Ascending triangle teases USDCAD bears ahead of BOC inflationUSDCAD portrays a bearish triangle formation after multiple rejections from the 1.3700 threshold. The sellers, however, await a clear downside break of the stated formation’s support, near 1.3590 by the press time, as well as the Bank of Canada inflation data. A clear break of the stated 1.3590 support, backed by upbeat BOC CPI, could quickly drag the quote to the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.3490-85. Following that, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s October-November fall, near 1.3400, could act as an intermediate halt during the south run aiming the theoretical target of 1.3270. In a case where the Loonie pair remains depressed below 1.3270, the previous monthly low, close to 1.3235, will gain the market’s attention.
Alternatively, USDCAD needs a successful clearance of the 1.3700 hurdle, as well as softer Canada inflation, to defy the bearish chart formation. In that case, the previous monthly top and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.3810 will be in the spotlight. Should the Loonie pair remains firmer past 1.3810, the 1.3900 round figure and November’s high near 1.3975 could entertain buyers before highlighting the 1.4000 psychological magnet.
Overall, USDCAD bears are ready for entry as traders await the key data from Canada.
USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD has more upside to track but 1.3700 is the key hurdleUSDCAD grabbed the bull’s attention ever since it crossed a two-month-old descending resistance line, now support around 1.3500. The upside bias also takes clues from the firmer RSI and MACD. However, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s October-November downside, near 1.3695, appears a tough nut to crack for buyers. Also acting as an upside filter is the monthly high of 1.3700, a break of which could quickly propel the quote towards November’s peak surrounding 1.3805. It’s worth noting that the Loonie pair’s run-up beyond 1.3805 could aim for October’s high near 1.3980, as well as the 1.4000 psychological magnet.
Meanwhile, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.3600 restricts the USDCAD pair’s short-term downside ahead of highlighting the 1.3500 support confluence including the resistance-turned-support line from October and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Even if the pair declines below 1.3500, a convergence of 100-SMA and 200-SMA at 1.3485 appears strong support.
Overall, USDCAD is likely to rise further but the 1.3700 resistance challenges the bulls.
USDCAD signals further run-up towards 1.3800 ahead of BOCA clear upside break of the 50-DMA and a descending trend line from October’s peak keeps USDCAD bulls hopeful ahead of the Bank of Canada’s (BOC) interest rate hike announcement. That said, the Loonie pair’s upside towards the previous monthly top surrounding 1.3800 appears imminent. However, multiple hurdles near 1.3850 could challenge the quote’s additional north-run, a break of which will direct the buyers towards the yearly high marked in October surrounding 1.3980.
Alternatively, USDCAD pullback remains elusive unless the quote remains beyond the 50-DMA level near 1.3565. Also testing the bears is the aforementioned resistance line from October 13, now support near 1.3550. It’s worth noting that the three-week-old ascending support line, close to 1.3430, acts as an additional downside filter for the Loonie pair before directing the bears towards the 1.3230-25 horizontal support comprising July’s high and November’s low.
Overall, the USDCAD pair has already flashed a bullish signal before the BOC’s widely anticipated rate hike.
BEARISH IDEA ON USDCAD H1 My USDCAD H1
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Bull flag keeps USDCAD buyers hopefulUSDCAD grinds lower inside a bullish chart pattern. That said, the 50-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.3570 guards the Loonie pair’s immediate upside before highlighting the flag’s upper line, around 1.3620. In a case where the quote rises past 1.3620, the odds favoring a run-up toward the monthly high of 1.3976 and then to the 1.4000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Following that, the theoretical run-up challenging the previous peaks marked in 2020 and 2016, near 1.4670, could be expected.
Meanwhile, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of June-October upside, near 1.3250, could restrict short-term USDCAD downside ahead of the tops marked in July and early September, near 1.3220 and 1.3210 in that order. Should the quote drops below 1.3210, the 1.3200 round figure will precede the stated flag’s bottom line, surrounding 1.3115, to challenge the pair’s further downside. It’s worth noting, however, that the bear’s dominance past 1.3115 won’t hesitate to recall August month’s low of 1.2727 to the chart.
Check USDCAD forecastHey guys,
I found one setup for sell usdcad. there is one unmitigated orderflow as well with inner order block. so it must be react on that zone.
Also currently price will take liquidity on inducement and it will sell from unmitigated order block.
Two zone will react at least 50-100 pips or more. take trade wisely.
Thanks.
USDCAD BEARISH IDEAH&S has been formed already and in our previous analysis we made this clear, again the neckline of the H&S was broken which we previously traded it on retest.
After this retest we expect the price it's low now however there were a raising trendline acting as support below after retest, if bears have the energy to push down then we'll reach the target of next support level of 2.30089.
The FED's pivot is underway and the interest rate hikes is expected to be halt my the FED, this will cause more weakness to greenback.
from monthly to m15 using smart money and retail baseWhat Is Price Action?
Price action is the movement of a security's price plotted over time. Price action forms the basis for all technical analyses of a stock, commodity or other asset charts.
Many short-term traders rely exclusively on price action and the formations and trends extrapolated from it to make trading decisions. Technical analysis as a practice is a derivative of price action since it uses past prices in calculations that can then be used to inform trading decisions.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Price action generally refers to the changes of a security's price over time.
Different looks can be applied to a chart to make trends in price action more obvious for traders. This is especially true when analyzing data covering different time periods.
Technical analysis formations and chart patterns are derived from price action.
Technical analysis tools like moving averages are also calculated from price action and projected into the future to inform trades.
Though many use price action to forecast future prices, prior price action does not guarantee future results.
USDCAD H1 Bullish ForecastUnited States Dollar vs Canadian Dollar
USDCAD BULLISH H1
US Dollar has been down over the past week and it is really amazing to spot an opportunity for the upcoming raise of US Dollar.
Technical analysis:
We found several reasons for the USDCAD pricing to go high.
1. USDCAD has pumped up from support level around 1.32313, where 8H TM was managed to be kept by bulls.
2. 1H TM raising trendline has been respected in the recent pricing in rows, after the second touch the price has printed a cup where the handle in process of making, from the end of handle we expect third touch of raising trendline where we'll enter our buying positions for our clients.
The entry zone may be 1.33586 or 1.33523.
Target1
There'll be resistance around 1.34088 this will be first target for short time traders and BreakEven for long time traders.
Target 2
The 1.34994 area is next resistance for buyers once the first target is done.
USDCAD Buy trade SignalUSDCAD Buy Trade Signal
it's reverse the market from the major support area and recently break the resistance area and make a very strong Bullish candle above its a very good opportunity to take a Buy trade with a good risk-reward target and the stop area is mentioned in the chart
Always Use Stop Loss