CAD powers higher, all eyes on NFPThe Canadian dollar has posted slight losses on Friday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.2176, up 0.22% on the day.
The Canadian currency continues to head higher. On Thursday, the Canadian dollar sparkled, gaining 0.95%, its highest 1-day gain in 2021. USD/CAD fell 2.15% in April and is down 0.95% so far in May, as the Canadian dollar is trading at its highest level since September 2017.
Canada has a commodity-based economy, and this week's rally in oil prices has lifted the Canadian dollar. As well, copper is trading at an all-time high, and Canada is one of the world's major copper producers. A stronger global demand for commodities bodes well for the Canadian dollar.
All eyes will be on US nonfarm payrolls for April, which will be released on Friday (12:30 GMT). The ADP Employment Report is not considered a reliable gauge for the official NFP, but investors couldn't help notice that the ADP reading jumped to 742 thousand, up from 514 thousand. Nonfarm payrolls climbed to 916 thousand in March and with a forecast of 990 thousand, a reading above the symbolic one-million mark is certainly within reach. If nonfarm payrolls outperforms, it would be another signal that the US economy is well on the road to recovery.
Canada will also release key employment numbers on Friday (12:30 GMT). However, unlike the US, the consensus is for a dismal release for April. The economy produced some 303 thousand new jobs in March, but investors are bracing for a sharp downturn in April, with a forecast of -160 thousand. The unemployment rate is expected to rise to 7.8%, up from the current 7.5%. If the readings fall within expectations, the Canadian dollar's party this week could come to an end.
On the upside, there is resistance at 1.2435 and 1.2575. USD/CAD is testing support at 1.2210. Below, there is support at 1.2125
USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD - SHORTDESCRIPTION:
The price of the counter USDCAD is retaining below the resistance trend line. The trend line has been tested thrice at prices of 1.2634, 1.2630, and 1.2621. The price is still under the resistance trend line and there is no indication for a breakout. Today the price started moving downwards and the selling pressure of the market may pull the price even more downwards. The bearish trend of the counter is expected to continue further. The stochastic indicator curves are at level 80 which gives additional support to the description.
The major levels for the counter are:
R2 - 1.2715
R1 - 1.2661
PP - 1.2570
S1 - 1.2570
S2 - 1.2425
USDCAD 30min Analysis April 21th, 2021Trade Scenario 1: Bullish - For us to go long we need to see price break above 1.2630 and retest the same zone again to our edge of value at 1.2630. We will then wait for price to find support and enter on strong bullish setups, first targeting previous highs around 1.2695
Trade Scenario 2: Bearish - For us to go short we want to see price break below 1.2630. We will then wait for a retest and for 1.2600 to act as resistance. Enter on strong bearish setups, first targeting our edge of value around 1.2550
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDCADTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (1.25400).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. USDCAD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 57.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.27350
TP2= @ 1.28300
TP3= @ 1.29550
TP4= @ 1.31000
TP5= @ 1.34200
SL= Break below S2
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USDCAD Hourly Chart Trendline Support- Long Setup USDCAD hourly chart is showing a trend line support. Long can be initiated at current levels 1.25700 with SL of 1.25450 a 25 Pips stop.
RISK Management/ Position Size-->> Risk can be calculated as per the given stops level. For example if your risk is $10-15 you should initiate the trade with not more than 5000 units.