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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

USDJPY rebound appears elusive below 155.70USDJPY bounces off a one-month low to snap a three-day winning streak early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair takes a U-turn from the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of its March-April upside amid a nearly oversold RSI. Given the receding bearish strength of the MACD signals and the quote’s rebound from the key Fibonacci ratio, as well as the RSI (14) line’s recovery from the oversold territory, the latest run-up in price is likely to prevail for a bit. The same highlights the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 155.00 for short-term buyers. However, a convergence of the 50-SMA, a two-month-old previous support line, and a downward-sloping resistance line from April 29, around 155.60-70, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Following that, the pair’s gradual rise toward the monthly high of nearly 158.00 and then to the recent multi-year peak surrounding 160.00 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci ratio put a short-term floor under the USDJPY pair at around 153.30. In a case where the sellers keep control past the 153.30 support confluence, the Yen pair bears could again jostle with the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio surrounding 151.70, also known as the Golden Fibonacci ratio. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s weakness past 151.70 will make it vulnerable to revisit the lows marked in March near 146.50. During the fall, the 150.00 threshold and the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio around 149.40 can act as intermediate halts. USDJPY is likely to extend the latest corrective bounce, especially amid the Japanese holiday, but the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY reverses pullback from 34-year high on mixed Japan dataA mixed bag of Japan statistics triggered the USDJPY pair’s fresh run-up early Tuesday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies mostly downbeat employment and activity data from the Asian major while reversing the previous day’s retreat from the highest level since 1990. Also favoring the upside bias are the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s U-turn from a seven-week-old rising support line, close to 154.70 by the press time. With this, the risk-barometer pair is likely approaching the 160.00 threshold. However, the overbought RSI conditions could challenge the buyers around the recent multi-year peak of 160.20. Even if the pair remains firmer past 160.20, the year 1990’s high of 160.40 and an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from late June 2023, around 161.60 at the latest, can prod the bulls. On the contrary, USDJPY sellers need validation from the aforementioned support line from early March surrounding 154.70, as well as FOMC and the US NFP, to retake control even for a short term. Following that, an 18-month-old previous resistance line near 151.75 and the bottom line of a 10-month-long rising wedge bearish chart pattern, around 150.80, will be in the spotlight. In a case where the Yen pair remains bearish past 150.80, the 150.00 psychological magnet and the 200-SMA level of 148.20 will act as the final defense of the buyers. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains bullish but the upside room appears limited as traders await this week’s key data/events, namely the monetary policy announcements from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the monthly US employment report.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY: Continuing uptrend!Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the recent developments in USDJPY? Currently, the USD/JPY pair is showing a significant upward trend due to a substantial interest rate differential between the United States and Japan. With the Federal Reserve setting the Federal Fund Rate at 5.25%-5.50% and the Bank of Japan maintaining near-zero interest rates at 0.0%-0.1%, the USD holds a clear advantage in attracting investment compared to the JPY. This continues to support the upward trajectory of USD/JPY.
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY refreshes 34-year high on BoJ’s dovish haltUSDJPY prints a three-day winning streak while rising to a fresh high since 1990 as it justifies the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) dovish halt. That said, the BoJ kept its benchmark rates unchanged, as expected, but omitted the mention of bond buying operations which were anticipated to suggest the Japanese central bank’s hawkish turn. With this, the Yen pair pokes an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from early December, around 155.90 at the latest. Given the overbought RSI conditions and the recently easing bullish bias of the MACD, the quote is likely to witness a pullback, which in turn highlights the 155.00 threshold and the mid-month peak surrounding 154.80. However, the bottom line of a six-week-old rising wedge bearish chart formation, close to 154.20 as we write, will be the key to watch for the seller’s entry. In a case where the pair remains weak past 154.20, a six-month-old horizontal support line near 151.70 will precede an area comprising multiple levels marked since early February, around 150.90-80, to challenge the pair bears. Above all, the USDJPY pair buyers should remain hopeful unless witnessing a daily closing beneath an ascending trend line from late December 2023, near 150.30 at the latest. On the contrary, a successful upside break of the aforementioned multi-month-old resistance line surrounding 155.90 will need validation from the top line of a short-term rising wedge bearish chart formation, near 156.10. Should the USDJPY pair buyers ignore overbought RSI and keep the reins past 156.10, the odds of witnessing a gradual run-up toward the 160.00 psychological magnet and then to the year 1990 peak of 160.40 can’t be ruled out. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains bullish beyond 150.30 but a short-term pullback appears overdue.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY todayThe USDJPY currency pair continued its impressive upward streak, breaking the 152,100 resistance and climbing to a new high of 154,900. This upward momentum is reinforced by strong technical indicators, forecasting an optimistic future. Careful analysis using the Fibonacci tool shows that this trend is not just random but can continue to 163,450, our first take profit point at the 1,618 Fibonacci level, consistent with the Dow Theory of Market trend. What an exciting journey! What are you planning now that USDJPY is on the rise? Please share your thoughts!
