交易思路：澳美AUDUSD做多

Jul 1, 2019

H4:

从斐波那契看50%的位置6930-40是进场不错的选择点

D1:

突破后的回撤，突破6月7日的高点是趋势可能翻转的依据；
寻求底部逢低买入的机会，价格站稳MA20以上，
这次挂单的价格刚好和MA20的数值非常接近

Jul 1, 2019

Note

上周五，澳元兑美元汇率飙升37个基点。汇率达到了两周来的最高点，为0.7020.然而，今天的交易开始于看跌情绪。到会议中期，在o.7006处发生了一次突破上升通道模式下边界的事件。最有可能的是，美元兑澳元在本交易日内将继续走强。货币汇率的目标可能是由一周S1和今天0.6954的200小时简单移动平均线组成的支持集群。
On Friday, the AUD/USD currency pair surged by 37 base points. The exchange rate reached a two-week high at 0.7020. However, today's trading session began with a bearish sentiment.
By the middle of the session, a breakout through the lower boundary of an ascending channel pattern at o.7006 had occurred.
Most likely, the US Dollar will continue to gain strength against the Aussie within this session.
The currency exchange rate might aim for a support cluster formed by the weekly S1 and the 200-hour simple moving average at 0.6954 today.

Jul 3, 2019

Note

尽管澳大利亚储备银行宣布连续第二个月降息，澳元兑美国对手的汇率已回升至1.0%的创纪录低点。25个基点的降息很大程度上是市场参与者的预期，几周前，洛维州长曾表示，一次降息不太可能带来相关的失业率下降。所附声明与6月份的声明相当相似，但未来降息的措辞略有变化，因为董事会现在将“必要时”调整货币政策，以支持经济的可持续增长。罗威当天晚些时候发表讲话称，如果需要，央行准备再次放松货币政策，以帮助提振就业增长和刺激通胀。澳大利亚也发布了周二早些时候的HIA新屋销售报告，该报告在上个月下跌11.8%之后，在5月份公布了28.8%的增长。

本周三，澳大利亚的宏观经济日历将非常繁忙，因为该国将公布5月建筑许可证和贸易平衡数据以及AIG 6月份服务业绩指数。
The Australian dollar has recovered ground against its American rival, despite the Reserve Bank of Australia announced a second consecutive monthly rate cut, to a record low of 1.0%. The 25 bps cut was largely anticipated by market participants, as Governor Lowe said a couple of weeks ago that one rate cut was unlikely to deliver a relevant fall in unemployment. The accompanying statement was quite alike to that of June with a modest twist in the wording regarding future rate cuts, as the board now will adjust monetary policy “if needed” to support sustainable growth in the economy. Lowe spoke later in the day, saying that the central bank is prepared to ease monetary policy again if needed to help boost job growth and stoke inflation. Australia also releases the HIA New Home Sales report early Tuesday, which posted a 28.8% increase in May after falling 11.8% in the previous month.

This Wednesday, the Australian macroeconomic calendar will be quite busy, as the country will release May Building Permits and Trade Balance figures and the AIG Performance of Services Index for June.

Jul 4, 2019

Note

Jul 4, 2019

Note

多头①目标：在7120-30左右，如果可以成交低位多单的话

Jul 8, 2019

Note

这里取消挂单，执行2019/7/8的直吃策略