viswaram

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis Banknifty had a decent range bound day today, but the options premium had some unusual jumps. I wasn't prepared to take advantage of those - especially during the open period as I was scanning for Nifty strikes to sell. After a few minutes I still saw the exorbitantly high OTM premiums both for PE and CE - but still couldn't capitalise as my...

viswaram

Nifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today Nifty is up an impressive 378pts ~ 1.92%. We really did pick up some directional momentum this week. Almost all the sectors were assisting Nifty hit an all time high in this historic week and conquer 20000. Nifty Daily Analysis Recap from yesterday: “I expect the expiry to be above 19989 if we still...

viswaram

BankNifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today BankNifty has gone up an impressive 3.2% ~ 1422pts. Quite a remarkable feat and the major reason why we had a breakout rally. The weekly chart looks pretty loaded up for further gains. BankNifty Today’s Analysis Yesterday I remember saying the “rally is still not dead in banknifty” although my view...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “I wish to just wait and watch for tomorrow and not get into an aggressive long position until Nifty50 has consolidated at the current levels. I wish to modify my stance to neutral from bullish. If we break the 19870 levels tomorrow — I wish to go short (bearish).” . I did not get into any new long position in Nifty, in fact...

viswaram

Between the last expiry and today, FinNifty has gone up an impressive 2.64% ~ 521pts. The financial services companies really took the lead this time to get Nifty out from the bearish zone. Today might be the only day in this year wherein I did not actively trade FinNifty for expiry. The options premiums were juicy enough, but I was more attracted to the Nifty50...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis Yesterday I had a long call on BankNifty - just because there was some room to catch up. In fact the banks did really well today not to concede the gains. Opening was a gapup like Nifty and we fell 424pts ~ 0.93% by 09.55. From there we had a minor reversal and went uptil 45620 (yesterday’s close levels) and then started falling from...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow I wish to continue with the bullish stance, although I would like to take some safety net via long PUTS as we have the CPI (Inflation) data coming up this week.” The opening 45mts saw huge profit taking, few of the candles were deep red sending out a message that it may not just be a profit taking. I usually do...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis Banknifty had a long call for today even though the I-CRR news would have impacted it more than Nifty50. One of the reasons is the distance left to ATH vs Nifty50. BankNifty had more distance to cover the ATH and for this reason I had the continuation of bullish stance from Friday. The strength in BankNifty was obvious when NiftyIT started...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: For Monday I wish to change the status from bullish to 50% bullish & 50% neutral — that’s because I would like to wait for this news flow to get priced in. The euphoria and FOMO alone should drive Nifty50 to new ATHs, however I do not wish to get into new bullish positions till then. The 50% neutral, 50% bullish stance was...

viswaram

Banknifty was also continuing from the momentum it got from the last hours of 6th Sep. We had an intraday rally of 563pts ~ 1.26% to hit a new swing high of 45383. Again the bulk of the contribution came from HDFCBK. The candles at 14.30 & 14.35 took out some steam or else the 45400 levels may have been breached today. Those 2 candles are the reason why I am a...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday “On the 1hr TF the W pattern worked out quite good. The next 2 resistance points will be 19786 and 19852 if we are continuing the breakout rally. If we were to fall the first support will be the resistance we just broke i.e. 19678 followed by 19581. For tomorrow I wish to continue my bullish stance unless the first support of...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis The real reason Nifty50 outperformed in the last 90 minutes was BankNifty. Even NiftyIT contributed, but since the weightage of banking stocks are higher - that made a real difference. BN rallied an impressive 512pts ~ 1.16% from the lows to the highs today. You might remember the 1hr chart we discussed yesterday, as long as banknifty was...

viswaram

Nifty Weekly Analysis You may not believe that Nifty has added 444pts ~ 2.31% between the last expiry and today. The bulk of the moves came on 1st Sep and then today. On the weekly timeframe Nifty just broke out from the bullish flag consolidation formation signalling further fire power ahead. Will the global markets play spoilsport is the only question here. ...

viswaram

BankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, banknifty got only 4 trading sessions. The last expiry was on Thursday and from this series we have weekly expiries on Wednesdays now. We have gone up by 405pts ~ 0.92pts although the chart doesnt give you that impression BankNifty Today Analysis Banknifty had some strange price behaviour...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: For tomorrow I continue to maintain the bullish stance unless 19450 is broken. Nifty opened inline today and held its ground till 09.40 after which it started falling. The fall was not quick or scary but gradual and steady. We dropped 112pts ~ 0.58% by 13.35 and went down till 19491 from where we got a massive...

viswaram

FinNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Finnifty has only fallen 0.21% ~ 41pts. From a headline level the fall of 1.83% ~ 365 pts and its recovery is not obvious. Moreover FinNifty has respected the support level of 19421 and is trading at a safe distance from it. As it stands Finnifty is not showing any directional sentiment, this...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis Although having all the conditions in its favor, BankNifty did not rally today. The 5mts candle at 10.15 which took out 115pts was trying to tell a story. In fact we dropped a total of 267pts from the high to the low of the day. From the lows BN managed to climb back 140+ points but I am still unable to decode the directional intent. That is...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: I wish to go with a full bullish stance tomorrow wherein 19584 has to be taken out in the first 2 hours and the final close should be above 19600 . Although the price action looked as a continuation from yesterday - it did not have enough firepower to break the recent swing high of 19584 nor cross the 19600...