TVC:DJI   Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
It's always good to go back to the long term picture and see where we are at. I've had a lot of iterations of EW counts for the Dow Jones. After contemplation, I think this is the best one. I previously thought that we would get down to 1980 levels when we bottom in supercycle wave 4 but now I think that is impossible. Most likely we are forming an expanding triangle similar to 1960's-1970's. We will bottom when we reach below SPX 666 sometime in the next decade or early 1930s. I actually think we topped in supercycle wave 3 back in October of last year and we are in the midst of supercycle wave 4. Wave 4's are notoriously difficult to navigate. If this plays out the way I think it will, expect turbulence next decade with a low around SPX 1800-2000 than a new false ATH followed by a crash to below SPX 666.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.