EUR/USD holds its upward momentum – Targeting the 1.1700 zoneLooking at the EUR/USD daily chart, the pair continues to maintain a solid medium-term uptrend. Currently, price action is consolidating around 1.1650 – 1.1670, trading above the Ichimoku cloud and resting on a cluster of Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), signaling that bullish pressure remains intact.
If EUR/USD sustains this range, the pair is likely to retest the 1.1700 level — a key short-term resistance and a strong psychological barrier. A successful breakout here could pave the way towards the 1.1760 – 1.1800 area.
On the macro side, investors are closely watching developments at the Jackson Hole symposium, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to provide policy guidance. Expectations for a Fed rate cut in September remain elevated — a factor that supports the euro as the USD shows signs of weakening (Reuters).
Additionally, recent progress in U.S.-EU trade negotiations has lifted sentiment, as import tariffs were revised from 30% down to 15%, easing market uncertainty and further supporting the euro.
Wishing you all a profitable trading week ahead.
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD Technical Analysis (H1 Chart)📊 EUR/USD Technical Analysis (H1 Chart)
The Euro vs US Dollar (EUR/USD) is showing an interesting trendline structure combined with harmonic-like moves:
1️⃣ Ascending Trendline Support
Price has respected the rising green trendline multiple times, confirming it as a strong support level.
Currently, EUR/USD is testing this support again around 1.1658. A break below could trigger further downside momentum.
2️⃣ Bearish Reversal Setup
Price rejected from the 1.1715 resistance zone (highlighted in red), showing clear selling pressure.
The corrective pullback has reached back to trendline support, suggesting a possible decision point.
3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support: 1.1676 → if broken, next target is 1.1637.
Major Support Zone: 1.1555 → highlighted as a strong demand zone.
Resistance: 1.1715 → bulls need to reclaim this level for continuation upward.
4️⃣ Trading Outlook
🔻 If price breaks and closes below the trendline, expect bearish continuation toward 1.1637 and possibly 1.1555.
🔺 If the trendline holds, we may see a bounce back toward 1.1715.
⚖️ Current bias: Neutral to Bearish until trendline shows confirmation.
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EUR/USD 1-Hour Rising Channel – Support Zone & Potential Upside!Chart Breakdown & Technical Insights
Rising Channel Structure
The chart clearly shows EUR/USD trading within a rising channel, marked by higher highs (red arrows) and higher lows (green arrows) forming parallel support and resistance trendlines.
Key Support Zone & Bounce Potential
The price is currently sitting near the ascending trendline support, highlighted by the shaded gray box and emphasized with a circled area. Many analysts note that this lower boundary—around the 1.1690 level—serves as crucial support on a broader time frame
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Short-Term Momentum Indicators
According to recent technical calls, EUR/USD maintains a short-term bullish bias in the rising channel. However, some momentum indicators, such as RSI, hint at weakening strength—particularly when higher price highs are not matched with higher RSI peaks, suggesting a bearish divergence
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Potential Upside Trajectory
Should the lower channel support hold, the chart suggests a rebound toward mid-channel or potentially up to the upper boundary. Analysts highlight the 1.1720–1.1750 area as a near-term resistance, with the upper channel boundary closer to 1.1850
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Alternative Scenario – Breakdown Risk
If EUR/USD breaks below the channel (below ~1.1690), the bullish structure may falter. That could expose the pair to deeper pullbacks, possibly testing lower support levels around 1.1650 or lower
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** Summary Table**
Scenario Likely Outcome
Bounce off support Move up toward mid-channel (~1.172) or channel top (~1.185)
Breakdown below support Decline toward lower support zones (1.1650 and below)
Conclusion & Strategy Snapshot
The price is positioned at a critical support within a well-defined rising channel.
The bullish favored path: a rebound from the lower trendline toward resistance levels.
The bearish risk: a breakdown would shift momentum, possibly leading to deeper retracements.
Monitor for price action signals (e.g. bounce, candlestick patterns), RSI behavior, and behavior around these key levels.
EURUSD: Bearish OutlookFrom the chart, EURUSD is currently trading in an ascending price channel, but signs of a pullback have emerged from the 1.17300 level, suggesting a potential continuation of the decline in the short term. Recent economic data, particularly the PPI index from the U.S., has put significant pressure on the EUR, strengthening the USD and weakening the Euro. This may continue to maintain bearish pressure on EURUSD.
Technically, the key support level to watch is 1.16264. If this level breaks, EURUSD could continue to decline towards lower support levels such as 1.16000. Bearish signals from technical indicators also support this pullback.
Trading Strategy:
Sell: Wait for a break below 1.16264 to enter a short position, with the next target at 1.16000.
Stop-loss: Set a stop-loss above the resistance at 1.17300 to protect the account in case of a reversal.
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
EUR/USD Short Setup: Resistance Rejection at 1.1710Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 15-min
Current Price: ~1.1703
Setup Shown: A short trade (sell position) with:
Entry: ~1.1709
Stop Loss (SL): 1.1729
Take Profit (TP): 1.1631
Risk/Reward Ratio: About 1:4 (20 pips risk, ~80 pips potential reward)
Technical Observations:
Recent Trend:
Price rallied from ~1.1630 up to ~1.1710.
