EUR/USD Long Trade Setup – Buy Zone at 1.12757 with Targets at 11. Entry Point:
1.12757 is marked as the proposed buy entry zone, situated at the bottom of a consolidation range.
The price is currently just above this level, suggesting a potential reversal setup is forming.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed at 1.12413, which is below the support zone. This protects the position if the price breaks down further.
3. Target Points:
EA Target Point One: 1.14207 – this is the first take-profit target, aligned with a previous resistance zone.
EA Target Point: 1.1582 – this is the extended target, aligned with a stronger resistance area from a prior high.
4. Risk-to-Reward Consideration:
Risk: From 1.12757 to 1.12413 (approx. 34 pips).
Reward 1: Up to 1.14207 (approx. 145 pips).
Reward 2: Up to 1.1582 (approx. 306 pips).
This gives an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (>4:1 to the first target, >9:1 to the second target).
5. Market Context:
Price is trading below both the 50-period (blue) and 20-period (red) moving averages, indicating bearish short-term momentum.
However, this strategy anticipates a bounce off support, possibly a reversal or correction to the upside.
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Demand Zone to Target 1.15646🔍 Current Price: 1.13414
📉 EMA (70): 1.13334
Price is slightly above the EMA → Bullish hint ✅
Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Demand Zone:
📍 1.12441 ➡️ 1.12985
Strong buying interest here!
Price bounced from this zone → 📈 Possible reversal
🔵 Entry Point: 1.12985
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12441
🎯 Target: 1.15646
Trendline Watch
📉 Descending trendline is being tested/broken
🟠 If price holds above the trendline + EMA → CONFIRMATION for long entry ✅
Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 1.12985
TP: 1.15646 🎯
SL: 1.12441 🔻
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~ 1:4.8 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Visual Flow:
🔵 Demand Zone
⬆️
Break EMA & Trendline
⬆️
🎯 Target Zone (1.15646)
Summary:
Looks like a sweet bullish setup from the demand zone!
If price stays above EMA and trendline → Go Long ✅
EUR/USD) Big Support level Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe. The idea centers around a potential reversal from a major support zone, aiming for higher resistance targets. Here's a detailed breakdown:
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1. Big Support Level
A strong horizontal support zone is highlighted around 1.1275–1.1290.
Price is currently reacting off this level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
2. EMA 200 as Resistance
The 200-period EMA (~1.1346) is above current price, possibly acting as a dynamic resistance.
A break and hold above it could confirm bullish momentum.
3. Resistance Levels & Target Points
The first target is the 1.14367 resistance level, a clear supply zone.
The second target point is around 1.15622, aligned with a previous major high and strong resistance zone.
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is at 44.02, indicating neutral to slightly oversold conditions—this supports a potential bullish move, especially from support.
5. Forecast Path
The chart projects a likely pullback and breakout pattern:
Rebound from the support zone.
Break through EMA 200 and minor resistance.
Rally toward first and second targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary of the Idea:
This is a trend-reversal-to-continuation setup, with EUR/USD expected to rise from a key support area toward 1.14367, and potentially 1.15622, provided price holds above the support and breaks the EMA 200.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR USD Weekly analysis (04-05-25 to - 10-05-25)🟦 EUR/USD
Move: EUR/USD has been ranging but showed signs of reversal after NFP.
Reason: Weak inflation and easing Fed stance favor euro strength.
Outlook: If CPI is soft and ECB stays steady, euro may climb.
Next Week: We expect an upward move as dollar weakens and risk sentiment improves.
GBP/USD Daily Chart AnalysisTrend & Price Action
Recent Move: GBP/USD rallied strongly but is now showing rejection at the 1.3290–1.3330 resistance zone.
Current Candle: Bearish, with price closing below the previous day's low, indicating selling pressure.
Moving Averages: Price is testing the short-term EMA (blue line) and remains above the medium-term EMA (purple line). A close below both would confirm further downside.
Key Levels
Resistance:
1.3290–1.3330: Recent swing high and rejection zone.
Immediate Support:
1.3224–1.3240: Cluster of moving averages and previous breakout area.
Major Support/Target:
1.2709–1.2646: Next significant demand zone and your marked target area.
Indicators
RSI (14): 56.42, turning down from overbought territory. Still has room to fall before reaching oversold.
MACD: Histogram is flattening; a bearish crossover could be imminent if momentum continues to fade.
