USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
EUR USD Weekly analysis (18-05-25 to 24-05-25)📊 Technical Analysis (4H Chart – EUR/USD)
Current Price: ~1.1163
EUR/USD attempted a short-term bounce post-retail sales data but failed to break structure. The chart suggests potential downside continuation after a minor retracement.
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Resistance Zone:
• 1.1340 – 1.1370 (highlighted zone, likely invalid unless major reversal happens)
Support Zones:
• 1.1100 (intermediate)
• 1.1050 – 1.1020 (strong demand zone from early May)
A clean lower high setup is forming. If the pair fails to break above 1.1200, expect downward continuation.
🔴 Bias:
Bearish unless the price breaks above 1.1200 with strong momentum. Expect continuation toward 1.1100 and possibly 1.1050.
🌍 Fundamental Outlook for the Week (13–17 May 2025)
🏦 1. Divergence in ECB vs. Fed Policy
ECB is more dovish, signaling readiness to cut rates by June.
Fed remains on hold due to sticky inflation and strong labor data.
This divergence supports USD strength and EUR weakness.
💼 2. Key EU & US Events This Week
Germany ZEW Survey (Tue): If weaker, it could reinforce bearish pressure.
Eurozone CPI (Thu): Could increase volatility—lower print may trigger deeper selling.
US Retail Sales (Fri): If strong (as the chart timing suggests), it justifies the bearish continuation.
🌐 3. Risk Sentiment
Stable for now, but any deterioration in global sentiment could further weigh on EUR/USD due to its risk-sensitive nature.
✅ Conclusion
EUR/USD outlook remains bearish on both technical and fundamental fronts.
Expect price to struggle below 1.1200, and move lower toward 1.1100, possibly 1.1050, if momentum follows through.
EUR/USD Outlook – Potential Short SetupsHi everyone,
In today’s post, let’s break down the current market structure and potential opportunities in the EUR/USD pair.
🔍 Market Context
After nearly a month of consolidation, EUR/USD appears to have stalled around the previous weekly swing highs . Despite several attempts to hold above this level, the price eventually broke down, signalling a shift in structure on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe.
This short-term breakdown could be an early sign of a l arger structural shift on the daily chart , and it’s something I’m keeping a close eye on.
🧭 Key Levels & Price Behaviour
At the moment, price action is bouncing from a demand zone , which might provide a short-lived relief rally . However, this bounce may only be temporary.
In my humble opinion, bullish momentum is fading , and we could be entering a trap zone for late buyers . I’m watching the 1.132–1.138 region , just above the short-term downtrend line, as a potential resistance zone and an ideal area to consider shorts.
🎯 Trade Ideas
I’ve marked two trade setups on the chart, catering to different risk profiles:
1. Aggressive Trade – For traders willing to enter closer to resistance with tighter stop losses.
2. Conservative Trade – For those who prefer more confirmation before entry.
You can treat these setups independently or combine them into a single strategy depending on your trading style and risk tolerance.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is purely for educational purposes . I am not a financial advisor , and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
RSI Divergence part 2RSI Divergence is among technical analyses allowing traders to discover a possible market reversal by comparing price movements with the Relative Strength Index. The RSI tool measures how fast and strong price movements are, ranging between 0 and 100. Typically, when the RSI is below 30, the asset is considered oversold; when it's above 70, it's seen as overbought.
RSI Divergence part 2The relative strength index (RSI) is calculated using the following formula: RSI = 100 – 100 / (1 + RS) Where RS = Average gain of up periods during the specified time frame / Average loss of down periods during the specified time frame asset price is considered overbought (due for a correction) when RSI is above 70, and oversold (due for a rebound) when it is below 30. Some traders use more extreme levels (80/20) to reduce false readings.
In a strong uptrend, RSI will often reach 70 and beyond for sustained periods, and downtrends can stay at 30 or below for a long time. While general overbought and oversold levels can be accurate, they may not provide the most timely signals for trend traders.
EURUSD buy to sell setup?EURUSD has already played out as anticipated in Sunday’s analysis. Price reached the target for shorts and is now retracing from the first point of interest — a larger demand zone.
The 4H structure remains bearish, so in line with the trend, I expect price to drop further into the lower interest area around 1.1000. That’s where buyers could start stepping in, adding liquidity to the market.