After reaching resistance, it’s stalling around 1.1710.
Resistance Zone:
Around 1.1710–1.1730, multiple rejections are visible.
That makes this area a good short-entry zone.
Support Zone:
Next strong support lies near 1.1630–1.1640, which is the TP level.
If broken, EUR/USD could continue lower.
Volume:
Volume spikes during the previous drop, showing strong selling interest.
Market Structure:
Lower highs and lower lows are visible before the rally.
This move could just be a retracement in a broader downtrend.
Trade Idea (from chart):
Bias: Bearish
Reasoning:
Price rejected resistance at 1.1710–1.1730.
Risk is small compared to the potential downside (good R:R).
Confirmation Needed:
Watch for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) at current levels.
Check for USD strength in macro data/events.
✅ If confirmed, the short makes sense:
Sell near: 1.1709
Stop loss: 1.1729
Take profit: 1.1631
EURUSD-Possible Reversal Forming After Extended DowntrendEURUSD has been in a strong downtrend, consistently respecting the short-term and long-term EMAs.
Recent Buy signals from SignalPro have appeared at the base, showing early signs of buyer interest.
The most recent Sell signal failed to continue the move lower — suggesting momentum may be fading.
🔍 Setup Structure:
Entry Zone: Watching for confirmation above 1.15510 (EMA breakout + structure shift)
Stop Loss: Below 1.15199 (beneath local swing low)
Target Area: 1.17224 — aligned with previous inefficiency and potential liquidity magnet
⚙️ SignalPro Insights:
Yellow caution zone (if it appears next) often precedes higher-probability directional changes.
Multiple signals have triggered near historical demand zones — aligning with possible institutional activity.
⚠️ This chart and analysis are for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
EURUSD – Continuing the Uptrend, New Targets AheadEURUSD is experiencing a strong recovery after testing the 1.16600 support level. The chart shows price moving within an ascending channel, continuing to form higher highs and higher lows, with the near-term target at 1.18000 and further at 1.18600. Buying pressure has returned as the price failed to break below the 1.16600 support, driving the uptrend momentum.
In terms of news, although U.S. Core Retail Sales came in weaker than expected (0.3% vs 0.5%), indicating slower consumer spending, this provides an opportunity for EURUSD to rise. However, the overall sentiment remains tilted toward a weaker USD, which supports the uptrend for EURUSD.
If price continues to hold above 1.16600 and breaks through 1.18000, EURUSD could continue its upward momentum towards higher levels. However, if the price breaks the 1.16600 support, the uptrend will be at risk.
EDUCATIONAL SETUPMy only setup for forex trading is based on sessions. It follows a pattern: the day opens, the Asian session establishes a high, the UK session takes out that high, the New York session sweeps the UK high, and then the New York session reverses before the day closes.
I've been using this single setup since 2021. Today, I see a possibility for this setup to occur. I will wait for the UK high to be taken out and then look for a reversal during the New York open.
EUR USD - DAY TRADING SETUP EURUSD Day Trade Setup (15m) — 4H Bias Bullish
Thesis
Higher-timeframe context is bullish on the 4H, so the plan is to buy dips on the 15m into a defined demand zone, using 5m confirmation to time entries with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) signals like CHOCH/BOS and FVG mitigation.
Key Levels
Demand/entry zone: 1.16300–1.16200.
Stop-loss: 1.16180 (just below zone; adjust for spread).
Targets: TP1 1.16625, TP2 1.16800.
Execution timeframe: 15m for plan, 5m for confirmation per SMC internal structure rules.
Confirmation Criteria (5m SMC)
Wait for at least one of the following inside 1.16300–1.16200:
Bullish CHOCH followed by a Break of Structure up (continuation signal), showing buyers reclaim control on LTF.
Bullish displacement candle that creates a fresh FVG; enter on mitigation of that gap or the last bullish order block inside the zone.
If no confirmation prints, stand aside—no trade is a valid outcome.
Entry and Management
Entry: Scale in after confirmation within 1.16300–1.16200; avoid blind limits.
Invalidation: Clean 5m close below 1.16180 or failure of bullish shift invalidates the setup.
TP1 1.16625: take partials and move stop to breakeven after first 5m HL forms above entry.
TP2 1.16800: trail stops below 5m swing lows to ride momentum as advised when trading imbalances/FVGs with structure alignment.
Session timing: Signals are often cleaner around London/NY overlap; plan entries around those windows when possible.
Confluence Checklist
4H bias: Uptrend or recent bullish BOS guides directional preference; only buy dips while 4H structure holds.
Premium/discount: The zone should sit in a discount relative to the latest 15m swing, improving R:R for longs.
Liquidity: A sweep of intraday lows into 1.16300–1.16200 followed by bullish shift increases the probability.
Imbalance: Presence of a 15m/5m bullish FVG in or just above the zone strengthens the setup and provides precise entries.
Risk Guidance
Fixed % risk per trade; do not widen stops beyond 1.16180 without a fresh setup.
