Short-term and intermediate-term targets for COIN (ICT)
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ICT traders and "SMC" traders will be familiar with most of the Market Making ideas on here. For traders who aren't familiar with any of the terminology:
Buyside Liquidity refers to where we expect Short positions to get stopped out when Price runs on old Highs. We anticipate Order Pairing at these levels where Smart Money Sell Orders are paired with losing Short traders who're forced to Buy at a "Premium." Sellside Liquidity refers to where we expect Long positions to get stopped out when Price runs on old Lows. We anticipate Order Pairing at these levels where Smart Money Buy Orders are paired with losing Long traders who're forced to Sell at a "Discount."
I won't explain what Order Blocks are in detail here. I'm not an expert on Order Block Theory and ICT teaches it over on his Youtube Channel for free. Basically, we're looking at theoretical price levels that should be "supported" or "resisted" in the traditional retail trading sense based on Institutional Order Flow.
Scenarios I'm considering: 1) Price runs down to the Preliminary Target and then makes a small rally back to the Gap before reversing back again to make an aggressive run down to the Main Target levels. After the Main Target has been reached, we'd anticipate an aggressive rally back up. 2) Price crashes straight through to the Main Target levels (short-term Bearish ) and then rallies to target the Gap (intermediate-term Bullish ) and to potentially higher Buyside Liquidity levels (with the darker green areas representing more ambitious Price Targets). 3) I'm wrong and Price recovers at the current choppy Gap Filling area and rallies straight up to take out the Buyside Liquidity immediately. 4) I'm completely wrong and Price does nothing that I'm anticipating based on the logic I've outlined here.
Some traders might wonder how what I've outlined is any different from traditional Support / Resistance levels or Supply / Demand zones. The main difference is the logical framework around liquidity and order flow combined with ICT's Top-Down approach and Time & Price Theories. ICT traders are anticipating targets based on an Imbalance or old Highs and Lows. We're always thinking "to and through" as opposed to the Price respecting some Support / Resistance level unless there is a valid context such as Institutional Order Flow.
If you're interested in the concepts here, you can check out ICT's Youtube channel. I'm not affiliated with ICT in any way and I'm not a paying student of his. He's been making most of his elite content available for free in 2022, so everything I've learned is through his free content. Most of the "SMC" concepts out there are taken from ICT, so I would recommend going to the source to learn.
Note that ICT does not consider volume. I used to rely on volume all the time, especially when applying Wyckoff and "VSA" strategies. I no longer consider volume as much as before, but I do glance at volume (real and tick volume) for markets with centralized volume across a long span of time on the HTFs to make sure there is confluence with my theories around accumulation, re-accumulation, distribution, re-distribution, and manipulation. This is why I bothered to mention it on the chart (orange box) where we do see a heightened level of contracts traded within this range. Also, we know that Cathie Wood and other institutional investors have an interest in accumulating within this range. That said, I still prioritize HTF liquidity narratives over anything based on volume.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.