Trade Setup (Swing Short)
Entry:
Already active, or consider entering on a daily close below 1.3240 for confirmation.
Stop Loss:
Above 1.3330 (recent swing high and resistance).
Take Profit:
1.2709–1.2646 (major support zone).
Risk/Reward:
Excellent: Tight stop with a wide target, giving a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Professional Insights
Confluence:
Bearish candle at resistance, fading momentum on MACD, and RSI turning down all support the short bias.
Confirmation:
For higher probability, wait for a daily close below the moving averages or a strong bearish engulfing candle.
Risk Management:
Risk only 1–2% of your trading capital. Adjust position size to maintain discipline.
News Risk:
Watch for major UK/US economic releases that could cause volatility spikes.
Summary Table
Direction Entry Zone Stop Loss Target Zone Rationale
Short <1.3240 >1.3330 1.2709–1.2646 Bearish reversal at resistance, fading momentum
Conclusion
GBP/USD is showing a classic swing short setup: rejection at resistance, bearish candle, and weakening momentum.
Wait for confirmation below 1.3240 for added safety.
Manage your risk and monitor for reversal signals as price nears the target zone.
If you want intraday levels or a live update as the trade develops, let me know!
EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point🔥 EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point – NFP Looms, Volatility Incoming?
The euro is pushing back after three days of losses, bouncing from the 1.1265 area with strength — but make no mistake, this is more than just a technical move. With Eurozone CPI holding and US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) right ahead, EUR/USD is poised at the edge of serious volatility.
🧭 Macro Overview – Diverging Paths?
Friday’s Eurozone inflation numbers surprised slightly to the upside:
Headline CPI YoY: 2.2% vs. 2.1% expected
Core CPI YoY: 2.7% vs. 2.5% expected
These numbers suggest ECB might not be in a rush to slash rates, despite growing dovish commentary from policymakers. Yet, the market still prices in a likely 25bps cut in July.
Meanwhile in the US, expectations are building for a soft NFP print – 130K vs. 228K prior. This, along with recent weak growth data, has fueled speculation of multiple rate cuts from the Fed in 2025. The USD has paused after a 3-day rally — and that makes today’s NFP extremely sensitive.
🔍 Technical Picture (H1 Outlook)
Price action shows EUR/USD reclaiming ground above 1.1300 after defending the key 1.1265–1.1279 support zone. A potential short-term reversal pattern is forming, but the move remains fragile until we see confirmation above 1.1350 and 1.1372.
Bearish structure remains valid unless bulls can take out 1.1419, the high from April 30.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
1.13520
1.13730
1.13900
1.14190
🔻 Key Support Levels:
1.13000
1.12790
1.12650
🎯 Trade Plan – Friday 3rd May
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.12790
SL: 1.12250
TP: 1.13450 → 1.13850 → 1.14250
🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.13750
SL: 1.14300
TP: 1.13250 → 1.12850 → 1.12450 → 1.12400
⚠️ Strategy Notes:
Euro has room to bounce, but momentum will likely depend on the US jobs report.
A soft NFP could weaken the dollar further, triggering a break above 1.1372.
On the flip side, strong jobs numbers + hawkish White House language could reinforce bearish continuation below 1.1300.
📣 Final Thoughts:
EUR/USD is stuck in macro limbo. Both sides have valid narratives — sticky inflation in Europe, softening labour data in the US.
📊 Today’s close will likely define next week’s tone.
🧠 Be selective. Don’t chase. Let the data lead.
💬 What’s your take ahead of NFP? Breakout or fakeout?
Drop your chart ideas below 👇👇👇
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISWith the new monthly candle set to open tomorrow, I’m anticipating a potential correction in the EU . I’ve identified a key level around 1.13866 where price could face resistance, aligning with my broader bearish bias. If the market reaches that zone, I’ll be looking for signs of rejection to potentially position myself short, targeting a move toward the 1.12646 area. The invalidation level for this idea would be well above the current structure, around 1.4248, beyond which the bias would likely need to be reconsidered.
EUR/USD Bullish Trade Setup – Targeting 1.18089 with Strong RiskEntry Point: 1.13860
Stop Loss Zone: 1.13642 to 1.12578
Resistance Point: 1.14320
Target (TP) Point: 1.18089
🔍 Observations
Support Zone: Marked in purple near the entry and stop-loss area, suggesting a strong demand zone.
