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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

200-DMA tests USDCAD bears ahead of Canada GDPUSDCAD bears keep reins around a five-week low, attacking the 200-DMA ahead of the key Canada Q1 GDP. Given the likelihood of a softer growth number, as well as considering nearly oversold RSI, the Loonie pair may rebound from the stated moving average surrounding 1.2660. In a case where the quote refrains from respecting the RSI and the DMA, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2021 to May 2022 upside and an upward sloping support line from late 2021, respectively near 1.2585 and 1.2500, will be important to watch during the additional south-run. Meanwhile, recovery moves may initially aim for the 1.2700 threshold and then the 1.2760 hurdle before challenging a 13-day-long resistance line surrounding the 1.2800 round figure. It’s worth noting that the USDCAD pair’s run-up beyond 1.2800 won’t hesitate to challenge March’s high of 1.2900 and December 2021 peak close to 1.2965. To sum up, USDCAD bears battle with the key support and may retreat a bit should the scheduled data disappoint.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD remains vulnerable to more downside ahead of Canada CPINot only a downside break of the monthly bullish channel but sustained trading beneath the 100-SMA also keeps USDCAD sellers hopeful ahead of Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday. Adding strength to the bearish bias is the downward sloping RSI (14) since the last week. That said, the 1.2800 appears immediate support for the quote ahead of directing it towards the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2720. Any further downside, however, hinges on the pair’s ability to conquer the 1.2660-65 horizontal area comprising the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of April-May upside, as well as mid-April tops. Meanwhile, the 100-SMA level near 1.2875 limits the USDCAD pair’s immediate recovery moves before highlighting the lower line of the aforementioned channel, previous support around 1.2930. In a case where the pair rises past 1.2930, the weekly high of 1.2981 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet could test the buyers prior to highlighting the north-run towards the monthly peak close to 1.3075. Overall, USDCAD has already flashed bearish confirmation on the chart but today’s data also needs to back the move.
Short
by MTradingGlobal