Unless the current rally holds support above 10k, or a price action can achieve higher highs and higher lows, expect final capitulation and the end of this Elliott wave cycle. The market is maturing. No one knows what will happen after the final halving, disappearing all rewards for mining. I don't believe BTC will ever see 20k again. However, after a long consolidation following this bear market, we could see values close the the long term mean.