Bank Nifty- Let us start with Bank Nifty Again in the bear camp

I am not regular writer of instruments & always wait at sidelines unless I am clear what I am writing. Bank Nifty is likely into pressure from today's high@18711 which could be another 1st wave downside in more bearish scenario of the market as one of my several counts which I am opening now in this post.

From highs@19611 - I have an alternate count as another series of down wave & likely in 5th wave of 2nd series, which will complete 61.8% target zone 1-3 wave distance at 17930-17950 zone

Trade active: 12:42 Hrs 1st Dec2016

Recent Low@18447

Current Price@18520

Likely safe traders sell below 18440's as BN will waste time here in the zone of 18500-18700
Trade active: 13:00 Hrs 1st Dec2016

Last Price@18500

Kindly Traders who have taken short remember to cut their trades or book losses if BN moves above 18610- risk of 100-120 points & Gain of 500-550 points. If breaks recent low 18440 then it will be nice for down move & next halt could be seen between 18180-18200 zone of double bottom where profit bookings can come & going below that it will be down till 17930-17950 zone.
Trade active: 09:25 Hrs 2nd Dec 2016

Last Price@18239

Recent Low@18197

Bang on Target for kissing the previous double bottom -Take a tea break & let us start back after it falls below double or triple bottom.

Trade active: 11:21 Hrs 2nd Dec2016

Last Price@18250

Recent lows between 18180-18200 look -how you could play with supports- double bottoms -triple bottoms & make some money in between-

The pullback to 18350-18400 zone cannot be denied
Trade active: 14:12 Hrs 2nd Dec2016

Last Price@18263

Recent High@18489

Bang on for the Bounce as expected - I said bounce cannot be denied in the previous update- look it bounced to 18489 & dropped as well - What a ride--Amazzzzzing

Trade active: 23:15 Hrs 4th Dec2016

Last Price@18267

Price rejected from 18500 in 2nd Dec2016 has sharp spikes on upside suggesting that sellers have joined in numbers to ride BN for an upcoming move.

Going below 18150-18175 & if sustained below the zone it could push Bank Nifty down to 17900-17950
Trade active: 12:06 Hrs 7th Dec2016

Last Price@18525

Waiting for RBI Policy

Enjoyed the Double Bottom- Triple Bottom in the zone 18180-18200 till current highs couple of times hitting the zone 18500-18550

The time has come to be careful- Buying will be risky & can trap- Likely not favorable buy setup & post or pre RBI policy - it could hit upside 18590-18650's & once it starts moving below 18450 & holding below that will be our clue that BN wants to move down & going below double-triple bottom 18180-18200 is definitely bearish which can push BN to even 17600-17700 zones.

Alternate scenario, if buying at current levels of 18500-18550 should hold with 18450 else it is risky.

Best Regards,
Abhishek H. Singh, CMT
​Growth Director - TradingView India

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