capsule91

A POTENTIAL STEADY FUTURE COMPOUNDING GIANT IN TROUBLE - CDSL

NSE:CDSL   CENTRAL DEPOSITORY
I will soon do a complete fundamental analysis on CDSL on valuepicker and post the link to my thread here in the updates..
interested investors can track that or further charts in future which will be intermixed with fundamental analysis ..

Here there is a potential extension harmonic pattern in formation- the bullish crab pattern, which is a very accurate and strong reversal theme in the charts...
I expect some good news about the kyc business[most probably integration of KRA with CKYC which already has been proposed to SEBI] will cause the extreme reversal from the potential reversal zone of the harmonic ....
fall in the bond yields also should correlate with the structural reversal and a similar picture is there forming in the bond market...
with more interests in indian equity market from the domestic inflows, this company should continue enjoy the scenario and provide with sustainable cashflows form operations..
Even if the kra business is jeopardized, i am not concerned with loss of cash flow, as i am already discounting in such a 15% revenue loss in my price projection....
The current tension involving this vertical is just giving the opportunity to bottom fish this company at a attractive pricing...
Although the business has no pricing power as such and its pricing is tightly regulated, which in fact a downside to this nature of service sector company, i believe the amount of dematerialization of financial products that is due in coming times is massive , let alone the runrate at which the DPs are adding new demat accounts every year, is enough for sustained cash flows ...
i will discuss the exact numbers and fundamental analysis after completion of my equity research on this company...
bottomline - not a multibagger in making , but a sustained good cagr producing company to my eyes...

Disclaimer.. not invested, researching at present.. not an investing/trading recommendation....



Comment: * in the chart the statement of other income reduced by 35% is yoy figures in percentage..
Comment: point and figure chrt targets
Comment: WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION
Comment: updated point and figure chart on a conservative count, which matches the yearly S1 support..
Very well explained and almost achieve.
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you killed the birdie in the last chart ;)
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capsule91 mklives
@mklives, lol... man, i am disapointed to see some accumulation happening at this price level.. it will take a lot of time to come down, a lot of more fundamental jolts required of the prices have to reacht he yearly support level, as selling climax has been achieved...
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Intrestening presentation. Fundamentals also explained well...
Keep it up..!
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capsule91 naveen_agrawal
@naveen_agrawal, thank you naveen...
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