If you are reading my forecasts for the first time, then first read the next section to understand how to work with this article. If you are already familiar with my work, feel free to skip the section “How to read my analysis.”
How to read my analysis.
My analysis consists of modelling the candles of the current period on a monthly, weekly and daily TF thanks to the tools of Thomas DeMark. The projection of candles is built with an assessment of the differential directions, which give an understanding of the market mood of the candle. The projection is built on smaller Timeframes - a monthly and weekly candle on a daily TF. A daily candle at a 15-minute TF, so that you can evaluate the dynamics of prices within the projection.
To do this, thanks to all the same differential arrows, one of the three scenarios is determined as a priority: bull/sideways/bearish. The highest priority scenario is highlighted by bold arrows, the second-highest priority by thin arrows. The least priority is not indicated by arrows; only the direction vector is specified, which defines the boundaries of the trading range.
In the analysis, I assess the past movement. I analyze trends in the three main TFs and talk about priority scenarios, while always noting the key levels of changing market sentiment and transition from one scenario to another.
If the priority is the side scenario (grey arrows), then I do not recommend entering the market on this day for intraday trading. If the scenario is bullish or bearish, then I suggest using opposite key levels, support and resistance levels + candlestick trading limits for targets. For the level of fixing the loss, you need to focus on the key level at which there will be a change to the opposite scenario.
Dear Friends, I remind you that in this article, I express my personal view of the market, which I share with you for educational purposes. I do not guarantee profits. Only you make the final investment decision and all the risks associated with it.
I am continuing intraday forecasts.
Yesterday, Bitcoin was within the narrow corridor - 8000 - 8200. The closing of the day was higher than the opening. In general, the volume of trading was quite small, which indicates the accumulation of the asset before the impulse movement. It should be noted that the forecast was bearish, but the bulls managed to stay above 8000 USD. As a result, the whole day passed mainly following the side scenario.
Trend by TF for today: Week is Bearish Day is bullish 4 hours - flat
BTCUSD today, from the very opening, began with a small pullback. The differential arrows of Thomas DeMarck point to the side with a potential bullish rebound after the bearish correction. The most likely scenario today is a sideways (see grey arrows)
The bullish scenario confirmation level is fixing above the green key level. The confirmation level of the bearish scenario is fixing below the red key level.
Estimated limits of the trading range for today: top trading range for today - 8400USD Today's lower trading range is –7880USD
The weekly scenario for the new week - sideways Key level: for bulls - 8400 for bears - 7950
If the scenario is executed, next week we will most likely see a bearish impulse with testing the lower border of the bullish channel.
The global scenario for 2020 remains unchanged, but due to the prolonged consolidation at current levels, the bears have less room for manoeuvre, so the immediate goal will be around 7400.
The immediate target for the bears is 7400 - 7000. The most likely goal for the end of the year is 13,000 USD.
Good luck to everyone and good profits! Regards, Mikhail @Hyipov
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Dear Friends, I remind you that this is only my personal view of the market, which I share with you. I do not guarantee profits. Only you make the final decision and all the risks associated with it.
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