Trail after TP1 as requested: use 5m swing lows or the midpoint of the most recent filled FVG to ratchet risk tighter while targeting TP2.
Note: This idea follows SMC best practices—use higher-timeframe bias, refine entries with LTF CHOCH/BOS, and leverage FVG/OB confluence for timing and risk control
EUR/USD – Bullish Momentum Still DominatesIn July, the USD rose sharply by around 3.2% thanks to strong GDP data and tax-cut expectations, but this momentum is now fading quickly. Weak employment figures and concerns over the independence of the BLS, following Trump’s dismissal of its head, have undermined confidence in the USD. Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Barclays remain bearish, projecting that EUR/USD could reach the 1.20 area in the medium term.
EUR/USD has maintained an upward trendline since early August, rebounding strongly from 1.1450–1.1500, breaking through FVG, and consolidating above 1.1627. The HH–HL structure confirms the bullish trend. Above 1.1630, price could target 1.1750; a breakout above 1.1750 would open the way to 1.1780–1.1800 (top of the long-term channel).
Trading Plan:
Main Trend: Bullish
Potential Buy Zone: 1.1630 – 1.1650 (upon confirmation signal)
Short-term Targets: 1.1750 → 1.1780
Medium-term Targets: 1.1900 and potentially 1.2000
Sop-loss: Below 1.1600
EURUSD – recovery aiming to test resistance zoneThe euro is benefiting from the weakening pressure on the US dollar as the market expects the Fed to loosen its monetary policy, combined with positive signals of trade cooperation between the US and Europe. This risk-on sentiment is supporting the short-term uptrend of EUR/USD.
The price is moving within a short-term bullish structure and is approaching the resistance zone around 1.1770 , after rebounding strongly from the support area near 1.1630 . Recent pullbacks have been shallow and quickly absorbed, indicating that buyers still hold the upper hand.
Base scenario: EUR/USD may consolidate in a tight range before breaking above 1.1770, opening room for further upside. As long as the 1.1630 support holds, any pullback can be seen as an opportunity to add long positions in line with the prevailing trend.
EUR/USD – Uptrend Strengthens as USD WeakensMacro backdrop is favoring the euro:
Weaker U.S. labor market (only 73,000 new jobs) is boosting expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
Political pressure on the Fed raises concerns about its independence → USD loses credibility.
EU–US trade deal eases tensions and supports confidence in the euro.
Technical Outlook
On the H4 chart, price has broken the downtrend line from July , forming a classic higher low structure – a hallmark of an uptrend.
Price is moving within a short-term ascending channel , targeting the 1.1780 resistance zone.
RSI has broken above 70, indicating strong buying momentum but also signaling a potential short-term pullback.
Suggested Trading Strategy
Prefer to Buy on dips toward the 1.1570–1.1600 support zone.
Near-term target: 1.1780
Stop loss: Below 1.1520
EURUSD – Bottoming out, poised for breakoutAfter a sharp decline since late July, EURUSD is consolidating around the key support zone of 1.1520–1.1580. On the H4 chart, price remains within a descending channel but is beginning to form a compression pattern — often a precursor to a strong breakout. Bullish momentum is building as price rebounds from the 1.1480 low and holds a modest upward bias.
On the macro front, the USD is weakening as markets increasingly expect the Fed to cut interest rates in September, especially after a string of weak labor data. In contrast, the EUR is supported by stable inflation and the ECB’s persistent hawkish stance. If the current support zone holds, EURUSD could break out of the descending channel and target the resistance levels at 1.1680 and 1.1770.
EUR/USD Next Move - Bullish Continuation Setup 📊 1H Trend: Currently bullish, with structure showing higher lows and higher highs.
I am monitoring a potential long opportunity at my defined zone.
🔑 Key Buy Zone
1.15885 – 1.15685
This area is a potential demand zone where price could bounce.
Stop Loss (SL): 1.15600
📌 Entry Strategy
Entry should only be considered after confirmation on the 15m and 5m timeframes.
This ensures the setup is aligned with market structure and avoids premature entries.
🎯 Targets
TP1: 1.16418
TP2: 1.16950
Taking partial profits at TP1 and running the rest toward TP2 could provide a balanced risk-to-reward.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a market observation for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always trade based on your own plan and risk management.
EURUSD TankThis looks like a very good spot to SELL the EURUSD. Economic factors are showing slightly weak US dollar, but COT reports indicate Commercials still have a lot of LONG contracts. This gives a very nice confluence with a 61.8% retracement of last week's bearish move, also paired with an attractive $1.70 price tag along with it.
BIGGER PICTURE EURUSD/FIBER ANALYSIS 06-AUG-2025CMP: 1.1600
Supports: 1.1389/1.1250/1.1055/1.016/0.9534
Resistances: 1.1789/1.1834
As long as the above supports hold, we can expect more bullish move towards 1.1715.
Ultimate target Zone 1: 1.1919-1.2300
1.2577
Ultimate target Zone 2: 1.2970-1.3234-1.3655
Extensions: 1.4200, 1.4700