viswaram

viswaram

BankNifty had a better kind of retracement than Nifty, but it was not able to break away from the 47465 today. More importantly, it was not even able to break down either. That signifies the importance of 47465 as a critical SR level. The behavior from open to 10.07 was quite exactly as we wrote about yesterday. This market is held by weak Bears and they run for...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "On the higher timeframe, N50 has made a massive double top, see the black dotted line. If it materializes, it could even be a real shocker to the bulls out there. Just like we discussed this week, if 21913 is getting taken out, the inverse H&S pattern will get negated." Nifty was unable to take out the...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ The bearish call on the BN was spot on, but we ended the day less bearish than N50, for me that is not good enough. Most importantly, BN did not breach the support of 47465, this was very crucial for the momentum to build. I am not exactly sure if we will start negatively tomorrow or not, a huge gapup or gapdown may work in...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "On a closing basis, N50 finished the day above 22295 at 22302. Ideally, I should change the stance from bearish to neutral, but let me give the benefit of the doubt to the Bears for one more day." If you look at the horizontal lines, it may appear like I drew them today after the Nifty's move. Thankfully...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ BN was unable to defend the 48115 support resistance today and it was an advantage Bears. The overall price action was neutral and that might be related to the expiry trades. There were a couple of instances where BN moved 100+ pts in minutes - this really had an impact on the algo trades, but happy that major damage was not...

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Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "Also in the 63mts TF we did not really break it, if you are a conservative trader, it is a good idea to wait for one full candle to form below 22295." Today the entire action was around the 22295 levels. The open was a gap down and N50 spent time till 11.47 underwater. The 22295 level was broken by 12.07 and...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ BankNifty also fell in a single legged manner right from the open till 11.35. The fall totally unchecked by the Bulls and in a way came as a surprise as the BTFD people usually do not let the markets fall in this fast and furious manner. BN showed more weakness than N50, partly because NiftyIT was in great GREEN shape today....

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Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "Our markets not rallying as against the recovery in US markets - speculating something to do with the re-election and taxation. Since I do not have any data points, will wait for more clarity." After having an inline opening, Nifty50 started falling quite aggressively. Without a real struggle, 22295 was...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ 48947 is a support/resistance level after this recent run, I have still not drawn the line as the price action was in uncharted waters for some time. If we hang on to these levels, I will get the SR added by tomorrow. BN was quite strange today, Kotak after a good show of quarterly results went up 5%. That was quite...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "The stance has been revised to neutral as the support is broken. For Monday we wish to go neutral if 22295 is broken and go long if 22519. Nifty Algos ended the day with a loss of -2374 INR." How do we explain the relevance of support and resistance more clearly than today? Just see the 3 encircled regions...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty had an intraday swing of 952pts ~ 1.92% at par with what Nifty had today. There was a brief period of recovery 11.39 to 12.43, but this did not sustain and we hit an intraday low of 48659 by 13.39. BankNifty is actually weaker than Nifty, because we did not pull back even a bit yesterday and then you combine...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow, we wish to maintain the bullish stance, but the first test would be the ATH which would otherwise act as a triple top. The moment we get past that, I could remove the M pattern drawn for the period 05 to 12th April." Nifty hit a new ATH @ 22794.7, but it did not sustain and soon we gave up the...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ BankNifty's pattern is quite interesting, unlike N50, it did not even attempt to recoup the losses in the last hour of the previous session. It is too early to comment if it is bearishness as the charts do not say so. But the way a few banks dropped today was quite worrying. Despite that, BN did not cede ground - quite...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "The 63mts TF paints another picture, a perfect triple top at the 22780 levels. A double top between 9th and 10th April and the third top today on 30th April." Nifty opened quite strongly, immediately recouping some of the lost ground in the last session. After cutting almost 50% of the losses, N50 found a...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ Banknifty does a perfect parabola and it really went by the script. Even though my Algos are non-directional - it has a huge hit rate on expiry days as the ATMs usually go to zero and the risk: reward is quite favorable. Despite having a directional move today, the slow grinding worked out in my favor until the 13.59...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "We are now very close to the ATH and once we take out that, we can safely remove the double top pattern." Nifty does a decent climb to hit a new all-time high of 22783 and then a brutal fall of 215pts ~ 0.95%. No matter how professional a trader you are, you cannot set a trap to make money out of that move....

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ We were quite sure BN would be bullish today but honestly did not think we would gain 1223 points ~ 2.54% in total. ICICI Bank had good quarterly results, but the outperformance was unexpected, that really fuelled the rally today. Can you believe, BN overshadowed NiftyIT, reclaimed the torchbearer status, and then hit a new...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "For Monday, we will go short if 22295 is taken out and will go long if 22519 is taken out." Nifty started with a gap-up, then came down to close the gap. Once we hit the previous close level, magically Nifty50 got real strength and then started climbing. Nifty gained a total of 213 points ~ 0.95% to not only...