Resistance Zone: Around 1.14320, indicating a potential breakout level.
Trend: Short-term uptrend after a consolidation range.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Quite favorable, targeting a move of approximately 470+ pips (4.20% gain) from entry to target.
📊 Technical Indicators
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 20 EMA): Price recently crossed above, showing bullish momentum.
Blue (likely 50 or 200 EMA): Serving as dynamic support.
Price Action: Formation suggests a potential breakout from resistance toward the 1.18 target.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a long (buy) setup expecting a bullish breakout:
Buy entry above the support zone.
Stop-loss placed below major support (1.12578).
Target set significantly higher, aligning with prior structure or resistance at 1.18089
EURUSD/FIBER Analysis 28-Apr-2025: Bull or Bear?LTP: 1.1355
Resistances: 1.1577
Supports: 1.1250/1.0834/1.0177/0.9534
As long as 1.12/1.0834 holds support, we can see more upside towards 1.19, 1.29+++
Upside targets: 1.1716
1.1901-1.2310
1.2577
1.2955-1.3228-1.3634+++
As per my analysis minimum target expected is 1.1716-1.1900-1.2310.
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
EUR USD - April EndMarket at strong resistance - W and D
Both timframes reached RSI over bought as well.
D - Gave fake out above this strong resistance and came back
below strong resistance by D strong variation pattern, BOS in 1H.
Also it is rejecting resistance.
So we can expect sideways or downtrend.
"EUR/USD Bullish Setup: Demand Zone Bounce with 205+ Pip Target Current Price:
1.13894 ⚪️ (hovering just above EMA)
Zones & Key Levels:
🔵 Demand Zone (Strong Buy Area)
▪️ 1.13059 – 1.13580
Price bounced here!
➡️ Buyers stepping in!
⚫ Support (Old Resistance, New Support)
▪️ Just above 1.13580
➡️ Important to hold this level for bulls
🟠 Stop Loss
▪️ 1.13059
⚠️ Break below = trade invalid
🎯 Target Point
▪️ 1.15646
🚀 Big upside potential! (~205 pips gain)
Indicators:
📈 EMA (9) = 1.13580
▪️ Price is above it → Bullish sign
Setup Summary:
📍 Entry: Around 1.1389
⛔ Stop Loss: Below 1.13059
🎯 Target: 1.15646
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio:
1:2.5+ — Great setup!
Bullish Bias
If price keeps climbing from the demand zone
⬆️ Expect continuation toward 1.15646
But if it breaks down...
⬇️ Watch out below 1.13059
EUR/USD) one side of breakout and move Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, showing two ptential scenarios based on price behavior around a key supply zone.
1. Key Levels:
Resistance/Target Point (Upper): ~1.15729
Supply Zone (Current Price Area): ~1.14100–1.14500
Support Level/Target Point (Lower): ~1.12658
200 EMA: ~1.13581 acting as dynamic support
2. Current Price:
EURUSD is trading at 1.14167, just above the 200 EMA and at the bottom edge of the supply zone.
3. Scenarios Outlined:
Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and holds above the supply zone, it may continue toward the upper resistance level at 1.15729.
This move would be supported by bullish momentum and potentially a breakout strategy.
Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects the supply zone and fails to break above convincingly, a reversal is expected.
The target for this bearish move is the support zone near 1.12658.
4. Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 49, neutral zone but potentially recovering from oversold.
Suggests indecision, with momentum that could swing either way depending on price action at the supply zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Ideas:
Long Trade Setup (Breakout):
Entry: Break and retest above ~1.14500.
Target: ~1.15729.
Stop Loss: Below ~1.14100.
Short Trade Setup (Rejection):
Entry: Rejection candle formation around 1.14300–1.14500.
Target: ~1.12658.
Stop Loss: Above ~1.14700.
Overall Idea:
This is a dual-scenario setup, where the market structure at the current supply zone will determine direction. The chart encourages traders to wait for confirmation before committing to either a breakout or a reversal strategy.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR/USD Holding Key Support – Eyes Set on 1.1555?Today, EUR/USD remains steady around the 1.1280–1.1300 support zone after a mild pullback. This area aligns with the EMA89 and an ascending trendline, suggesting that the risk of a deeper decline is limited for now.
✅ Key news: The USD is under pressure as markets expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged or pivot toward a more dovish stance. This supports the euro and helps maintain the pair’s upward momentum.
As long as the price holds above this support, a move back toward 1.1420 – 1.1555 remains very much on the table.
EUR/USD SHORTThis chart is a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) analysis of EUR/USD on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and insights based on what I see:
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### **1. Break of Structure (BOS)**
- The BOS label shows where price broke a previous low, indicating a potential shift from bullish to bearish order flow. This is often used to signal a change in market sentiment or the beginning of a new trend direction.
---
### **2. Liquidity Sweep**
- A horizontal line marked **Liquidity** shows an area where stop-losses (buy-side liquidity) were likely resting above recent highs.
- Price swept above this area and then sharply rejected, suggesting smart money may have triggered stops to accumulate sell positions.
---
### **3. Supply Zone (Entry Area)**
- The dark rectangle around the 1.15230 area indicates a supply zone where price may revisit before continuing lower.
- The light gray shaded box marks a potential **entry area** after a pullback into this zone.
---
### **4. Projection/Forecast**
- The projected path (gray squiggly line) suggests price might retrace back into the supply zone, form a lower high, and then drop significantly.
- The arrow points toward a target around **1.14800**, which aligns with a previously identified demand area (highlighted box below).
---
### **5. Market Structure & Flow**
- The overall structure is bearish:
- BOS confirms bearish shift.
- Liquidity sweep and rejection confirm a trap or manipulation.
- Lower highs and lower lows continuing after BOS signal continuation downward.
---
### **Key Levels:**
- **Supply Zone (Resistance):** ~1.15230
- **Liquidity High:** ~1.15359
- **Target/Demand Zone:** ~1.14800
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Would you like help marking out your entry, stop loss, and take profit levels based on this analysis? Or want this turned into a full trade plan template?
EUR/USD 1H Trade Setup: Bullish Breakout in PlayCurrent Setup:
Price: 1.15083
EMA (7): 1.15164 (acting as dynamic support)
Trend: Bullish momentum forming.
Entry Zone
RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
🔵 Entry Point: 1.14958
🟦 Demand zone indicates bullish interest
📍 This is where buyers previously stepped in
Stop Loss Zone
🔻 Stop Loss: 1.14420
❗ Placed below the base of the RBR zone
🛡️ Protects against false breakouts.
Resistance Zone
🔴 Resistance: Around 1.15500
⚠️ Sellers may push back here
⏳ Waiting for a breakout confirmation.
Target Zone
🎯 Target Point: 1.17000
🚀 Bullish breakout goal
✅ Previous resistance level & profit zone.
Visual Trade Plan Summary:
🔽 Entry: 1.14958
❌ Stop Loss: 1.14420
✅ Take Profit: 1.17000
Quick Dotted Recap:
* Entry at demand zone 🔵
* Tight stop loss for risk control 🔻
* Bullish bias with upside potential 🚀
* Wait for candle close above resistance 🔴 before entering aggressively
EUR/USD Breaks 1.1500 — Bulls in Full ControlEUR/USD surged over 1% today as relentless U.S. dollar selling helped push the pair above the 1.1500 mark for the first time since November 2021. Growing concerns over a potential U.S. recession and questions around the Federal Reserve's independence continue to weigh heavily on the greenback, providing strong tailwinds for euro strength.
From a technical standpoint, key resistance and the previous consolidation range have been broken. EMA 34 and 89 continue to flash bullish reversal signals — favoring buy-side strategies moving forward.
The focus now is on buying the dips: look for entries when price breaks new highs and pulls back to key levels such as the previous breakout zone, solid
Wishing you a profitable and exciting trading week ahead! 💶📈
EUR/USD: Calm Before the Breakout?The EUR/USD pair is starting to attract buying interest as it edges closer to the 1.1370 level in early trading today. Ongoing concerns about the economic impact of trade tariffs continue to weigh on the U.S. dollar, giving the euro room to push higher and fueling bullish momentum for the pair.
While the uptrend remains intact, price action may stay muted today as the pair consolidates around the 34 EMA—a zone thatholiday-driven market slowdown.
The next key target lies near the 1.142 resistance zone, which could be tested early next week. A successful breakout above that level may pave the way for a fresh move toward new highs.
What’s your take? Is EUR/USD gearing up for a breakout or just catching its breath?