Elliotical Approach to USDCAD Long.Hello Traders!
1. We see an Expanding Leading Diagonal for Wave 1.
2. As per the guidelines, the most common level for retracement of a leading diagonal is 78.6% . That is exactly what happened here. We also have a support on the same level.
3. We have a clear invalidation level at the start of Wave 1 .
4. The most expected target for Wave 3 would be 161.8% of Wave 1 as per the guidelines . The target could differ as per more development in price action.
5. There is a bit of a change when concerning the original idea. It has been attached.
Do use proper risk management.
Happy Trading!
Profits,
Market's Mechanic.
USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD bears eye 1.3250 strong support on BoC dayUSDCAD sellers hold the reins for the sixth consecutive week so far as traders await the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision on Wednesday. That said, the BoC’s likely 0.25% rate hike is expected to join the bearish MACD signals and favor the pair bears. However, a convergence of an upward-sloping trend line from June 2022 and a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s June-October 2022 upside, near 1.3250, appears a tough nut to crack for the sellers. Adding strength to the stated support is the RSI conditions suggesting a recent weakness in downside momentum. Even if the quote breaks the 1.3250 support, the 200-DMA level surrounding 1.3180 could act as the last defense of the Loonie pair buyers.
Alternatively, a surprise disappointment from the BoC, either with or without the rate lifts, could trigger the much-awaited USDCAD rebound. In that case, the 100-DMA and previous support line from September 2022, close to 1.3500-10, will be a strong hurdle to watch for the bull’s entry. Following that, a run-up towards the previous monthly high near 1.3700 can’t be ruled out. It should be observed that the pair’s successful rise beyond the 1.3700 resistance can witness multiple challenges between 1.3810 and 1.3830, a break of which could direct buyers towards the previous yearly top marked in October around 1.3975.
To sum up, USDCAD is likely to remain bearish unless the BoC offers any negative surprises. However, the downside room is limited.
USDCADYOU SHOULD TAKE THE TWO SIDE PROFIT
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USDCAD - 1H PROJECTIONDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.
USDCAD - 1H PROJECTIONDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.
USDCADDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.
USDCAD Sell LimitDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.
USDCAD bears brace for mid-1.3200s with eyes on BOC’s MacklemUSDCAD remains depressed at the lowest levels in six weeks after breaking the 100-DMA as broad US Dollar weakness joins firmer oil prices. Even so, the bears are waiting for the Bank of Canada (BOC) Governor Tiff Macklem’s speech for further directions. That said, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of June-October upside, near 1.3250, appears the immediate support ahead of an upward-sloping support line from June 2022, close to the 1.3200 round figure. Should the Loonie pair drops below 1.3200, the 200-DMA support level of 1.3150 could act as the last defense of the pair buyers.
On the contrary, the 100-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.3480 challenges the short-term recovery moves of the USDCAD pair. Following that, a run-up towards the previous monthly peak of around 1.3700 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting, however, that multiple resistances around 1.3800 and 1.3850 could challenge the pair buyers past 1.3700, a break of which could propel prices towards the year 2022 top of 1.3977.
Overall, USDCAD is well-set on the bear’s radar despite the latest hesitance in refreshing the multi-day low.
My Elliotical Approach to USDCAD Long.The chart mentions everything pretty clearly. My next approach would be to look for an entry point close to the channel's lower trendline with the protective stop (invalidation level) at wave 1 high. This is the 5th wave of the 3rd wave as per my analysis which we would attempt to capture. The target should be close to the channel's upper trendline. A definitive target will come into existence once the correction is completed. Happy Trading!
USDCAD is likely to decline further as 2023 beginsUSDCAD holds onto the late December downside break of the seven-week-old ascending support line, even if the 200-SMA challenges the bears. That said, the downbeat MACD and RSI conditions also favor the Loonie pair sellers as they attack the key SMA surrounding 1.3520. Additionally challenging the bears is the double bottoms marked around 1.3485-80 during the last week, a break of which could quickly drag prices towards the previous monthly low of around 1.3380. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.3380, November’s low of 1.3225 will gain the market’s attention.
On the contrary, recovery moves need to cross the previous support line from early November, close to 1.3645-50 by the press time, to convince buyers. Even so, the double tops marked the last month at around 1.3700 will be a crucial challenge for the USDCAD optimists. It's worth noting that the pair’s run-up beyond 1.3700 won’t hesitate to challenge the yearly high marked in October around 1.3980. However, November’s peak near 1.3810 could act as a buffer during the anticipated run-up.
Overall, USDCAD is likely to remain weak but the 200-SMA can challenge short-term sellers amid the holiday mood.