NFP or Non Farm Payrolls is one of the most important economic reports that forex, commodity, and stock traders follow because it can act as an indicator for health of the US economy. The NFP reports on the number of jobs added to the US economy in the previous month excluding those employed by farms, the federal government, non-profit organizations and private...
It’s that time of year again; earning session for US stocks. With so many other variables contributing to volatility in the US markets (e.g., inflation , Fed rate hikes, recession, oil prices, quantitative easing), anything out of the ordinary can result in huge moves in stock prices. This has already been witnessed in an early report from Nike (NYSE: NKE ) last...
Last Thursday was an incredibly volatile trading session for the USD/JPY . This volatility was largely caused by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) intervention in the currency markets to defend its depreciating currency, the Japanese Yen. Last week’s move was the first time since 1998 that the BoJ had intervened. There are some parallels between 1998’s intervention and...
In just two trading days, the probability that the sterling will fall to parity against the US dollar increased to 60% on Sept. 26 from 32% on Sept. 23 after the UK government's announcement of new tax cuts elevated concerns for the country's economy. Bloomberg estimates that the GBP/USD will have equal value before the end of 2022, based on sterling-dollar...
What are our targets for the GBP/JPY? This might all depend on Central bank intervention. Last week the BoJ briefly intervened and now there is speculation that the BoE will follow through with similar measures to help prop up the pound, which has cratered in the past two days in response to the dismal economic outlook of the UK and new tax cuts from the government.
Back in February, when Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, a victory for Kyiv would have been almost impossible to imagine. It's the classic David and Goliath. Recent developments on the battlefront, however, are starting to paint a different picture, showing the possibility of Ukraine ending the conflict with a win. On paper, the war is just between Ukraine...
The US headline CPI data released last week surprised the market with a smaller drop than expected. As such, a higher chance is being given to a 75-basis-points rate hike in the upcoming September FOMC meeting. The US stock market reacted with a major sell-off last week, signalling that the summer rally has overstayed its welcome. The Dow Jones plunged by 1,300...
One of the largest moves caused by the unexpected US inflation data has been in gold. Gold has finally broken through the monumentally important support level of $1,680 and has pushed all the way down to ~$1,660/oz. Gold achieved this huge break to the downside in one four-hour period. Before this, gold was already feeling the downside pressure, experiencing...
US markets ( S&P 500 Index +0.3%) ended Wednesday in the green after a choppy session, perhaps exhausting the extreme sell-off sentiment from the previous day. The unexpected result from the US inflation report released on Tuesday had prompted speculation that stocks could start to head back to their June lows in reaction to a more aggressive Federal Reserve ....
The death of Queen Elizabeth II on Sept. 8 beaconed a new era for the UK, coming on the heels of Elizabeth Truss taking office as prime minister and heralding the proclamation of King Charles as the new monarch . These changes could be overwhelming for a country that has known only one monarch for 70 years. Even more daunting is that these changes happened amid...