Bullish flags are a continuation pattern found in stocks with a strong uptrend. As can be observed, the pattern resembles a flag
on a pole. The vertical rise forms the pole and the following period of consolidation forms the flag. The flag can be a horizontal rectangle
but mostly angles down from the pole. The focus should be more on the underlying psychology of the pattern than the shape. Despite the
strong vertical rally, the stock refuses to drop much because the bulls are buying as many shares they can get their hands on.
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Main characteristics of a flag pattern:
1. The trend before the appearance of the pattern.
2. The channel of consolidation.
3. The volume behavior.
4. The breakout.
5. The confirmation of price movement in the direction of the breakout.
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Target and Volume:
The target for a bull flag is calculated by measuring the length of the flag pole and projecting it from the breakout point. The volume
starts to pick up towards the end of the consolidation range indicating the oncoming breakout. Then there is a huge increase in volume
when the pole is being formed and the volume tapers off during the consolidation period.
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Stop Loss Options:
1. Longer term traders may place their stop loss below the entire flag.
2. A stricter option would be just below the consolidation are before the breakout.
3. The tightest option would be a two bar low trailing stop.
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Thoughts:
No one can know for sure which way the price will move, whether it will continue or reverse. One can follow the action of price,
trade only the best setups and let the probabilities work out. While patterns may give false signals, bullish flags are generally reliable
and effective.
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Alert:
Keep an eye out for price action unravelling currently. Price is pulling back to the 20 EMA, forming a consolidation, a flag of sorts.
A continuation candle near the average with decent volumes could be the sign of a fresh move upwards.
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