be 104-108
Risk::Reward ratio favors to go Long
Take care & sage trading..!!!
Disclaimer
-The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
UK OIL 📈 Exciting Bullish Pattern Alert
📊 Pattern: Base Building
📌 Symbol/Asset: UK OIL
🔍 Description: The target of multiple patterns is pending, stock bounced back from solid support. Future & Options segment stock.
👉 Remember: Technical patterns are just one piece of the puzzle. Consider conducting further research, consulting with a financial advisor, and managing your risks appropriately.