I’ll be watching for a buy-to-sell setup to position myself accordingly.
Interesting setup overall — let’s see how it plays out.
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: Supply Zone Rejection Toward1.0900 Target(Swing Trade Setup)
📉 Trendline + CHoCH Confirmation
🔻 Downtrend marked by a falling blue trendline.
🔄 CHoCH (Change of Character) shows a bearish market structure shift, confirmed by a lower low.
🟦 Supply Zone (Sell Zone)
💥 Strong seller reaction previously occurred between:
1.12956 – 1.13896
🔹 Wait for price to retrace into this zone.
🎯 Ideal for short entries.
🎯 Entry & Stop-Loss
🔵 Entry Point: Around 1.12956 – 1.13005
(below supply zone and EMA)
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.13896 – 1.13929
(above the last high + supply zone)
🟦 EMA 70 (Purple Line)
📈 Currently at 1.13051
Acts as dynamic resistance — strengthening the short setup.
🏁 Target Zone
🎯 Main Target: 1.09000
Marked as TARGET POINT 1.0900
🟦 Support Levels Inside Target Zone:
1.09229
1.09150
1.08814
✅ Summary of Trade Idea
📍 Short Position
⬆️ Entry: ~1.13000
🛑 Stop Loss: ~1.13900
⬇️ Take Profit: ~1.09000
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+ potential
EUR/USD Buy Setup1. Entry Point:
Marked at: 1.12243
This is the suggested price level to enter a long (buy) trade.
2. Stop Loss:
Set at: 1.11542
Placed below a support zone, it limits the downside risk if the trade moves against the position.
3. Target Points:
EA Target Point One: 1.13891
EA Target Point (Final): 1.15929
These levels are profit-taking zones, with the first being a conservative target and the second being a more extended move.
4. Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages:
A red shorter-term moving average (possibly 20 EMA)
A blue longer-term moving average (possibly 200 EMA)
Price is currently below both, indicating bearish momentum, though the long setup is anticipating a reversal.
5. Support/Resistance Zones:
Purple Zones: Highlighted as key demand and supply areas.
The lower purple zone supports the entry and stop-loss area.
The upper purple zones mark resistance areas aligning with the target levels.
6. Current Price:
Around 1.12459, slightly above the entry zone.
Conclusion:
This setup is a bullish trade idea with a clearly defined:
Entry (1.12243),
Stop-loss (1.11542), and
Two take-profit levels (1.13891 and 1.15929).
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
EUR USD Weekly analysis (10-05-25 to - 17-05-25)📊 Technical Analysis (4H Chart - EUR/USD)
Current price sits near 1.12480, showing signs of potential short-term recovery after a sharp sell-off. The chart suggests a bullish correction might be underway, aiming for the 1.13400–1.13700 supply zone.
Key Technical Observations:
Support Zone: 1.11800 – 1.12200
Immediate Resistance: 1.13400 – 1.13700 (highlighted blue box)
The pair has bounced off a local low with bullish momentum. If sustained, this may lead to a retracement toward the resistance zone.
Bearish market structure remains intact, so this is treated as a corrective move unless a clean breakout above 1.13800 occurs.
🟢 Short-term bullish correction expected, targeting the blue zone, before potential continuation to the downside.
🌍 Fundamental Outlook for the Week (13–17 May 2025)
🇪🇺 1. Eurozone Economic Concerns
Growth remains sluggish with Germany and France showing weak industrial production and business confidence.
ECB stance remains dovish, with the market expecting possible rate cuts sooner than the Fed.
🇺🇸 2. USD Drivers
All eyes on US CPI (May 15) and Retail Sales (May 16). Strong prints will reinforce USD strength and weigh on EUR/USD.
Higher-for-longer Fed rate outlook continues to favor USD.
💡 3. Macro Implication
Divergence in central bank policy and economic performance continues to favor the dollar.
Any weak Eurozone data or strong US inflation can resume the bearish move below 1.1200.
✅ Conclusion
EUR/USD expected to retrace higher in the short term, targeting the 1.13400–1.13700 zone. However, overall bias remains bearish. Any weakness in the bullish move or a strong US data release can bring the pair back below 1.12200, opening the door toward 1.11800 or lower.
