Hi friends hope you are well and welcome to the new update on Ethereum. This coin is going really very good even better than the Bitcoin but on the long-term there are some weak bearish signals are appeared, therefore I would like to share those signals with you guys.
The price action is re-resting the previous resistance as support: Firs of all I would like to show you the different support and resistance levels of Ethereum on th daily chart. Here the price action has bounced from $122 support and broke out the next resistance level of $149. And after breaking out it used previous resistance as a support and then priceline first attempted to breakout the next resistance of $224 and after being rejected by this resistance the price action again moved up made another succeful attempt and broke out this resistance level. At this time the priceline of Ethereum is retesting this previous resistance as a support. If this support will be broken down the Ethereum can reach at previous support at $149.
Comparison of channels of Ethereum and Bitcoin: If we see the comparison between the up channels that are formed by the Ethereum and the Bitcoin on the day charts. Then position of Ethereum is seems to be stronger and better than Bitcoin. At this time the price action of Ethereum is moving within the up channel but on the other side the BTC has broken down the support of channel. And now the priceline o BTC is moving below the support of the channel. If we watch the exponential moving averages with the time period of 10 and 21 then both are touching each other.
Comparison of Ethereum and Bitcoin’s simple moving averages: If we watch the simple moving averages with the time period of 25, 50, 100 and 200 of both charts. Then Ethereum has just broken down the 25 simple moving average today and on the other side the Bitcoin broke down this simple moving average before the Ethereum at this time the price action of Bitcoin is at 50 simple moving average support but Ethereum can move all the way down the retest the 50 simple moving average support and this time this support is at $218. However the moving averages on Ethereum’s chart has completed the setup for an open alligator mouth. That is a very strong bullish signal. As the 25 simple moving average is above all then we have the 50 simple moving average then 100 and the biggest time period simple moving average that is 200 is below all the other moving averages. But on the Bitcoin chart the 100 simple moving average needs to cross up the 200 simple moving average in order to complete this bullish setup. Therefore we can say that Ethereum is more bullish than BTC. And if the Bticoin will make any bullish move then Ethereum will make more bullish move than BTC.
A big descending triangle and my prediction of 180% bullish move: Now if we watch the Ethereum price action on the long-term weekly chart. Then it has formed a big descending triangle. I am observing the movement of the price action within this triangle with the combination of stochastic and MACD indicators. And it can be easily seen whenever the price action reaches at the support and we receive bullish signals by the stochastic and the MACD indicators then the price action moves up to the resistance of the channel. By repeating this act the Ethereum price action first produced more than 355% bullish rally, then it produced more than 150% bullish move and recently it has produced more than 180% gains. Using the same method I predicted this last bullish rally in my previous article that I posted on 28th of March when the price action of Ethereum was moving at the support of this descending triangle as below:
Previous article:
Now at this time we can see that the price action has reached at the resistance of this descending triangle and the stochastic is still in bull cross but the MACD has turned weak bullish from strong bullish. This is the first indication that it is turning bearish now we should observe if the price action would be moving at the same level and the stochastic would be in bull cross and MACD indicator will be again turned strong bullish from weak bullish, then we can expect that the price action will break out the resistance of this triangle. Otherwise it can move down to the support. I have also play the volume profile on the complete price action. And that is showing that the price action is moving in the area where the trader’s interest is really very weak. That is another indication that the price action can move down to the previous support from here.
Conclusion: On the daily chart the Ethereum is more bullish than Bitcoin. It means that whenever the BTC will move up then Ethereum will make big move than the Bitcoin. But on the long-term as it has reached at the resistance of the triangle therefore we need to observe all indicators and signals very closely for any upcoming bearish is move.
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