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY: Still keeping ourselves in the high price zone!The Japanese Yen (JPY) is currently struggling to capitalize on any gains against the US Dollar, remaining near multi-decade lows. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is not in a hurry to normalize monetary policy, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is forecast to keep interest rates higher for a long time due to persistent inflation. This reduces the appeal of the Japanese Yen as a safe haven. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) continues to strengthen, supported by hawkish policy expectations from the Fed, although there is speculation that Japanese government intervention could limit gains. This. Upcoming decisions from the BoJ along with key economic indicators from the United States will be the key factors determining the short-term direction of the USD/JPY currency pair.
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY: Target at 155,500USD/JPY is experiencing a slight decline, trading around 154.65 in the early hours of Wednesday's Asian trading session. The strong US economy and inflationary challenges have sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve may postpone the start of its tapering cycle to September instead of June, providing support for the US dollar. From a technical perspective, the recent breakthrough of the key resistance level near 152.00 and the subsequent upward trend is seen as a new opportunity for trend-following traders. Following that are overnight fluctuations around the 153.00 level. Any significant decline below 154.00 could attract new buyers, potentially targeting the next area around 155.50.
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY hovers around multi-year high as bulls run out of steamUSDJPY edges higher past 154.00 while making rounds to the 34-year top marked the previous day, mildly bid within a four-month-old rising trend channel early Tuesday. In doing so, Yen pair buyers take a breather at the multi-year high as the overbought RSI (14) line joins sluggish market conditions. It’s worth noting, however, that the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beyond a 6.5-month-old ascending resistance line, now support around 151.85, keep the bulls in the driver's seat. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s December-March moves and the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), respectively near 153.05 and 152.00, restrict the quote’s immediate downside. Following that, a two-month-old horizontal support zone near 150.90-80 and the aforementioned bullish channel’s support line, close to 149.60 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the pair buyers, a successful break of which could give control to the bears. Meanwhile, the 78.6% FE level surrounding 154.85 guards the immediate upside of the USDJPY pair ahead of the multi-month-old rising trend channel’s top line, near 155.20 as we write. It’s worth mentioning that the Yen pair’s sustained run-up beyond 155.20 will need validation from the June 1990 peak of 155.80 to keep the bulls in control. Following that, the pair’s gradual advances toward the 100% FE level of 157.15 can’t be ruled out. That said, the 156.00 and the 157.00 round figures will act as intermediate halts during the rise. Overall, the USDJPY pair buyers appear exhausted, suggesting a pullback in the prices, but the broadly bullish trend is likely to remain intact unless the quote breaks the 149.60 key support.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY: Continuing to set new records!The USD/JPY has surged to its highest level in decades, reaching 154.00 during European trading on Monday. The Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid uncertainty about future interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, concerns about potential interventions and geopolitical tensions could impact the Yen, a traditional safe haven asset. On the technical chart, the price shows strong upward momentum after a period of consolidation, moving steadily along the EMA 34 and 89 lines. The prospect of further price increases remains a top priority for this currency pair. The recent highs around the 153.25-153.30 area now serve as a strong support level, laying the groundwork for USD/JPY to potentially retest the 154.00 mark and potentially climb even higher.
Long
by RKarina
Prices rebounded after a series of quiet trading daysThe Japanese Yen has depreciated against the US Dollar this Wednesday, as the US released inflation data that was higher than expected. This development has pushed back the Fed's interest rate cut talks from June to September. Furthermore, upon reviewing the latest FOMC minutes, it appears that US officials are wary of the inflationary pressures that are looming, which could mean keeping interest rates high for a longer period. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan is showing calmness by tightening its grip, keeping the Yen under pressure and helping USDJPY rise. Keep an eye on the 153.00 level; it currently serves as a gatekeeper to the highest level in decades at 153.45. If we surpass this level, it could signal a green light for bullish speculators to push this currency pair higher, extending the upward trend we witnessed last month.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY: Silent for weeks!What are people's thoughts on the USDJPY breaking through the 152.00 resistance level? This currency pair has been hovering just below this resistance level for quite some time now, seemingly trapped in an endless sideways movement. But just because it hasn't broken out yet doesn't mean it won't. We may just need a little more time for the market to make a decision, especially with news that could potentially cause this currency pair to move in unpredictable ways, solely based on technical analysis. However, if you're paying attention to it, consider trying to signal a sell when it reaches the resistance level I've marked on the chart, in order to achieve short-term profit targets.
by RKarina
USDJPY bulls eye multi-day-old resistance line and US InflationUSDJPY picks up bids within a fortnight-old trading range while defending the previous day’s rebound from a 150.80-90 support confluence, comprising the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and multiple levels marked in the last two months. The Yen pair’s recovery also justifies the upbeat RSI (14) line and inspires buyers to poke an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from late October 2023, close to 152.00 by the press time. However, the impending bear cross on the MACD challenges the quote’s further upside. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 152.00, the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its moves between December 2023 and March 2024, near 153.10, will be on the bull’s radar ahead of the 78.6% FE level surrounding 154.85. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s daily closing beneath the 150.80 support confluence will need validation from the 38.2% FE level of 150.55 and the 150.00 threshold. Following that, January’s peak surrounding 148.80 and the previous monthly low near 146.50 could lure the Yen pair sellers. It’s worth noting that February’s bottom of 145.90 acts as the final defense of the pair buyers, a break of which will make the quote vulnerable to drop toward the 140.00 psychological magnet. Overall, the USDJPY is likely to remain firmer but the buyers appear running out of steam and hence this week’s US inflation data, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March, will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
Continue sales strategy and long-term goalsHello dear friends, let's explore USDJPY together! Regarding the impact of news: The US dollar (USD), up until now, is struggling to gain any meaningful traction amid speculations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin an interest rate cut cycle in June, supported by US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE). The index on Friday. This may contribute to preventing any significant upward movement of the USD/JPY pair. Currently, traders are awaiting the release of important US macroeconomic data expected at the beginning of the new month, starting with the ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday to set the tone ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday. Conclusion on USDJPY and trend: Ahead of the expected news today, as this factor could bring unpredictable declines, we need to understand that maintaining stability within the range of the bullish channel could provide an advantage for bears participating in the market. In the short term, from a technical analysis perspective: With the current trend, a decline is possible. There is evidence to suggest that once the resistance level is touched, it will continue to move downwards, as indicated by RSI divergence remaining unchanged.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY : The trend is not clear yet!Hello dear friends! Today, USDJPY continued a series of lackluster trading days, with prices stagnant compared to last week, fluctuating around the 151,300 mark due to lack of momentum and dependence on market news. Short-term expectations suggest stable volatility within a range, with little intraday volatility expected as EMA indicators remain inconclusive. Waiting for a breakout from this consolidation to identify a more favorable entry point. The luckiest!
by RKarina
USD JPY Pullback expected !!!The price has cleared 151 lvl and halting near the resistance 151.950 or 152 as rd fig this resistance is monthly high expected the price to go sideways and make a build up before making the breakout also as decided in the post of DXY, similarly here some fair value area are let behind after strong one side up move 149.700 to 149.550 there is good fvg to trade on thereafter 148.300 148.900 which is little less probable to see upto next week (only there is no breakout above 152 level)
by Jimmy_Rebello