Bajaj Consumer (Daily) - Potential Breakout

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Bajaj Consumer Care is at a critical juncture following a prolonged downtrend from its January 2018 all-time high and a subsequent sideways consolidation period since March 2020. The stock recently demonstrated significant buying interest with an 8.59% surge on a high-volume spike.

Bullish Indicators 👍
Several technical signals support a positive outlook:
- Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover state, indicating strong upward momentum.
- Volume: Trading volume has been consistently above average for several months, suggesting sustained accumulation by buyers.
- Long-Term Trend: The weekly timeframe now shows a Simple Moving Average (SMA) Golden Crossover, reinforcing the potential for a long-term trend reversal.

Key Resistance Levels 🚧
Despite the bullish signals, the stock faces two significant hurdles:
1. A major horizontal resistance line that has been in place since January 2013.
2. A more recent descending resistance trendline formed since April 2021.

Future Outlook and Scenarios
- Bullish Case 📈: A decisive breakout above both the horizontal and angular resistance levels would be a strong confirmation of bullish momentum. This could propel the stock towards a potential price target of ₹324.
- Bearish Case 📉: If the stock fails to sustain its upward momentum and break these key resistance levels, it may retrace back towards the ₹221 support level.

Keep monitoring !!

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