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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

NZDUSD hovers above 0.5890 key support as the Fed week beginsNZDUSD dropped to the lowest level since May 2020 before bouncing off 0.5940 on Friday. The recovery, however, remains unattractive as the Kiwi pair stays inside a six-week-old bearish channel. Even so, the oversold RSI conditions may allow short-term buyers to aim for 0.6100-10 resistance confluence, including the 21-DMA and the stated channel’s upper line. It’s worth noting that multiple lows marked during late July and early August could act as extra upside filters around 0.6220, a break of which could quickly propel the prices towards the previous monthly top near 0.6470. Alternatively, a convergence of the aforementioned channel’s bottom and a downward sloping support line from May 12 constitute the 0.5890 level as a crucial downside support for the NZDUSD bears to watch during the pair’s further declines. Also acting as an extra check for sellers is the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s April-August moves, near 0.5870. If at all the Kiwi pair breaks the 0.5870 support, the odds of its south-run towards the 78.6% FE level surrounding the 0.5700 threshold can’t be ruled out. Overall, NZDUSD remains in a bearish trend ahead of the key FOMC meeting, as well as today’s speech from RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr.
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD BEARISH IDEANZDUSD Since 07 July 2020, NZDUSD has been Trading in a range trend between 0.65356 and 0.74596. Why this matter? In 28th of April 2022 the strong support for year and months got broken, and later on it has traded for recovery from 065203 to 0.65646 however buyers lost stem to drive market again. The NZDUSD is now Trading below major resistance which has been holding as support for long, the next major support level is 0.59479 which has been holding since March 2020. It's now Trading within the support area of 0.9920, it is very possible to get broken where seller may tend to drive the market to form double bottom. Important key here is: FOMC may be an important focus, if FED keep the rate hike 75bps or 100bps, then the hawkishness of FED may drive the market to the ultimate hell. Here I focus on the support area 0.59479 for breakout.
Short
by CELGIB_TRADING
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NZDUSDTrading suggestion: ". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.6185). . if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . NZDUSD is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected. . The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance. . The RSI is at 62. Take Profits: TP1= @ 0.6250 TP2= @ 0.6280 TP3= @ 0.6315 TP4= @ 0.6364 TP5= @ 0.6382 SL= Break below S2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Long
by ForecastCity_ME
2
NZDUSD stays on the way to refreshing yearly lowNZDUSD picks up bids inside a weekly trading range that restricts the pair’s move after it dropped below a five-week-old ascending trend line and the 200-SMA. Given the quote’s sustained trading below the previous key supports, as well as the bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI (14), the pair is likely to witness further downside. That said, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of July-August upside, near 0.6150, appears immediate rest of the sellers ahead of the yearly bottom marked in July around 0.6060. If the bears dominate past 0.6060, which is most likely, the south-run could well approach the 0.6000 psychological magnet. Meanwhile, the NZDUSD rebound remains tepid until the quote stays below the convergence of the 200-SMA and the support-turned-resistance line, close to 0.6250. Following that, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6315 and the August 01 peak surrounding 0.6355 will be on the bull’s radar. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s run-up beyond 0.6355 won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly top close to 0.6470, with the 0.6400 round figure likely acting as an intermediate halt during the rise. Overall, NZDUSD is on the bear’s radar as RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr is bracing for a speech at the Jackson Hole symposium.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD rebound appears unconvincing below 0.6250NZDUSD bounces off a five-week low as it extends the corrective pullback from a weekly falling channel’s support line. In doing so, the Kiwi pair also traces the oversold RSI while approaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of July-August moves, around 0.6215. The quote’s further upside, however, remains doubtful as the 200-SMA and upper line of the stated channel, close to 0.6250, will challenge the bulls afterward. Should the pair rise past 0.6250, the 0.6300 round figure may act as an intermediate halt during the run-up towards the early August swing high, near 0.6350-55. Alternatively, pullback moves may revisit the support line of the aforementioned channel and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, around 0.6150, will be a crucial support. In a case where the NZDUSD bears conquer 0.6150 support, the southward trajectory towards the yearly low marked in July, near 0.6060, followed by the 0.6000 psychological magnet, can’t be ruled out. Overall, NZDUSD is likely to witness further recovery but the upside momentum has limited room to the north.
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD braces for fresh 2022 low with eyes on 0.6195 breakAlthough 20-DMA triggered the NZDUSD pair’s latest rebound, the first weekly loss in three joined RSI retreat to keep bears hopeful. The downside momentum, however, needs validation from the three-month-old horizontal support area around 0. 6210-0.6195, other than the 20-DMA level of 0.6225, to push back the buyers. Following that, the previous monthly low, also the yearly bottom surrounding 0.6060, will be in focus. Should the quote remains bearish past 0.6060, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late April to early August moves, close to 0.5990, may lure the sellers. Meanwhile, recovery moves remain unimpressive below a downward sloping resistance line from early June, around 0.6335 by the press time. Even so, the monthly peak surrounding 0.6355 and the mid-June swing high of 0.6395 could challenge the NZDUSD buyers. It’s worth noting, however, that the Kiwi pair’s run-up beyond 0.6395 may wait for a successful run-up above the 0.6400 round figure before giving the control to bulls targeting June’s high near 0.6575. Overall, NZDUSD is on the bear’s radar as traders await key inflation data from New Zealand and the US.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
200-SMA tests NZDUSD bears after New Zealand employment dataNZDUSD justifies downbeat Q2 New Zealand job numbers while refreshing weekly low, following downside break of a three-week-old bullish channel. However, the 200-SMA restricts further declines of the Kiwi pair, which in turn joins firmer China PMI to trigger the latest rebound. However, support line of the aforementioned channel, near 0.6255, guards immediate recovery moves ahead of directing buyers towards weekly peak of 0.6352. Following that, the Kiwi pair can aim for the mid-June high around 0.6395. However, the 0.6400 threshold and upper line of the stated channel, around 0.6410 by the press time, could challenge the pair’s further advances. Meanwhile, a downside move needs validation from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 16 to July 14 fall, around 0.6190. Following that, the NZDUSD bears can aim for the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 0.6140. In a case where the pair remains weak past 0.6140, it won’t hesitate to drag the quote towards the yearly low marked in July around 0.6060. Additionally, the south-run towards the 0.6000 psychological magnet becomes imminent in a case if the pair renews yearly low.
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD recovery hinges on 0.6200 breakoutNZDUSD ended the third loss-making week on a positive side, by marking the biggest daily gains in three weeks. The Kiwi pair, however, couldn’t cross a one-month-old resistance line, which in turn joins steady RSI to keep sellers hopeful. Even if the quote rises past 0.6170 hurdle, a horizontal area from mid-June around 0.6200, comprising the 100-SMA, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers. Though, a successful break of 0.6200 could quickly propel the quote towards 0.6250 before teasing the bulls to aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the June-July downside, near 0.6325. On the other hand, pullback moves may initially rest around the 0.6100 support before challenging the recently flashed two-year low around 0.6060. In a case where NZDUSD remains bearish past 0.6060, the 0.6000 psychological magnet will be important to watch as a clear break of the same could direct sellers toward May 2020 low near 0.5920. Fundamentally, the recent New Zealand inflation data came in firmer than expected and raised possibilities of aggressive rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), keeping NZDUSD bulls hopeful.
by MTradingGlobal