EURUSD 4H chart - Short Setup🔍 Chart Overview
Pair: EURUSD
Timeframe: 4H
Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (bearish reversal pattern)
Trendline: Broken — signals end of previous uptrend
Market Structure: Lower highs forming → beginning of a downtrend
📉 Bearish Trade Setup
1. Entry Zone
Marked just below the broken trendline and neckline of the Head & Shoulders.
Entry: ~1.12450–1.12500
Price has already broken below neckline → confirming the pattern.
2. Stop Loss (SL)
Placed above the right shoulder, around 1.14096.
Smart placement as a break above would invalidate the Head & Shoulders pattern.
It also covers any minor retracement into the supply zone.
3. Take Profits (TP)
1st TP: ~1.09000 zone
🔹 This zone acted as previous structure support
🔹 Good area to book partials or move SL to breakeven
2nd TP: ~1.03258
🔹 Long-term target
🔹 Based on major previous demand zone visible on the left (possibly from daily chart)
🔻 Technical Analysis
✅ Bearish Confirmation
Head and Shoulders formation: Reliable trend reversal signal
Break of Trendline: Confirms the structure has shifted
Break of neckline: Entry confirmation
Retest of neckline/structure: Entry after confirmation makes it safer
🔎 Confluences
Confluence Result
Head & Shoulders ✅ Strong reversal pattern
Break of trendline ✅ Indicates shift in trend
Break + Retest of neckline ✅ Classic confirmation
Entry after confirmation ✅ Higher probability
SL above right shoulder ✅ Strategic placement
TP levels at structure & demand ✅ Logical TP zones
🛡️ Risk to Reward (RRR)
RRR is very favorable, roughly:
1st TP ≈ 1:2
2nd TP ≈ 1:4 or higher
A well-planned swing trade
📌 Final Recommendation
✅ This is a clean swing trade setup based on price action, pattern, and structure shift.
🔄 Consider partial close at 1st TP and trail SL.
🧠 Maintain discipline on SL—if price violates the right shoulder, exit.
Eurusd trade idea, again i sell in this tradeEurusd trade idea, again i sell in this trade
there is multiple reason for me to sell in this trade
1) trend is shifted bullish to bearish
2) daily candle is red , previous candle
3) price action taking rejection from resistance
4) 4h closed candle is hammer or pin bar
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEVANTAGE:EURUSD
EUR/USD Intraday Analysis – Key Zones to Watch
The market structure for EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart presents a well-defined range with key trading zones.
🔸 Sell Zone – The price is currently trading near this zone, indicating potential short opportunities if bearish pressure increases.
🔸 Buy Zone – A key support level where buying interest may emerge, leading to possible bullish movements.
🔸 Target & Stop Levels:
Buy TP and Sell SL: Upper resistance level where buying targets align and sell stop-losses are triggered.
Sell TP and Buy SL: Lower support level acting as a sell target and buy stop-loss zone.
Traders should monitor price action around these zones for confirmation before entering trades.
📅 Date: MAY 09, 2025
📊 Chart: 15-Minute (EUR/USD)
💹 Broker: VANTAGE
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #IntradayAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
MACD Trading ( Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator is a momentum oscillator primarily used to trade trends. Although it is an oscillator, it is not typically used to identify over bought or oversold conditions. It appears on the chart as two lines which oscillate without boundaries.
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEVANTAGE:EURUSD
EUR/USD Intraday Analysis – Key Zones to Watch
The market structure for EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart presents a well-defined range with key trading zones.
🔸 Sell Zone – The price is currently trading near this zone, indicating potential short opportunities if bearish pressure increases.
🔸 Buy Zone – A key support level where buying interest may emerge, leading to possible bullish movements.
🔸 Target & Stop Levels:
Buy TP and Sell SL: Upper resistance level where buying targets align and sell stop-losses are triggered.
Sell TP and Buy SL: Lower support level acting as a sell target and buy stop-loss zone.
Traders should monitor price action around these zones for confirmations before entering trades.
📅 Date: MAY 08, 2025
📊 Chart: 15-Minute (EUR/USD)
💹 Broker: VANTAGE
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #IntradayAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingStrategy