I have compared SMA HI 20, three drives pattern and few trend lines.
As we can see SMA stays in the down (blue) trend channel and shows price of ~4120$, 4120$ is also a Hi of a 3th drive.
If all things will go as expected, todays hi will be ~4120$ and will be going down to the 1st (purple) or 2nd (green) trend line in next days/weeks.
2. If BTC will breake the blue downwards trend line i expect Red Arrow scenario to happen.